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Forums - Sales - The Wii's Magic Number -

Very nice thread! I Believe PS3 will finish in 2nd on this generation and 360 in 3rd but things could change in a couple of years so I can be wrong. Who knows what games would be released in the future.



100% Coritiba Foot Ball Club!

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I agree that this is a great thread.

It got me to thinking though. What is it really showing?

If you back them out to start at equal launches, you can see that Wii already has them beat combined. 20.6M to 9.3M and 8.4M
http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=All&weeks=65

They did launch on separate days, but what if we exclude X360's early start?

http://vgchartz.com/hwcomps.php?cons1=Wii&reg1=All&cons2=PS3&reg2=All&cons3=X360&reg3=All&start=39026&end=39474&weekly=1

The week before PS3 started selling, X360 had sold 5.2M. Since that time, X360 has sold 11.5M more for a total of 16.7M. PS3 has sold 9.6M. Together, PS360 have sold, since the PS3 started selling, 21.1M versus the Wii 20.6M.

Since the 5.2M sales of X360 is 'fixed', once the Wii magic number gets down to 5.2M, the Wii will have sold as many as both other systems since all three were on the market.

Maybe no large cake, but a least a nunchuk cupcake?



Torturing the numbers.  Hear them scream.

updated, did not move too much due to falling sales in NA, Japan did not make up for lower NA sales. It still sold around 50,000 more than PS3 and 360 combined.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

You know if Nitnedo actually got serious about production they could probably wipe out that difference in 6-8 months, considering Wii already outsells PS3 and 360 at a much lower production on alsmot a weekly basis



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

^correct - esp. during the 2007 holiday season
Ninty really needs to up production and get rid of their conservative attitude about the mighty Wii



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major jump this week. Wii gained 130k plus in NA while only fell about 15 k in Japan and remained stable in Others. PS3 saw a 180k adjustment down in Germany but gained a 100k adjustment in UK. I would assume 360/PS3 sales In NA while drop alot in the next few weeks, while the Wii will be dictated by supply.



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

wow now its even close then i thought



tag:"reviews only matter for the real hardcore gamer"

note- next week may be wierd with NPD adjustment(I personally think the Wii may be low for NA... keeps fingers crossed, while 360 is high)



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut

Well the Wii is slowly but surely closing in on 50%!



the answer for the PS3 and XBox 360 to compete with the Wii is to drop console prices to match the Wii. If Sony released a house brick and sold it for $100 each it would still sell lol