well i've always said PS4, Nextbox, AND WiiU, would have even market share but i was indeed wrong.

Sony has EU on lock this time around, with likely very little resistance from Wiiu in JP.

WiiU will likely fight Ouya for 4th lol. WiiU will start to sell when Nintendo releases there big ip, but i don't think it will be sustainable.

nextbox will do well. NA i feel will treat nextbox and PS4 the same depending on exclusives and COD which the gap in that arena is closing. i'll just rap this up by saying the gap will be no more then 0-10m either way if Sony plays their cards right.

1. PS4
2. NeXbox
3. Wii U
4. The steam thing

To be fair, I need to see what they plan to release, but  the 360 is still expensive, yet people are expecting new xbox plus new  kinect to be cheap. I see huge start in NA, UK  but wont be able to keep up. 

Well, if the economy hit the consoles in 2009, I guess that didn't apply to the PS3, as it sold 2.8M more than it did the previous year.  And in 2010, it sold 900K more than in 2009.  In 2011, it sold 220K more than it did in 2010.  Only in 2012, thanks to the natural decline of the market at the end of the gen, did it start to see a decline YOY.  I think your problem is that you're looking at this from a Nintendo centric point of view.  I guess you think the decline of the Wii in 2009, even though it's always been cheaper, by 2.9M YOY had to do with the economy?  Nope.  It had to do with people starting to lose interest in the Wii.  Which is why when PS3 was still climbing in 2010, the Wii dropped another 4M YOY. 

The Wii U's problem has to do with interest in the HW, not the economy.  Interest is a 50/50 split between the attractiveness of the HW and the SW.  People may be interested in Nintendo's SW offerings, but like the N64 and Gamecube have shown us before, it takes more than that to make people buy your system. 

Sony and MS have everything to prove this gen. MS has to prove it wasn't a fluke, and they can compete.

Sony has to prove it was a fluke, and their comeback, is telling of the PS brands undying strength, and continued power and dominance that only wavered because of PS3's initial lack of software and price point.

at this point, it's all about price.

Its not always about winning it about the various companies making enough profit to carry on .I like having choice it makes gaming better for us all .too many threads on this site mainly from PS fans willing the demise of any choice .

agreed with everything but the bold. trust me it's equal when the fans making those threads own all 3 consoles. 90% of those threads are for conversation. the other 10% are to get a rise out of people.

My point exactly.  All of these problems seem to be addressed this gen. 

Price - Rumors all point to the price being $399-429.  This is a great price for the power and features you are getting, especially when compared to the $499 PS3.

Release Date - The PS4 and the NeXbox are both launching later this year.  So, at max the NeXbox will have a few weeks to a month headstart.  That is nothing compared to the 1 year head start the 360 got.

Cell - PS4 is going to have a MUCH more developer friendly HW compared to the PS3.  This will lead to multiplats that are equal to or, when combined with the better GPU, better than the NeXbox versions.

Games - It looks like Sony has got all the major, and a lot of the smaller, game companies on board from the start.  And we still have E3 left to learn what other launch window titles are going to be available.

Too soon to tell, but my $ is going towards the PS4 + Wii U combo, and it seems like the majority of my friends are going the PSX route. The indifference towards the Wii U is growing and more and more I get the sense people see it as a joke of a system (again in my area). It should be interesting, but for my region, I do not see the Wii U being either first or second. This gen it was slightly in favor to the Xbox 360, but if both consoles don't offer BC, release around the same time and Sony brings the goods then things could go in Sony's favor. Towards the end of the cycle the PS3 caught a lot of attention and now people are willing to give Sony a chance. Time will tell ....

EDIT

A major factor is the free online play. I hope Sony keeps it tiered. Premium service that requires a fee and basic that is gratis. A lot of people in my area are locked out from online play (XBL) due to inferior credit mechanisms and scarcity of cards for online play. This is a major reason why the PS3 has surfaced as an alternative to the Xbox 360 in my area.

unless wii u does a complete turn around, its looking quite obvious that PS4 will win the next gen. i cant see the next xbox coming anywhere near! it would have to sell like 60-70m in UK and NA alone!