New Games will make Wii U sales go... | |||
| Up a little. 12-15k a week in March. | 85 | 35.56% | |
| Up a lot. 15-20k. | 50 | 20.92% | |
| Way up! 20k+. The winter drought is over!! | 53 | 22.18% | |
| No impact. 10k. | 35 | 14.64% | |
| WiiDuuumed! Sales going down... | 16 | 6.69% | |
| Total: | 239 | ||
Mummelmann said:
Okay, sure. I say that Pikmin 3 won't sell more than 750k lifetime. |
There's NO WAY Pikmin 3 will sell less than 750k lifetime. Can I get in on this as well?
Mummelmann said:
Okay, sure. I say that Pikmin 3 won't sell more than 750k lifetime. |
I see you have not realized that Captain Olimar got free advertisement from SSBB and Nintendoland minigame.
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/profile/92109/nintendopie/ Nintendopie Was obviously right and I was obviously wrong. I will forever be a lesser being than them. (6/16/13)
Mummelmann said:
Okay, sure. I say that Pikmin 3 won't sell more than 750k lifetime. |
I've never done a bet before, either. :P
I want to keep this one relatively short-term, though, and I'm confident enough. I'll give you 750k by the end of 2013. One week sig time? Two weeks? You make the call.
I'm not sure it will do 750k by the end of the year, but it will easily top that lifetime. I expect about 1.2m when all is said and done.
I picked the 750k just to pretend I have massive balls, my initial sentiment was that it was unlikely to sell 1 million or more. But we'll leave it as is, I can't imagine I'll die if I'm wrong. 
| Mummelmann said: Monster Hunter is a fairly small franchise outside of handhelds and the PSP version of Freedom Unite sold well over twice as much as the Wii version of Monster Hunter Tri (5.35 vs 2.09). Walking Dead might be good games but they have sold very, very poorly, all the episodes combined have managed an estimated 1.5 million or so divided on three platforms, hardly a massive series by anyone's count. Amazing Spider Man is a very late port and a small one at that, being the product of typical licensed games based on movies, they almost never have any impact worth mentioning. Lego is a fairly big title and Lego Star Wars managed over 5 million on the Wii. The problem is this though; the Wii U isn't attracting the same customers as the Wii, this is one of the chief reasons its selling so badly so the customer base for a Lego game just isn't there. The same goes for Wii Fit U should that appear, the customer base is just not there. Pikmin is among the smaller Nintendo franchises and sold incredibly tiny numbers compared to their other hitters, managing only 0.4 and 0.6 million on the Wii. Pikmin 3 will at best be an obscure thing that moves a few hundred thousand. Wind Waker is a remake, even though some Zelda fans will love it, its not something to draw in new customers and certainly won't have anywhere near the same impact as brand new, full fledged Zelda. Wonderful 101 looks like a charming title, but it also has the looks and feel of a really niche product. Don't expect huge numbers, with such an obscure setup it might go on to be a sub 250k title when all is said and done. I hope it manages more though, since I believe that creativity and originality should be rewarded but this is rarely the case in the real world. NFS: Most Wanted sold about 1.67 million on the PS3 by now, a platform that should be rife with the right demographic, these are fairly poor sales for a mainline NFS title and the Wii U is getting yet another late late port, you do the math. Nintendo doesn't need something that "may lead into Wii Play U", they need to get off their ass and try to get some proper support for their console, with the dreary weekly sales we're seeing and the incredibly poor 3rd party support, there's no way it will rise to acceptable levels any time soon. Those games you mentioned will yield a temporary boost, perhaps in the order of 8-10.000 units but it will be short and make little difference in the long run. If this continues into the holiday season, it might very well be too late for the Wii U to ever become relevant at all, much like the Vita. Extremely late ports, niche titles and the tiny Nintendo franchises won't do them much good. The Wii U has been in trouble since early january and it could easily get worse. |
This post sums up my feelings pretty well (excluding the error with how well Walking Dead did :P).
The only difference is I feel sales will go up by about 15-20K instead of 8-10K, the number of games coming out for the WiiU will provide it with a bit of attention it isn't getting right now (and that'll hopefully lead to sales :)).
Wow, that 750k lifetime bet is like asking someone to make ball contact in T-Ball.
Lego City may create some buzz among the Lego crowd.
| TheLastStarFighter said: Wow, that 750k lifetime bet is like asking someone to make ball contact in T-Ball. Lego City may create some buzz among the Lego crowd. |
Again, not 1 million or above was the initial sentiment, its important to sweeten the deal and take it one step further. 
I don't have massive faith in this prediction, I admit, despite having made a lot of good ones before, but its all in good fun.
Hm, I think Lego City will have very good sales. But its hard to estimate. Everyone I know with a Wii U think about buying it. If nintendo advertise this game it could give a Wii U sales bost too.
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