I think the only way it'll do more than 5 million is if it does exceptionally well with critics (95+ meta) and gets a massive marketing push (similar or bigger budget than UC3).

It's a new IP, I don't know if it has as much mass appeal as Uncharted, and I doubt it'll be bundled as much as Uncharted. My prediction(s) is it releases in the first half of next year and sells 3.5m by the end of the year.

That's your reasoning?

Your reasoning is based off of sales dropping simply due to a new console coming out. DOn't patronize me with a post like this when your own is unfounded.

PS4 comes out, everyone buys a ps4, people don't buy ps3s or ps3 games anymore, right?

And what evidence do you have showing a previous console still in production doesn't sell, and doesn't sell games? The ps2?

My reasoning is in the reply I left to CGI.

I didn't say people won't buy a ps3 or ps3 games anymore. But it's foolish to think there won't be a noticeable decrease in PS3 software/hardware sales when the PS4 does release. I'm not saying games are going to flop. Obviously games will still be successful. But expecting 5-7m for a single-player centric new IP at the end of the PS3 life cycle is simply unrealistic.

It could still do 4-5m which is still great.

True, no one can say with absolute certainty what will happen. But we can surely tell which predictions are realistic or unrealistic. Only a handful of games have/will sell near 6m. It's extremely unlikely that TLoU will join those games with a lot less time to do so. And no confirmed multiplayer. Sure, it's possible it could sell to do so, but theproff's prediction is not a likely one. 

I personally think it'll do around 3.5 - 4.5m. a little higher than 5m if things go really higher.

So, it was confirmed. Good to know.

Yes, it's speculation. Every prediction is speculation. Some are just more realistic than others.

N ah 5-7 m is to high. I would say 4 million at best.

It will only sell more if it release on PS4 too.

Don't call me a fool, pretender.

Why are you bringing Uncharted back up?  This is about The Last of Us, not Uncharted.  And you do realize that every game is scripted, right?  It is just a matter of how scripted it is, like whether you can go through a level and do multiple things to get through the level.  In Uncharted's case there was only one way to go about a level.  

And the 40 or more awards that Uncharted 2 won say Hi.  Pretty much every reviewer agreed that Uncharted 2 was one of the best games, both graphically and gameplay wise.  But, it is your opinion but you didn't justify why you think Uncharted sucks.  Plus, I could hardly read what you even wrote

It's worth noting that people were saying exactly this about Uncharted 2.