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Forums - Sales - Eight Predictions for '08

Katilian on 13 January 2008
NSS7 said:
10 MOST ANTICIPATED GAMES OF 2008 (NOT RANKED)

Spore (WII)
 
Is this even coming to the Wii? While I've heard rumor about it coming to almost every platform under the sun, on PC/DS/Mobile has been confirmed. That said, it definitely doesn't make it a Wii exclusive.

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Branko2166 on 13 January 2008
ClaudeLv250 said:
But what happens after that? Other than Mario Kart Wii, there's nothing particularly exciting lined up to keep those elusive Wiis from collecting dust. Beyond massive first-party gems like Super Mario Galaxy and Metroid Prime, the current software lineup is pretty thin and the upcoming Wii release list is comparatively weak. We're expecting a slew of new first-party announcements come the E3 convention in July, but that might be just enough time for the competition to catch up.


This is pretty stupid. How is the rest of the year "weak," exactly, when no one actually knows what the rest of the '08 lineup is? Nintendo - and select 3rd parties, have purposely kept that under wraps. They're basically assuming. Also, I'm not sure how the competition is supposed to "catch up" by E3, unless they can developed and release several "mega hits" in under 90 days nothing at E3 should be having a significant instant impact on all 3 consoles lineups.

So why do you think that Nintendo and third parties would keep those games under wrap?? Does it not make sense to build up anticipation of a game? For the 360 and ps3 we more or less know what they are going to be releasing this year but for the wii as the author pointed out past the first quarter we know of virtually no AAA titles that are coming. Though personally I do hope they do come up with some great games so that we get good competition.

 



 

 

Avinash_Tyagi on 13 January 2008
libellule said:
yes the PS3 has a lot of very anticipated games
yes many "online" gamers dont care about Wii games

but even without lot of games, even with just Wiisport, the Wii would sell to the mass market.

People dont buy the console for the games, they buy the console for the console itself (Wiimote concept) and because it is cheap.

 Wron they buy it for the games, just not the games you like, which is why these predictions fail, no mention of Mario party which will rule over the world for months



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

Avinash_Tyagi on 13 January 2008
Branko2166 said:
ClaudeLv250 said:
But what happens after that? Other than Mario Kart Wii, there's nothing particularly exciting lined up to keep those elusive Wiis from collecting dust. Beyond massive first-party gems like Super Mario Galaxy and Metroid Prime, the current software lineup is pretty thin and the upcoming Wii release list is comparatively weak. We're expecting a slew of new first-party announcements come the E3 convention in July, but that might be just enough time for the competition to catch up.


This is pretty stupid. How is the rest of the year "weak," exactly, when no one actually knows what the rest of the '08 lineup is? Nintendo - and select 3rd parties, have purposely kept that under wraps. They're basically assuming. Also, I'm not sure how the competition is supposed to "catch up" by E3, unless they can developed and release several "mega hits" in under 90 days nothing at E3 should be having a significant instant impact on all 3 consoles lineups.

So why do you think that Nintendo and third parties would keep those games under wrap?? Does it not make sense to build up anticipation of a game? For the 360 and ps3 we more or less know what they are going to be releasing this year but for the wii as the author pointed out past the first quarter we know of virtually no AAA titles that are coming. Though personally I do hope they do come up with some great games so that we get good competition.

 


 Who cares, games like mario party will keep sales skyrocketing for months



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

BengaBenga on 13 January 2008
Branko2166 said:
ClaudeLv250 said:
But what happens after that? Other than Mario Kart Wii, there's nothing particularly exciting lined up to keep those elusive Wiis from collecting dust. Beyond massive first-party gems like Super Mario Galaxy and Metroid Prime, the current software lineup is pretty thin and the upcoming Wii release list is comparatively weak. We're expecting a slew of new first-party announcements come the E3 convention in July, but that might be just enough time for the competition to catch up.


This is pretty stupid. How is the rest of the year "weak," exactly, when no one actually knows what the rest of the '08 lineup is? Nintendo - and select 3rd parties, have purposely kept that under wraps. They're basically assuming. Also, I'm not sure how the competition is supposed to "catch up" by E3, unless they can developed and release several "mega hits" in under 90 days nothing at E3 should be having a significant instant impact on all 3 consoles lineups.

So why do you think that Nintendo and third parties would keep those games under wrap?? Does it not make sense to build up anticipation of a game? For the 360 and ps3 we more or less know what they are going to be releasing this year but for the wii as the author pointed out past the first quarter we know of virtually no AAA titles that are coming. Though personally I do hope they do come up with some great games so that we get good competition.

 


 Nintendo is and alwayswas a very secretive company. Unlike Sony where almost everything is leaked Nintendo keeps everything silent until the moment they find best suited. This means they can steer momentum. If they have 10 brilliant 3rd party games coming and they can announce those on E3 and win that they'll gain a lot of press. More then if those 10 games were accidentally leaked throughout the year.



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Aj_habfan on 13 January 2008

Mario Party? That series has been junk after the third one.



EliteStance on 13 January 2008
libellule said:
basically, they have 3 arguments :

LBP MGS4 and GTA4

LBP : it is 95% online title, it CANT attract casual gamer like a Wiisport game.
LBP is not a party game. You have to spend time on it. The game will not bomb but it will not be a massive system seller.

MGS4 : since I see a 1 year exclusivity for the PS3, the potential release on the Xbox360 is not a problem.
BUT the game sell mostly to hardcore MGS4 fan and we dont know how many already have an PS3 ...
MGS4 may move A LOT of system if it succeed to get some amazing review +95%.
If it is not the case, it will stay a niche game.

GTA4 : since the game is multiplateform and since I dont see WHY the PS3 would have anything superior compared to the Xbox60, the game should move more Xbox360 since the Xbox360 is cheaper and will have more content.

I agree except about LBP - maybe I'm seeing the released material differently but the 95% online and not casual enough elements seem way off.

It seems to me you can just play LBP locally, using pre-built levels.  That you and family can jump in at same time and mess around, either simply playing a level, knocking stuff together quickly, or 'slapping' each other around.

Every view of the editor I've seen shows its simple, worked directly into the game and can produce something in seconds.  It doesn't lool to me like Unreal Editor where quite a bit of effort is needed to see anything.

Then, but only if you want to, you can go online, play others or download levels created by others.

 



Game_boy on 13 January 2008
Aj_habfan said:
Mario Party? That series has been junk after the third one.

It sells consoles though - that's all that matters.

I agree that MP3 was the best however.



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HappySqurriel on 13 January 2008

This article seems so similar to the types of arguments we were seeing at the begining of 2007 ...

The PS3 had the best games for the year (Lair, Ratchet and Clank, Uncharted, Heavenly Sword, Metal Gear Solid, Gran Turismo and Final Fantasy), had an amazingly popular movie format (Blu-Ray) and was so powerful that everyone would buy one. The Wii was only selling well because Nintendo fanboys were buying them, and the unconventional or "casual" gamer didn't exist; and the XBox 360 only had Halo and was doomed to only sell in America.

... The problem with all of these arguments is that they don't consider how the typical gamer (read: non-"Core" gamer) actually reacts in the market. Most typical gamers will not spend $300 or more on a videogame system, will buy the games they listed but if they're only available on a system they don't own they won't buy that system (they will choose to buy a similar title on a system they do own), they may (or may not) own a HDTV but they probably didn't buy it because it was HD and probably don't have it hooked up correctly, and they play videogames because they're fun. 



Avinash_Tyagi on 13 January 2008
Aj_habfan said:
Mario Party? That series has been junk after the third one.

 So, 4 million in sales says who cares



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)