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Forums - Sales Discussion - COMG! Japan Pre-order Chart Thread - Daily updates!

FF7 increasing again. Lets see what happens this weekend.



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Megiddo said:
I would have thought Super Mario Maker 2 would have been moving a lot more than it has lately. I wonder if it might also underperform?

Not a chance, COMG has increasingly become more and more irrelevant for determining real world performance of games.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

I mean, with 8 days left YW4 was at 65 points. SMM2 is currently behind that.

We'll just have to see how it plays out, but it's not exactly looking great at least.



Megiddo said:
I mean, with 8 days left YW4 was at 65 points. SMM2 is currently behind that.

We'll just have to see how it plays out, but it's not exactly looking great at least.

Like I said, COMG has become irrelevant for trying to determine a games performance.

Chris1964 on Resetera (hes pretty much the Benji of Japan sales discussion) said day 1 shipments could exceed 500k based on preorders.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Megiddo said:
I mean, with 8 days left YW4 was at 65 points. SMM2 is currently behind that.

We'll just have to see how it plays out, but it's not exactly looking great at least.

Chris1964 on Resetera (hes pretty much the Benji of Japan sales discussion) said day 1 shipments could exceed 500k based on preorders.

Appreciate more data points always, but I'm more interested in retail sales than shipments.

Pawapro is ranked #11 and #37 on Amazon JP and SMMM2 is ranked #12 and #38 on Amazon JP right now with both releasing within a day of eachother. Even among Switch games it's not exactly looking great with about a week left.



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Day of the year Sony points Nintendo points Sony games Nintendo games Sony ratio Nintendo ratio
7-Jan-2019 793 53 18 2 44 27
21-Jan-2019 934 8 19 1 49 8
4-Feb-2019 385 14 19 1 20 14
18-Feb-2019 435 39 17 3 26 13
4-Mar-2019 429 53 16 4 27 13
18-Mar-2019 396 127 13 7 30 18
25-Mar-2019 145 130 13 7 11 19
8-Apr-2019 162 130 12 8 14 16
22-Apr-2019 172 168 11 9 16 19
6-May-2019 138 123 11 9 13 14
20-May-2019 154 147 11 9 14 16
4-Jun-2019 195 175 12 8 16 22
18-Jun-2019 222 260 11 9 20 29
19-Jun-2019 222 263 11 9 20 29
20-Jun-2019 223 265 11 9 20 29
21-Jun-2019 249 171 13 7 19 24
Average 2019 343 102 14 6 24 18


Megiddo said:
I mean, with 8 days left YW4 was at 65 points. SMM2 is currently behind that.

We'll just have to see how it plays out, but it's not exactly looking great at least.

Well Doraemon on Switch did around 22 points on its last day. Got 49points in FW = 42k on Famitsu. So I think we will see SMM2 over 100points in FW and get over 100k in Famitsu



Pocky Lover Boy! 

So if Yo-kai Watch is dead, does it become a yōkai? I'm not familiar with Japanese folklore.



Megiddo said:
zorg1000 said:

Chris1964 on Resetera (hes pretty much the Benji of Japan sales discussion) said day 1 shipments could exceed 500k based on preorders.

Appreciate more data points always, but I'm more interested in retail sales than shipments.

Pawapro is ranked #11 and #37 on Amazon JP and SMMM2 is ranked #12 and #38 on Amazon JP right now with both releasing within a day of eachother. Even among Switch games it's not exactly looking great with about a week left.

When has Amazon JP ever been a good indicator for FW sales?

Shipments give a better idea of a games performance than COMG or Amazon JP. Chris bases his predictions on how the game is tracking at different retailers all over Japan, he is usually pretty spot on when talking about sales.

There is literally nothing that suggests SMM2 is going to underperform.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Literally nothing? Welp, no use arguing with the blind.

There's an idea of minimizing other data points, but pretending they flat out don't exist? That's amusing.