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Forums - Sales Discussion - Prediction: NSMB2 will outsell the top 10 PSV games shown off at E3 2012 combined

 

Will this prediction become true?

Yes, definitely. 244 53.39%
 
Probably. 103 22.54%
 
Maybe. Maybe not. 42 9.19%
 
Unlikely. 33 7.22%
 
Impossible. 35 7.66%
 
Total:457
Pavolink on 07 June 2012
pezus said:
Conegamer said:
And which 10 games would this be? ;)

COD will sell 1300k, FIFA 900k, and Assassin's Creed 600k at best, and these are the top 3.

Why the really random numbers? AC 600k at best? It isn't even a port like the other ones.

How much do you expect to sell in a pretty low installbase as the Vita one, and having a launch of a mainline game in the series at the same time?



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


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Pavolink on 07 June 2012
pezus said:

We predicting first week or lifetime? Did you see how PSP games sold? This will not sell a lot at launch, but it will most definitely have great legs (if the game is good, mind you). If the game is good, I expect it to sell 2m+ eventually. Around 1m first year, 150-200k first week.


That's a big IF. We don't know if the AC base is going to buy Vita to play it. Look at Revelations or KH3D for 3DS.



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


Pavolink on 07 June 2012
pezus said:

Sony already had a portable AC, and a bad one at that. What did it sell?


Bloodlines in 2009 when ACII was released. Sold 1.48M.

http://www.vgchartz.com/game/35187/assassins-creed-bloodlines/

 

PSP User base Dec 31th 2009: 56M

http://www.vgchartz.com/yearly/2009/Global/

.



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


VicViper on 07 June 2012
Pavolink said:
pezus said:

Sony already had a portable AC, and a bad one at that. What did it sell?


Bloodlines in 2009 when ACII was released. Sold 1.48M.

http://www.vgchartz.com/game/35187/assassins-creed-bloodlines/

 

PSP User base Dec 31th 2009: 56M

http://www.vgchartz.com/yearly/2009/Global/

.

if you look at the comments in the game's wall people are saying it's way overtracked.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=421738

I don't really trust VG Chartz too much for software sales, that's why.



Pavolink on 07 June 2012
VicViper said:

if you look at the comments in the game's wall people are saying it's way overtracked.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=421738

I don't really trust VG Chartz too much for software sales, that's why.

So, maybe not even a million copies?



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


Around the Network
VicViper on 07 June 2012
Pavolink said:
VicViper said:

if you look at the comments in the game's wall people are saying it's way overtracked.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=421738

I don't really trust VG Chartz too much for software sales, that's why.

So, maybe not even a million copies?


Well, if those numbers are correct, and they should be, and they were released two years after the game release... not even 600k, I say.

One of the reasons this game won't sell that much, imo, is the protagonist. While she looks cool and all, female protagonists are not as popular as badass male characters, and she being unhooded, again cool, but will not help associate this game with the series.

Well, nothing that a 90+ rating on metacritic can't solve, but that's difficult to predict, for high or low.



Pavolink on 07 June 2012
RolStoppable said:
Regardless of what Bloodlines sold, Liberation should get past the 1m mark. It's going to be bundled with a white Vita this holiday season.

1M this holiday or LTD?



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


Pavolink on 07 June 2012
pezus said:

User base is hardly relevant for such a core title. Look at MGS4 vs. MGS3. GT4 vs. GT3. Good games released early on will have steady legs throughout the system's life.

Well yes. Anyway, like you see, AC was not a big seller on PSP.

 

RolStoppable said:

Lifetime.

Ah. Ok then.



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile


noname2200 on 07 June 2012

This bet seemed pretty safe when you made it. Now that E3's actually over...



Pavolink on 07 June 2012
noname2200 said:
This bet seemed pretty safe when you made it. Now that E3's actually over...


Look even more safe? Less?



Proud to be the first cool Nintendo fan ever

Number ONE Zelda fan in the Universe

DKCTF didn't move consoles

Prediction: No Zelda HD for Wii U, quietly moved to the succesor

Predictions for Nintendo NX and Mobile