By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

Forums - Sales Discussion - The Nintendo DS: Can it hit 100m This year?!

So as of now, 25 people say no and 2 people say yes....



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

Around the Network
Tayne said:
85-90 million is the most logical

how so?  using what logical thought process?

 the high end of ur range, 90 million, is only 23 million more....last year it did 30 million, so you are predicting a 23% dropoff from last year (at best; 40% at worst!!!!) even tho it was SUPPLY CONSTRAINED

 why do people continually think that a supply constrained console is always 'just a month away' from meeting demand and tanking sales?

how is it 'most logical' to predict a 23-40% dropoff on a supply-constrained system that isn't lowering production?



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp
StarcraftManiac said:

I guess the DS won't have a bigger year then 07 this time... 08 will be around 07 in terms of sales (or slightly below it)

So im guessing it to get @ 88-92 million by the end of 08.


your conclusion makes no sense given your argument

 

you say it will be around 07 in sales (or slightly below it)...07 was 30million

then you say 88-92 million as your conclusion

92 million is 25 million in sales and 88 million is 21 million in sales

 so your high is 17% below last year's and your low 30% lower, even tho your argument is that it will be 'around or slightly below'

 17-30% lower is not the same thing as 'around or slightly below'



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp

Let us look at it from a different angle.

DS vs. Ps2. (No this won't be wrong, because Sony Ps2 was outsold and therefore would not have sold more worldwide if launched everywhere, see http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?id=15569&start=-0 to see what I did wrong last time.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

First 26 weeks: DS sells 5.2 Ps2 2.9 Ds has sold 2.3M more

First 52 weeks: DS 8.7 Ps2 7.0. Ds has sold 1.7M more, and during last 26 weeks Ps2 did 600K better.

First 78 weeks: DS 18.7M Ps2 12.9M Totally + 5.8M DS last 26 weeks + 4.1M DS

First 104 weeks: DS 28.6M PS2 24.3M. Totally + 4.3 DS last 26 weeks + 1.5M ps2.

First 130 weeks: DS totals 43.5M vs 31.1M for Ps2. Total of + 12.4 DS last 26 weeks 8.1 + DS.

First 156 weeks DS 55.4M Ps2 45.2M total: + 10.2 DS last 26 weeks: + 2.2M Ps2

Today for DS(167 weeks for Ps2) DS: 66.5M PS2 47.6M Total: 18.9M + DS last 26 weeks: 8.7M DS



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

Around the Network

And when did PS2 make 66.5M (DS today)? 218 weeks. The ps2 is 41 weeks behind the DS (different launches, so holidays fall on different times, but anyway.

From there, how long time did Ps2 use to beat 100M? 122 weeks (week 340)
Therefore, I change my opinion. If the ps2 used 122 weeks from 66.5M, DS will not be able to use only 52.

I conclude: NO. The Nintendo Dual-Screen will NOT make 100M within 1/1/09.



http://www.vgchartz.com/games/userreviewdisp.php?id=261

That is VGChartz LONGEST review. And it's NOT Cute Kitten DS

I think DS this year will be stronger than last year
so .. yeah .. It can .



Oyvoyvoyv said:
And when did PS2 make 66.5M (DS today)? 218 weeks. The ps2 is 41 weeks behind the DS (different launches, so holidays fall on different times, but anyway.

From there, how long time did Ps2 use to beat 100M? 122 weeks (week 340)
Therefore, I change my opinion. If the ps2 used 122 weeks from 66.5M, DS will not be able to use only 52.

I conclude: NO. The Nintendo Dual-Screen will NOT make 100M within 1/1/09.

why is it better to use ps2 data than ds data?

ds sold 30 million last year; it is 33 million from 100mil...all u need to do is look and decide if ds should sell more or less than last year...if it should sell 3mil more than last year, then it will hit it

 



Bets:Missed by 420k I bet leo-j vg$500 that wii will sell 31 million by 7/31/08.  Sorry, I don't think he has enough vg$ to make it with all of u that wish you could. Hit, with room to spare I bet kingofwale a 1-week ban that wii Americas ltd sales>360 Americas ltd sales as of the numbers for week ending 7/05/08 (using vgchartz homepage #s)

Predictions:

Wii will sell 18-20mil by 12/31/07  CHECKWii will sell 45mil+ WW by 12/31/08Wii will surpass PS2 sales WW by 11/17/11 (5yr anniversary)Wii Fit will hit 12mil sales in 2009MKWii+SSBB+Wii Fit+SMG > 50 mil sales by 2010 > gta4+mgs+gt5+ff13+haze+lbp

Eighty to NInety million by this yr. end



I think 95 million at the end of year