Good day Gundam Versus!
Does somebody have a comparison with other Gundam games?
| konnichiwa said: So what you think this game will do in Japan?
|
My prediction:
First week: 75-125k
Lifetime: 300k
I hope that it could do even better!
Kyuu said:
Aren't you jumping the gun though? If this ends with 1700 points and had a similar COMG/Media-Create ratio to FFXV or NieR, then it should match DQVIII and IX's openings. Furthermore, several distinct versons should translate to great legs. Call me crazy, but I'm fairly certain combined sales will reach 5-6 million. Maybe even 7 if Switch version is unique enough. |
Yeah but with less than a month away it still hasn't exploded like I thought it would. I might be but it's underperforming so far. Thought by now it would easily do 1300-1500 combined
Ps4 now selling ~30k a week in Japan. Looks like the hype for future games is real.
Confident Gundam VS. will reach 70 pts today. I just need the LE to reach 110.
kopstudent89 said:
Yeah but with less than a month away it still hasn't exploded like I thought it would. I might be but it's underperforming so far. Thought by now it would easily do 1300-1500 combined |
I do believe that Dragon Quest will not perform to the series' standards and much less perform like IX did on the DS. But I still believe that it'll easily edge out Pokemon Ultra Sun and Moon due to having more time to sell, plus price drops, maybe bundles, etc. I also see the 3DS version of DQ outpacing the PS4 counterpart fairly soon, perhaps even at launch/second week.
Pokemon are coming in November as usual, so they'll literally have about 2 to 3 weeks (since the Japanese count the 3rd or 4th week of December as part of the next year) to sell 2.8+ million copies, perhaps even 3+. I don't think they will achieve that , 1.8 - 2 million are almost guaranteed though.
Splatoon 2 is the wild card. The deciding factors are going to be reception and stock for the Switch. If somehow the Switch manages to sell over 3 million, then it could be a close battle against Dragon Quest/Pokemon. If Nintendo can't get it together, it might have to battle it out for the 3rd spot against Monster Hunter XX, which has passed over 1.5 million physical sales by now.
| Kyuu said: lol Pokemon ultra s/m would be extremely lucky to sell half DQXI numbers lifetime in Japan. Isn't it like an expansion? Is it even guaranteed to pass 1.5M? I reckon it will be overestimated just like Monster Hunter XX on Switch. |
Yeah something like that, but it should be pretty guaranteed to reach 1.5 million, infact 2 million should even be pretty achievable. Unlike Monster Hunter XX it's not a late port, or an expansion of a spin-off game, or releasing on a platform with only a 1 million userbase. Still definitely won't outsell all dragon quest sku's combined.
Teeqoz said:
My point was, I don't need to expect that Pokemon and Splatoon sell between 3.5 million to outsell DQXI, because I don't think DQXI will sell as much as 3.5 million. |
okay then you're predicting major floppage for Dragon Quest and major over performance for Pokemon expansions on the 3DS
| Kyuu said: lol Pokemon ultra s/m would be extremely lucky to sell half DQXI numbers lifetime in Japan. Isn't it like an expansion? Is it even guaranteed to pass 1.5M? I reckon it will be overestimated just like Monster Hunter XX on Switch. |
the best comparison for Ultra Sun/Moon would be previous expanded versions of Pokemon generations.
Emerald, Platinum & Black/White 2 each did in the 2-3 range so over 2 million seems possible.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
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