i think its more of a 110% chance it will sell over that :)

Just when you thought that SSB couldn't disappoint harder :/

Oh, yeah and those 3 at the top are just on a different league.

Tales of Zestiria should easily cross 100 points. Hopefully the points to sales ratio is positive.

Fate Hollow Atraxia's limited edition boxart is sick. I wonder how it will sell relative to other console visual novels. 

Comparisons for YW2 (no data on 56 days)

164pt YW2 (55 days)
123pt YW2 (55 days)

157pt YW2.5 (56 days)

Thats a damn good  start, on amazon its already amoungst the best selling sku of the year (talking sold)

What happened to Smash??? :(

96 days until Zestiria, can't wait to see the receipts and impressions from importers and the later announcement of Tales of Zestiria R for PS4 , that will decide if I'll sell my PS3 that is catching too much dust lately

There is a rumor that characters are unlocked that way, though I want that to stay a rumor. 

What exactly is your basis for saying NSMB2 didn't hurt NSMBU?  By the time it was bundled about a year later it hadn't even matched the aligned first week of the Wii version.  Even with the bundles and about another year it is barely above the non-aligned (so first week only for Japan) third week for NSMBW.

Obviously install base is an issue, but if NSMBU had performed better, the install base would likely be a lot bigger.  In the 7 weeks starting with the release of NSMBW, the Wii sold 26% more than the Wii U has sold lifetime.  7 weeks versus 97 weeks.  Actually, compared to NPD, VGC seems to have the Wii U pretty heavily undertracked in the US for that period.  So it is likely even higher.  The Wii had also been showing substantial YoY decline prior to the release of NSMBW, so that isn't purely the Wii riding high on its own.

The impact probably wasn't isolated to NSMBU.  In all likelihood, NSMB2 would have performed better without U coming along to shorten its legs.  There was a point where it was fairly closely aligned with the sales of MK7 and 3D Land, but it has fallen away over the last year.  That is a big difference from the DS where NSMB was far and away the top seller.  Now I doubt either of the games would have performed equally to the DS/Wii versions even if they had been further apart, but there is no definitive way you can say NSMB2 didn't hurt NSMBU.

By this logic, every game release hurts every game (whether that be same franchise/genre/platform/etc). Toukiden hurted SS sales in japan for instance. Do we have to take every little thing into an account?

If we are talking NSMB franchise only, Are you telling me NSMB2 would have significantly notable different lifetime sales if NSMBU never released? If so give me an example of how much.

Smash WiiU...... >___________________________<

N3DS LL is doing so well (still sold out). I bet if it didn't have stovk problems, First Week sales would of been over 800k :P