Scisca on 16 December 2012
I went with 9 mil, this is why. First, I predict a pricecut in the window between April and E3. Most probably by $50. Of course that is not enough to reach 9 mil, but I'm hoping for a MGS (please, let Phantom Pain be a MGS Vita game...) a second Uncharted, at least an announcement of a GTA for Vita. I'm also expecting a big title from Ubi next X-mas, considering ACIII:L is selling well. There should also be at least an announcement of a GoW for Vita.
I add to this a stronger lineup in Japan, the Soul Sacrifice, Killzone and Tearaway games and this should be enough to make people buy the console. I think the basic 199 Vita should come with a 4 GB card and 3 months of PS+. Big value for a gamer at next to no price for Sony.
Wii U is a GCN 2 - I called it months before the release!
My Vita to-buy list: The Walking Dead, Persona 4 Golden, Need for Speed: Most Wanted, TearAway, Ys: Memories of Celceta, Muramasa: The Demon Blade, History: Legends of War, FIFA 13, Final Fantasy HD X, X-2, Worms Revolution Extreme, The Amazing Spiderman, Batman: Arkham Origins Blackgate - too many no-gaemz :/
My consoles: PS2 Slim, PS3 Slim 320 GB, PSV 32 GB, Wii, DSi.