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Forums - Sales - 3DS vs PSV 2012 Edition: 3DS 30m or PSV 5m? (Oct 6th: Vita > 3m!)

 

Which milestone will occur first: 3DS 30m or PSV 5m?

Both before Jan 5th, but 3DS first 77 16.67%
 
Both before Jan 5th, but PSV first 35 7.58%
 
3DS before Jan 5th, PSV after 179 38.74%
 
PSV before Jan 5th, 3DS after 59 12.77%
 
Both after Jan 5th, but 3DS first 83 17.97%
 
Both after Jan 5th, but PSV first 29 6.28%
 
Total:462

no new lists? :( *sad panda*



3DS FC# 4553-9947-9017 NNID: Bajablo

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The rEVOLution is not being televised

Well, charts or not at this point (I can't see the charts), the numbers are pretty dire for those who figure 5m or 30m before Jan 5th. There are eight weeks left until January 5th, going from the fact that the November 10th stats are up on the page.

Vita current: 3.24m
Average Needed Per Week Until Jan 5th: Approx. 220k per week until then.

3DS current: 22.32m
Average Needed Per Week Until Jan 5th: Approx. 960k per week until then.

Not sure I see either managing that.

(EDIT: Wow, just realized when this thread was posted in last. Does this count as a necro?)



CChaos said:

Well, charts or not at this point (I can't see the charts), the numbers are pretty dire for those who figure 5m or 30m before Jan 5th. There are eight weeks left until January 5th, going from the fact that the November 10th stats are up on the page.

Vita current: 3.24m
Average Needed Per Week Until Jan 5th: Approx. 220k per week until then.

3DS current: 22.32m
Average Needed Per Week Until Jan 5th: Approx. 960k per week until then.

Not sure I see either managing that.

(EDIT: Wow, just realized when this thread was posted in last. Does this count as a necro?)

Dunno about Vita, but in the final 7 weeks of last year 3DS moved about 6.5 million units, or a 920k average per week. It just has to beat that by 40k/week to hit 30 mil. So it's definitely possible, but it might be a stretch. For reference, in the past 4 weeks the 3DS has averaged 16k/week more sales than in the equivalent 4 weeks last year.

@bolded, nah the last post wasn't even a month ago.



the_dengle said:
CChaos said:

Well, charts or not at this point (I can't see the charts), the numbers are pretty dire for those who figure 5m or 30m before Jan 5th. There are eight weeks left until January 5th, going from the fact that the November 10th stats are up on the page.

Vita current: 3.24m
Average Needed Per Week Until Jan 5th: Approx. 220k per week until then.

3DS current: 22.32m
Average Needed Per Week Until Jan 5th: Approx. 960k per week until then.

Not sure I see either managing that.

(EDIT: Wow, just realized when this thread was posted in last. Does this count as a necro?)

Dunno about Vita, but in the final 7 weeks of last year 3DS moved about 6.5 million units, or a 920k average per week. It just has to beat that by 40k/week to hit 30 mil. So it's definitely possible, but it might be a stretch. For reference, in the past 4 weeks the 3DS has averaged 16k/week more sales than in the equivalent 4 weeks last year.

@bolded, nah the last post wasn't even a month ago.

Oh good, I don't want to get into the habit of necroing threads. heh

Yeah, Vita only had Japan last Christmas and I think that was released in mid-December, so no real way to tell how the Vita will do. Present numbers make it hard to tell how things are going to go for the Vita this Christmas. 4m to 4.5m by Jan 5th probably seems more likely.

Good numbers you offer though. It'll be interesting to see if the 3DS has a shot. It's a long shot, but who knows? Maybe it'll blow by 30m by Jan 5th.



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CChaos said:

Oh good, I don't want to get into the habit of necroing threads. heh

Yeah, Vita only had Japan last Christmas and I think that was released in mid-December, so no real way to tell how the Vita will do. Present numbers make it hard to tell how things are going to go for the Vita this Christmas. 4m to 4.5m by Jan 5th probably seems more likely.

Good numbers you offer though. It'll be interesting to see if the 3DS has a shot. It's a long shot, but who knows? Maybe it'll blow by 30m by Jan 5th.

Vita doesn't seem to be doing too well. My money's on it not hitting 5 mil until February. 3DS, though, I think will hit 30 mil on Jan 5th.



the_dengle said:
Vita doesn't seem to be doing too well. My money's on it not hitting 5 mil until February. 3DS, though, I think will hit 30 mil on Jan 5th.

My guess was that both would hit their individual marks after the Jan 5th cut off, with the 3DS hitting first. Random guess, but either of ours could be right. At this point, unless the Vita pulls out amazing numbers for the next 8 weeks straight, the 3DS will likely win the race, so I think now one needs to simply wonder whether it'll be before or after the 5th that it wins.



It might take the Vita another 20 weeks to hit the 5 million mark. This thresd hasn't been updated in a long time.



Sad to see a lack of updates in this thread...neither managed it though 3DS will hit it before PSV, for certain.



 

Here lies the dearly departed Nintendomination Thread.

update needed here