i think monster hunter on the 3ds may have put a nail in the coffin

I think the Vita can get a little over 40% of the 3DS' sales. Chances are, it will at least get a spin-off Monster Hunter game, and like SnakeDrake said, Final Fantasy will give it a nice a pick-up. Combine that with other exclusive titles that appeal to Japanese tastes and it will be fine in that country.

Vita will sell 29.3% the amount 3DS sells in 2012, it will be less in 2013.

Don't you think it's a bit too early to tell ? ;)

People belived PS3 will obliterate all competition, then people belived Sony will go 3rd party like Sega did , then people were making threads wondering if Wii will end with 60 or 70% of market share this generation and so on ...

You will have to aligne th Eu and US sales later...

ill be keeping my eye on this thread.

I think itll be around 35% PSV - 65% 3DS

You should add an "I can't predict the future" option.

It's only for Japan - since it's only territory with accurate everyweek tracking.

The thing is tho the 3ds launched in the quiet period of feb. A low time for sales. Where as Vita launched in the three busiest weeks of the year. So the current comparison of the first three weeks is a bit misleading.
If anything it shows that when we do get to around feb time Vita is destined to struggle.
So based on the first 6 months i think its safe to say 3ds will massacre Vita.

3DS 240,819
PS3 74,459
PSP 71,033
Wii 49,525
Vita 42,915
DSi LL 3,971
DSi 3,565
Xbox 360 2,738
PS2 1,323

First week