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Forums - Sales - COMG! Japan Pre-order Chart Thread - Daily updates!

outlawauron on 31 July 2017
leyendax69 said:
outlawauron said:

He's asking you to explain yourself because your prediction makes no sense.

Well it's a prediction so there's a chance I can be wrong, no? I just threw a random number based on its final points comparing with ff15 and other ps4 games. Since we are here, what's your prediction?

For lifetime in Japan?

I'm thinking something like 1.5-6m on PS4 and 1.8-9m on 3DS. With a late Switch port doing another 300-400k. For FW, I'm still unsure but I believe they'll be very close. PS4 version has very good chance of being higher FW imo.

I don't see a way that DQ11 does 4m+ without it being ported around a lot.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

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Noobie on 31 July 2017
Boutros said:

 

Is anybody going to make a graph for GT Sports COMG points versus GT6 and GT5 COMG points?



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Azhraell on 31 July 2017
outlawauron said:
leyendax69 said:

Well it's a prediction so there's a chance I can be wrong, no? I just threw a random number based on its final points comparing with ff15 and other ps4 games. Since we are here, what's your prediction?

For lifetime in Japan?

I'm thinking something like 1.5-6m on PS4 and 1.8-9m on 3DS. With a late Switch port doing another 300-400k. For FW, I'm still unsure but I believe they'll be very close. PS4 version has very good chance of being higher FW imo.

I don't see a way that DQ11 does 4m+ without it being ported around a lot.

Perhaps I worded incorrectly but that's pretty similar to what I said earlier... 1.5m on ps4 and a little more than that on 3ds cause big userbase with combined sales of 3-3.3m. So how comes my prediction doesn't make sense when we are thinking about numbers that are not far apart? was the problem that I didn't specify japan? seems pretty obvious considering the thread we are in.

I wasn't really taking a switch port into count btw



TheBraveGallade on 31 July 2017
leyendax69 said:
outlawauron said:

For lifetime in Japan?

I'm thinking something like 1.5-6m on PS4 and 1.8-9m on 3DS. With a late Switch port doing another 300-400k. For FW, I'm still unsure but I believe they'll be very close. PS4 version has very good chance of being higher FW imo.

I don't see a way that DQ11 does 4m+ without it being ported around a lot.

Perhaps I worded incorrectly but that's pretty similar to what I said earlier... 1.5m on ps4 and a little more than that on 3ds cause big userbase with combined sales of 3-3.3m. So how comes my prediction doesn't make sense when we are thinking about numbers that are not far apart? was the problem that I didn't specify japan? seems pretty obvious considering the thread we are in.

I wasn't really taking a switch port into count btw

you might be underestimating DQ.

I see at least 2mil ps4 2.5 mil 3ds 1mil switch( if it comes out soon enough). 



Azhraell on 31 July 2017
TheBraveGallade said:
leyendax69 said:

Perhaps I worded incorrectly but that's pretty similar to what I said earlier... 1.5m on ps4 and a little more than that on 3ds cause big userbase with combined sales of 3-3.3m. So how comes my prediction doesn't make sense when we are thinking about numbers that are not far apart? was the problem that I didn't specify japan? seems pretty obvious considering the thread we are in.

I wasn't really taking a switch port into count btw

you might be underestimating DQ.

I see at least 2mil ps4 2.5 mil 3ds 1mil switch( if it comes out soon enough). 

I might be, but then again I was also being pessimistic and not including digital, which seems to be pretty big in japan



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TheBraveGallade on 31 July 2017
leyendax69 said:
TheBraveGallade said:

you might be underestimating DQ.

I see at least 2mil ps4 2.5 mil 3ds 1mil switch( if it comes out soon enough). 

I might be, but then again I was also being pessimistic and not including digital, which seems to be pretty big in japan

true. but still, if something like DQ fails to reach 5 mil in japan, someone has screwed up.



Lafiel on 31 July 2017

FFXV managed to get 785 weekly COMG points during it's release week and ended up with ~690k fw sales, a ratio of ~879:1

DQ11 PS4 had 1179 weekly COMG points, so with the same ratio it would end up with ~1.03m fw sales
it needs a ratio of 848.2:1 to open with over 1m sales



outlawauron on 31 July 2017
leyendax69 said:
outlawauron said:

For lifetime in Japan?

I'm thinking something like 1.5-6m on PS4 and 1.8-9m on 3DS. With a late Switch port doing another 300-400k. For FW, I'm still unsure but I believe they'll be very close. PS4 version has very good chance of being higher FW imo.

I don't see a way that DQ11 does 4m+ without it being ported around a lot.

Perhaps I worded incorrectly but that's pretty similar to what I said earlier... 1.5m on ps4 and a little more than that on 3ds cause big userbase with combined sales of 3-3.3m. So how comes my prediction doesn't make sense when we are thinking about numbers that are not far apart? was the problem that I didn't specify japan? seems pretty obvious considering the thread we are in.

I wasn't really taking a switch port into count btw

Really close together? Your 3DS number was nearly double mine.

There's no reason to believe that there's going to be that big of a gap between the platforms. I think it'd take more than userbase.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.

Azhraell on 31 July 2017
outlawauron said:
leyendax69 said:

Perhaps I worded incorrectly but that's pretty similar to what I said earlier... 1.5m on ps4 and a little more than that on 3ds cause big userbase with combined sales of 3-3.3m. So how comes my prediction doesn't make sense when we are thinking about numbers that are not far apart? was the problem that I didn't specify japan? seems pretty obvious considering the thread we are in.

I wasn't really taking a switch port into count btw

Really close together? Your 3DS number was nearly double mine.

There's no reason to believe that there's going to be that big of a gap between the platforms. I think it'd take more than userbase.

With 3m I meant ps4+3ds, not 3ds alone.



outlawauron on 31 July 2017
leyendax69 said:
outlawauron said:

Really close together? Your 3DS number was nearly double mine.

There's no reason to believe that there's going to be that big of a gap between the platforms. I think it'd take more than userbase.

With 3m I meant ps4+3ds, not 3ds alone.

Oh. Now it's makes more sense to me. I read it as 1.5m for PS4 and then 3m for 3DS (total of 4.5m).



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

Check out MyAnimeList and my Game Collection. Owner of the 5 millionth post.