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Forums - Sales - Media Create Sales 11/21 ~ 11/27

saicho on 03 December 2011
Declan said:
saicho said:
Declan said:
It was inevitable that Skyward Sword would have a better opening week than Twilight Princess, but it's well down on Wind Waker's opening week (which was over 350,000). Perhaps it will hold as well as Donkey Kong Country Returns did last year - if not, it might struggle to reach 0.5m.

would be surprised if it doesn't outsell Twilight Princess Wii with the holiday coming up.

I would have initially, but second week sales might be a better indicator than first week sales.  What did TP do - 600k?  If SS drops much below 100k this week then I doubt it will catch it.

it's guaranteed to drop below 100K in the 2nd week. However, it wouldn't affect its ability to reach 600K.



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

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Declan on 03 December 2011
saicho said:
Declan said:
saicho said:
Declan said:
It was inevitable that Skyward Sword would have a better opening week than Twilight Princess, but it's well down on Wind Waker's opening week (which was over 350,000). Perhaps it will hold as well as Donkey Kong Country Returns did last year - if not, it might struggle to reach 0.5m.

would be surprised if it doesn't outsell Twilight Princess Wii with the holiday coming up.

I would have initially, but second week sales might be a better indicator than first week sales.  What did TP do - 600k?  If SS drops much below 100k this week then I doubt it will catch it.

it's guaranteed to drop below 100K in the 2nd week. However, it wouldn't affect its ability to reach 600K.

DKCR opened to a similar amount at a similar time of the year but only dropped to 150k, so I don't think a drop to below 100k is guaranteed (though neither is that to say it won't).  If from 200k its weekly sales keep falling by around 50% before holding steady for a while at somewhere below 10k, 600k LT seems a tall order.



saicho on 04 December 2011
Declan said:
saicho said:
Declan said:
saicho said:
Declan said:
It was inevitable that Skyward Sword would have a better opening week than Twilight Princess, but it's well down on Wind Waker's opening week (which was over 350,000). Perhaps it will hold as well as Donkey Kong Country Returns did last year - if not, it might struggle to reach 0.5m.

would be surprised if it doesn't outsell Twilight Princess Wii with the holiday coming up.

I would have initially, but second week sales might be a better indicator than first week sales.  What did TP do - 600k?  If SS drops much below 100k this week then I doubt it will catch it.

it's guaranteed to drop below 100K in the 2nd week. However, it wouldn't affect its ability to reach 600K.

DKCR opened to a similar amount at a similar time of the year but only dropped to 150k, so I don't think a drop to below 100k is guaranteed (though neither is that to say it won't).  If from 200k its weekly sales keep falling by around 50% before holding steady for a while at somewhere below 10k, 600k LT seems a tall order.

DKCR was released on Dec 9th last year and its second week is the week before Christmas. The holiday shopping was in full effect which was why it barely have any drop. Zelda is not having any of that in its second week. By the second week of Dec, its number should rise until Chrismas then drop off again.



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

kopstudent89 on 04 December 2011

Yeah, one of the reasons of a slow FW is the holiday effect (which means FW are lower than usual, but second and third weeks more than make up for that). Hopefully that's the case with Zelda as it is different from game to game really.

And tbh DKCR is more casual which is why it did so well, hopefully Zelda emulates it *crosses fingers*



Declan on 14 December 2011
saicho said:
Declan said:
It was inevitable that Skyward Sword would have a better opening week than Twilight Princess, but it's well down on Wind Waker's opening week (which was over 350,000). Perhaps it will hold as well as Donkey Kong Country Returns did last year - if not, it might struggle to reach 0.5m.

would be surprised if it doesn't outsell Twilight Princess Wii with the holiday coming up.

I'm afraid this is now looking increasingly unlikely.  It really does look like it'll struggle to even reach 0.5m.  Oh well - perhaps the next home console Zelda will get the audience it deserves by releasing around the middle of the WiiU's life, rather than at the beginning (when the userbase is very low) or end (when the base is high, but active users might have fallen away).