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Forums - Sales Discussion - Japanese sales: 3DS 2013 vs DS 2006 (Week 41!)

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What will the 3DS's year-end sales be in Japan?

Over 8 mil! There's still hope! 37 31.62%
 
7-8 mil. Absurdly well, but not DS 06 level. 23 19.66%
 
5.5-7 mil. Better than la... 33 28.21%
 
5-5.5 mil. Over Nintendo... 13 11.11%
 
Under 5 mil. Dooooooom! 7 5.98%
 
Under 3 mil. SUPER DOOOOOOOOOM!! 2 1.71%
 
Total:115

So 166k per week in Japan?
Hmmm. I guess its possible but I'd have to see the next few weeks sales to make a better prediction.



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I don't think there's any chance of it happening. The 3DS would need a phenomenal boost. To put it into perspective, the DS post-lite didn't drop under 510,000 a single month in 2006. Meanwhile, the 3DS in 2012 only surpassed 410,000 twice - in November and December.

I think even matching the DS' 2007 - at 7.2 million - is going to be a very hard stretch.



I think launch aligned, 3DS will rise above DS with this strng of a 2013 lineup. Peak to peak, 3DS hasnt had the benefit of a redesign and definitely is selling into a much more depressed economy. 3DSi to the recue in 2014!!!!



Honestly, I never though I'd say this, but 3DS does have a chance of surpassing DS in Japan. It's already over 10 million sold over there and it's still got another four solid years on the market before a successor hits and sales take a nosedive.

Outside of Japan, though... Yikes.



 

zeldas ,marios ,pekemons are coming so its a posibility



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I doubt it, but still could be classified as a major success and could be second greatest selling hand held ever.

The DS truly was something to behold in its prime, not fair to compare anything to it.



Pineapple said:

I don't think there's any chance of it happening. The 3DS would need a phenomenal boost. To put it into perspective, the DS post-lite didn't drop under 510,000 a single month in 2006. Meanwhile, the 3DS in 2012 only surpassed 410,000 twice - in November and December.

I think even matching the DS' 2007 - at 7.2 million - is going to be a very hard stretch.


I do remember well the timeframe you're referring to.  Every week like clockwork the DS/ Lite was selling 150k /week for well over a year straight.  There were even articles written at the time where people were saying you'd be hard-pressed to find someone out and about in Japan who didn't have a DS on them.

We'll see how 2013 shakes out for 3DS.  In order to have a chance at even matching DS sales, (let alone surpassing it) the 3DS will need to sell in excess of 150k per week for a sustained period of time, and the holiday season would have to be absolute gangbusters. 

It is possible, though.  Monster Hunter/ Shin Megami/ Luigi's Mansion/ Pokemon/ Dragon Quest.  Surely to be the 3DS's biggest year in Japan by far.  Not mention what are sure to be very long legs for Animal Crossing.  I think that game will sell well into the spring, helping keep 3DS numbers up on off-weeks when no new titles are released.



 

AlphaCielago said:
the_dengle said:

Maybe I should track 3DS 2013 vs DS 2006 in this thread? Weekly update? Could be interesting.


Yes you should. It would be quite intressting.

Yes, please do.  That would be awesome!



 

Track the sales. That would make for a very exciting thread.

And no. New IP's (or old ones making a comeback) that catch people's attentions need to be made to have a 7.5 Million + year. With the titles coming out this year, though, I think the 3DS could top out at around 6.5 Million in Japan, 7 if everything goes perfect.



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