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Forums - Sales Discussion - ALL marioboys bought SMG and Wii? Or speculations made on SMG and SMS sales

@thekitchensink, there WAS NO your post, when i was replying.
MGS is a BIG game WW, non in Japan.

@ZenfoldorVGI,
you never know. =)

depends on how many mgs fans bought ps3 by the release time.

burnout 5 sells better on PS3, next dmc4? =)

zelda? i don`t see it in charts. =)

you know what effect 299$ price will do on ps3 sales? :)

NO, i just FIND interesting, that SMG sales are very CLOSE to SMS sales with same number of userbase.

PS3 aleready outselling x360 HW in December, January. =)

well, who knows, everything is possible, NOT? =)

I don't know if it will reach 2m in Japan, but it doesn't matter unless you are ONLY speaking of Japan.  I thought we were talking about WW sales and using the Japan graph only because Japan has data going back farther.
@Final-Fan, We can use Japan graphics to SEE selling TRENDS. Sales trends in other regions we don`t know. Only Total sales.
BUT because since n64 has passed 10 years, mostlikely MARKET has changed.
And ONLY SMS is closest for comparing sales of SMG.

IT DOESN'T MATTER whether SMG gets bought by hardcore or casuals or supercasuals or trained monkeys.  The SALES are what matter.
So, if it DOESN` matter, WHAT is your PURPOSE in THIS thread? =)))))

"yes, sales are great, but that was all the GAMERS and now they've all bought it and none of the "non-gamer casuals" will buy it."  Is that a good summary of your position?
Around 20-25% sales is maximum. I expect 8 mln. LTD at most.

Because if so then nothing else will really be important; you are basing your whole position on IGNORING past sales trends so studying past sales trends is completely useless.

That you, who TRY to IGNORE JAPANESE sales TREND.
I don't know if it will reach 2m in Japan, but it doesn't matter



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

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I know that comparing the attachment rates doesn't work that well, I simply took away the point Crazzy was building.

You don't see Zelda in the chartz? Look better. There are only 4 Ps3 games this week that beat it. Ha-ha! And in total sales it already > Ps3 game nr 2 and 3 combined! And don't attachment rate me, because it has an attachment rate of 22.5 % which ONLY 3 Ps3 games beat.

Now, let me put up a couple of graphs (Oh no! we're back at were we started!)

You are telling me SMG has worse legs than SM64 and SMS in Japan? It is catching up to SM64!

http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Super+Mario+64+-+N64®2=Japan&game2=Super+Mario+Sunshine+-+GC®3=Japan&game3=Super+Mario+Galaxy+-+Wii&weeks=20

Brawl isn't doing surpreme in Japan? Look at it compete to it's precessors: IN ONE WEEK it did what its pressessors did in 16!

http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Super+Smash+Bros+-+N64®2=Japan&game2=Super+Smash+Bros+Melee+-+GC®3=Japan&game3=&weeks=20

All final fantasy games sell better on the first version in Japan? Think again

http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Final+Fantasy+VII+-+PS®2=Japan&game2=Final+Fantasy+VIII+-+PS®3=Japan&game3=&weeks=100

Something has happened to the FF series.

Look here: Part 1.

FF series had a HUGE leap on the NES console, and on the first SNES it also sold well. http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Final+Fantasy+I+%26+II+-+NES®2=Japan&game2=Final+Fantasy+III+-+NES®3=Japan&game3=Final+Fantasy+IV+-+SNES&weeks=100

Part 2

On the SNES the series continued to grow a lot.

http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Final+Fantasy+VI+-+SNES®2=Japan&game2=Final+Fantasy+V+-+SNES®3=Japan&game3=Final+Fantasy+IV+-+SNES&weeks=100

Part 3:

On the PS, it increased even more! http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Final+Fantasy+VI+-+SNES®2=Japan&game2=Final+Fantasy+VII+-+PS®3=Japan&game3=Final+Fantasy+VIII+-+PS&weeks=100

Part 4:

But at IX, something happened. The series had a drop, for the first time. IX sold less than VII and VIII had. http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Final+Fantasy+IX+-+PS®2=Japan&game2=Final+Fantasy+VII+-+PS®3=Japan&game3=Final+Fantasy+VIII+-+PS&weeks=100


Part 5:

At the first Ps2 game, people thought it would have an increase, but it didn't. It barely sold better than the "flop" IX. http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Final+Fantasy+VIII+-+PS®2=Japan&game2=Final+Fantasy+IX+-+PS®3=Japan&game3=Final+Fantasy+X+-+PS2&weeks=100

Part 6:

Square had now started to make a lot of Spin-offs from the real series. Maybe in an attempt to stop the trend. It didn't work. FFXI sold 158K (WTF? Is this wrong?) and FFXII sold a little less than FFX.


