Too soon to tell, but my $ is going towards the PS4 + Wii U combo, and it seems like the majority of my friends are going the PSX route. The indifference towards the Wii U is growing and more and more I get the sense people see it as a joke of a system (again in my area). It should be interesting, but for my region, I do not see the Wii U being either first or second. This gen it was slightly in favor to the Xbox 360, but if both consoles don't offer BC, release around the same time and Sony brings the goods then things could go in Sony's favor. Towards the end of the cycle the PS3 caught a lot of attention and now people are willing to give Sony a chance. Time will tell ....
EDIT
A major factor is the free online play. I hope Sony keeps it tiered. Premium service that requires a fee and basic that is gratis. A lot of people in my area are locked out from online play (XBL) due to inferior credit mechanisms and scarcity of cards for online play. This is a major reason why the PS3 has surfaced as an alternative to the Xbox 360 in my area.
Playstation = The Beast from the East
Sony + Nintendo = WIN! PS3 + PSV + PS4 + Wii U + 3DS