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CChaos on 16 November 2012
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the_dengle said:
CChaos said:

Well, charts or not at this point (I can't see the charts), the numbers are pretty dire for those who figure 5m or 30m before Jan 5th. There are eight weeks left until January 5th, going from the fact that the November 10th stats are up on the page.

Vita current: 3.24m
Average Needed Per Week Until Jan 5th: Approx. 220k per week until then.

3DS current: 22.32m
Average Needed Per Week Until Jan 5th: Approx. 960k per week until then.

Not sure I see either managing that.

(EDIT: Wow, just realized when this thread was posted in last. Does this count as a necro?)

Dunno about Vita, but in the final 7 weeks of last year 3DS moved about 6.5 million units, or a 920k average per week. It just has to beat that by 40k/week to hit 30 mil. So it's definitely possible, but it might be a stretch. For reference, in the past 4 weeks the 3DS has averaged 16k/week more sales than in the equivalent 4 weeks last year.

@bolded, nah the last post wasn't even a month ago.

Oh good, I don't want to get into the habit of necroing threads. heh

Yeah, Vita only had Japan last Christmas and I think that was released in mid-December, so no real way to tell how the Vita will do. Present numbers make it hard to tell how things are going to go for the Vita this Christmas. 4m to 4.5m by Jan 5th probably seems more likely.

Good numbers you offer though. It'll be interesting to see if the 3DS has a shot. It's a long shot, but who knows? Maybe it'll blow by 30m by Jan 5th.