Ok, let's have a look at GT series.

Part 1: GT1 sold well, and GT2 followed up with half the sales. http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Gran+Turismo+-+PS®2=Japan&game2=Gran+Turismo+2+-+PS®3=Japan&game3=Gran+Turismo+3+A-Spec+-+PS2&weeks=100

Part 2:


GT3 sold at GT2 level, surprisingly low, and GT4 prologue sold 1/3 of that again, while GT4 sold 2/3 of it. GT4 prologue and GT4 sold a total of the same as GT3. Even though it was 3 games this gen, not 2, it sold 1/3 less than it did on Ps1.

Part 3:

Gran Turismo 5 prologue has so far been tracking WAY below 4 prologue, which is the least selling in the series. We can thereby expect that GT5 itself will also sell rather poorly.
http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Gran+Turismo+4+Prologue+-+PS2®2=Japan&game2=Gran+Turismo+5+Prologue+-+PS3®3=All&game3=Gran+Turismo+5+Prologue+-+PS3&weeks=100

Metal Gear Solid.

Part 1:

Metal Gear Solid 1 sold well, but way below SMG levels. MGS 2 sold even better. MGS2 exspansion sold far away from well, at 1/5 of MGS1.
http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Metal+Gear+Solid+-+PS®2=Japan&game2=Metal+Gear+Solid+2%3A+Sons+of+Liberty+-+PS2®3=All&game3=Metal+Gear+Solid+2%3A+Substance+-+PS2&weeks=100

Part 2:

Metal Gear Solid 3 sold A LOT more than the earlier in the series, almost 3 times as much. The expansion did not sell very well. http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Metal+Gear+Solid+3%3A+Subsistence+-+PS2®2=Japan&game2=Metal+Gear+Solid+2%3A+Sons+of+Liberty+-+PS2®3=All&game3=Metal+Gear+Solid+20th+Anniversary%3A+Metal+Gear+Solid+Collection+-+PS2&weeks=100

MGS is the only of the 3 major franchises that do not drop.

For Ps Minor Franchises

Tekken:

Part 1: Tekken sold well, at same level as MGS. Tekken 2 had a major increase, and almost doubled the sales. Tekken 3 kept up with Tekken 2 and sold a little higher. Tekken looked like it would become a major franchise for the Ps. http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Tekken+-+PS®2=Japan&game2=Tekken+2+-+PS®3=Japan&game3=Tekken+3+-+PS&weeks=100

Part 2: Something happened to Tekken. At nr 4, it sold half of what nr 1 had, and less than a third of 3. Nr 5 sold even less than 4. Tekken Tag tournament also came out, and sold more than 4 and 5, but a lot less than 1. http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Tekken+4+-+PS2®2=Japan&game2=Tekken+5+-+PS2®3=Japan&game3=Tekken+Tag+Tournament+-+PS2&weeks=100

Resident Evil: Used to be PS exclusive, but lost a bit too GC and now 5 is multiplat

Dragon Quest: I looked over this, simply a great selling franchise with almost no changes at all. If it comes to Ps3 it will sell fairly good, at least better than FF, so after Ps3 (if DQ comes for Ps3) I guess this might jump up to Major franchise, if I am not misscalculating and it already is.



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That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

CrazzyMan said:
zelda? i don`t see it in charts. =)

[/quote]


Let me just clarify this.

 

Your a Sony fan, and your talking to me, a Nintendo fan, about poor sales?

 

You win. I have nothing. 



I don't need your console war.
It feeds the rich while it buries the poor.
You're power hungry, spinnin' stories, and bein' graphics whores.
I don't need your console war.

NO NO, NO NO NO.

CrazzyMan, I don't know if you're being deliberately obtuse or genuinely delusional.

EVEN WITHOUT WEEKLY WW SALES DATA FOR SM64, WE CAN TAKE THE DATA WE DO HAVE AND MAKE EXTREMELY WELL-FOUNDED ESTIMATIONS. For instance, the TOTAL sales of JAP SM64 and NA/EUR SM64 are known; the weekly sales of JAP SM64 are known; and the total and weekly sales of JAP, NA, and EUR SMG sales are known. Based on this, we can say that TOTAL sales of JAP SMG are ALREADY as bad as a share of WW as SM64 EVER was, and getting worse; and therefore SMG will do BETTER WW than your JAP-ONLY graph would indicate.

I AM NOT IGNORING JAP SALES TRENDS. YOU ARE IGNORING NA AND EUR SALES TRENDS.

My "purpose in this thread" is to discuss SALES, not "OMG casuals don't buy REAL games". 

And thanks for ignoring my request from the last post. 



Tag (courtesy of fkusumot): "Please feel free -- nay, I encourage you -- to offer rebuttal."
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My advice to fanboys: Brag about stuff that's true, not about stuff that's false. Predict stuff that's likely, not stuff that's unlikely. You will be happier, and we will be happier.

"Everyone is entitled to his own opinion, but not his own facts." - Sen. Pat Moynihan
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I have the most epic death scene ever in VGChartz Mafia.  Thanks WordsofWisdom! 

Are there any other franchises I should put in there?



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That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

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Arguing with a closed mind guy is very tough.
CrazzyMan is really blind and his life depends on PS3, taking this away from him, would be like taking his soul away from him, I personally got tired of him, he just spams nonsense as of late.



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

@Oyvoyvoyv,

You are telling me SMG has worse legs than SM64 and SMS in Japan? It is catching up to SM64!
NOT really.
Brawl isn't doing surpreme in Japan? Look at it compete to it's precessors: IN ONE WEEK it did what its pressessors did in 16!
http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=Japan&game1=Super+Smash+Bros+-+N64®2=Japan&game2=Super+Smash+Bros+Melee+-+GC®3=Japan&game3=&weeks=50 Cherry picking.

All final fantasy games sell better on the first version in Japan?
THAT`s you FANTASY.

Something has happened to the FF series.
FF main games NOT anymore on Nintendo systems.

But at IX, something happened. The series had a drop, for the first time. IX sold less than VII and VIII had.
potatoes and bannanas.

and FFXII sold a little less than FFX.
STILL over 2 mln.

Part 1: GT1 sold well, and GT2 followed up with half the sales.
Second GT game on system sells less. GT > GT2, GT3 > GT4.

@Final-Fan,

SMG will do BETTER WW than your JAP-ONLY graph would indicate.
Then Mario N64? dream ON.
For now SMG sales are VERY CLOSE to SMS sales, FACT.
I AM NOT IGNORING JAP SALES TRENDS. YOU ARE IGNORING NA AND EUR SALES TRENDS.
They are DECLINING, what i ignore?

@ZenfoldorVGI, i don`t see Zelda in top20 WW weekly sales. Do you See?



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far

Final Fan, you have a very good point, but you are wrong. In Japan SM64 sold 1.9M in USA 6.9 and in Europe 3.1M. This means 15.9 %, or 16 % of the sales are in Japan.

SMG has sold 0.9 in Japan, 3 in USA and 1.67 in Europe. This means 16.1 % of Galaxy's sales are in Japan. So Japan vs Japan is fair. Unless I misunderstood you that is.

The problem with this however, is that Japan has become a very 1 day sales for consoles, and SMG won't go a lot higher there (1.2M max) while Europe is a VERY "leggy" country, so that means the % of Japan should go down to 12ish percent, so that you have to add to Japan.

I'll do the math, and hope I'm right.

First we find 1 % of the total sales. After 13 weeks in Japan, SMG had sold 887K. 887/12=7391K. That is the total sales. (I know, it doesn't fit, but because the mentioned above it might be later)

SM64 had 1080K/16=6750. If I am right, that means SMG is tracking above SM64 overall, just that we do not have the numbers. Even if I am wrong, and 14 % will be the total sales, SMG is tracking alike with SM64.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

Crazzy, I never said that 2 selling half was bad. I just commented, cause that is natural. That IX sold less is not potatoes and bananas, it's just that you have no real excuse. SMS sold 18 % of its sales in Japan, which means you have to divide it by 18 aned then multiply by 100 to find the approx sales at the time, Galaxy will only have about 14% in Japan.

I see Zelda at 31 place or something, only 5 Ps3 games beat it.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

@Oyvoyvoyv,

IX sold less is not potatoes and bananas, it's just that you have no real excuse.
Somehow your graphs doesn`t work.
On New Playstation console, New FF/GT game sales more, then last FF/GT game on previous console.
That`s how that always was.
only 5 Ps3 games beat it.
there will be MORE, after FFXIII, MGS4, GT5 and etc.



Every 5 seconds on earth one child dies from hunger...

2009.04.30 - PS3 will OUTSELL x360 atleast by the middle of 2010. Japan+Europe > NA.


Gran Turismo 3 - 1,06 mln. in 3 weeks with around 4 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Gran Turismo 4 - 1,16 mln. with 18 mln. PS2 on the launch.

Final Fantasy X - around 2 mln. with 5 mln. PS2 on the launch.
Final Fantasy X-2 - 2.4 mln. with 12 mln. PS2 on the launch.

 

1.8 mln. PS3 today(2008.01.17) in Japan. Now(2009.04.30) 3.16 mln. PS3 were sold in Japan.
PS3 will reach 4 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 25k.

PS3 may reach 5 mln. in Japan by the end of 2009 with average weekly sales 50k.
PS2 2001 vs PS3 2008 sales numbers =) + New games released in Japan by 2009 that passed 100k so far