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Forums - Sales - Some predictions...PS3, 360, Wii...End of 2007 Sales...respectivly

LOL we can all just take that viewpoint to EVERYTHING we buy for the rest of our lives... so we should all just buy EVERYTHING now and pay it off at a certain amount a month for the rest of our lives.

What absolutely ridiculous logic.

Crazzyman is living up to his username alright.



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NorthStar said:
KohlyKohl said:
CrazzyMan said:

all these predicts are worthless till E3 in July, or atleast square-enix party for ps3.

Wouldn`t you pay any money, just to play FFXIII, with how it looks now in trailer? What about Killzone2, if final game will be as good as e3 2k5 trailer? you won`t pay 600$ for such graphics? There are a lot of amazing games, like Lair, HS, NGS, Rathcetm Uncharted, LBP, MGS4.

 

I personally would not pay $600+ for anything but a laptop and a car. I do not know anyone who is planning on even buying a ps3 and personally I can just go down to the local video game cafe and pay a few dollars to play the ps3.

 


wow if $600 is what you spend for a car then i agree Do not buy a PS3, or a 360 or even a wii.....get a better car.


 How convient of you to miss the "+" after the $600 dollars. Get a life troll.



NorthStar said:
HappySqurriel said:

I really don't understand your Wii estimates ...

Essentially you are saying that the Wii will sell the same number of units in the next 8 months that they have sold in the past 4 months in Europe and Japan. Now, unless you're implying that the supply can not be expanded I don't see how this is possible at all ...

really how could the Wii numbers increase they sell as fast as they hit shelves now? The most potential for increased sales is PS3 it has only a few great games right now and has sold well. With more games releasing and more shelf space this Chiristmas it will have the biggest surge. Wii can't surge its already in heavy flow sales will probly take a dip soon. The 360 is a bit light on must get games in coming months and most people that Halo 3 was a must buy for Already have the 360 for that game. Along with the fact that the 360 breaks down consistantly as opposed to PS3 that has had very few instances of breacking and the wii that really has only a little problem from what i hear (not enough to affect sales)

 


 So let me understand your logic for a minute. Because the PS3 is not selling out it is the only console that has a potention to increase its sales? Also because the Wii is supply constrained its sales cannot increase? I guess Nintendo will always make the same amount of Wiis forever? The 360 cannot increase because it has been out for a while? I really so no reason it to could not increase there are too many factors that would go into why this could happen for instance Halo 3, people that are still waiting to buy a PS3 that suddenly jump ship. There are certainly many things not outside the realm of possibilty for each to increase their sales in the future.



Ok, my predictions. I am also going to add the totals to my sig so I can brag in January.

Basically, I feel the Wii will ramp up production and not be sold out (beginning in May) for the rest of the year. The 360 will remain constant and not really grow. Lastly, the PS3. I think it will do better than the 360 in Japan and Europe and only really grow in sales in Japan, not by much though. In fact I think it will sell best in the 'Others' category on average.

In August Wii and 360 will be neck-n-neck in worldwide sales and by the end of the year PS3 will almost have sold more units in 'Others' than 360, also, Wii will not outsell 360 in either NA or Others by end of year. HOWEVER, it will be very close in both territories. In fact if it weren't for the complete failure of 360 in Japan, it would have kept the lead THIS year.

January 1, 2008.

Wii = 19m

360 = 15m

PS3 = 11m

Due to this 8m+ lead for Wii over the PS3 and the complete failure in Japan for 360, it will dominate all from here on out. It will gain and keep a huge 3rd party dev support and have the most exclusives. This gives Wii the only item really needed to have the largest market share, the most games.



superchunk said:

Ok, my predictions. I am also going to add the totals to my sig so I can brag in January.

...

January 1, 2008.

Wii = 19m

360 = 15m

PS3 = 11m

Not bad, but I can't see the Wii producing/selling 13m units - in under 9 months (or around 12m in 8 months).

Knock 2m off the Wii for me, up the 360 by around 1m (it is Halo3 after all!) - and not sure about the PS3. Depends on how software is received, and whether Sony has the balls to drop the price (as they need to). Might be about right.

January 1, 2008.

Wii = 17m

360 = 16m

PS3 = 11m (?)



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shams said:

Not bad, but I can't see the Wii producing/selling 13m units - in under 9 months (or around 12m in 8 months).

Knock 2m off the Wii for me, up the 360 by around 1m (it is Halo3 after all!) - and not sure about the PS3. Depends on how software is received, and whether Sony has the balls to drop the price (as they need to). Might be about right.

January 1, 2008.

Wii = 17m

360 = 16m

PS3 = 11m (?)


I think Wii can and will do that, why? Because they see that this is their only chance to take back the home console market share lead. They try to bank on thier buzz and demand right now and will bring out 2 more companies to produce wii's for them. That will take what is their most likely current production of (1.3m) per month with only one production to 2.5 or so per month in the next 2 months.



It's still far too early to crown anyone as the champion and winner of this generation.  This isn't a "sprint" and you never know if the PS3 will take off in 2008 and close the gap quickly.   If you compare the PS3's sales at 5 months of release and that of the 360, how do the numbers compare? If I looked at it correctly, the PS3 is above the 360's numbers at this point in its life.  

 Later this year you should see the PS3 begin to get better numbers and close the gap between it and Xbox by quite a bit.   I do have a 360, but Halo 3 isn't a game that interests me.  Halo 2 disappointed me greatly and I wished I had never bought that game as I traded it in a couple weeks after buying it. 

 The Wii will continue to have very good numbers through this year and even into 2008. However, I think that is when things will begin to stagnate (If not sooner) as gamers will see some very impressive games come out on the PS3 and even the Xbox that the Wii just cannot physically handle. 

 I am not saying that the PS3 will win it all, but it will be very very strong this generation and give the Wii a run for it's money and soundly beat the 360.  The thing that could hurt the Wii is that it may not have near the life cycle that the PS3 will have because it's much more advanced internally than the Wii.   

 I remember when I bought my PS2 at launch and the games were just horrible.  Now, look at Gods of War 2 for an example of how games improve over the life cycle of a system.  When the programmers learn the best way to program the games to get every bit of power out of a machine and make it look amazing and play amazing. 



 


Get your Portable ID!

 

My pokemon brings all the nerds to the yard. And they're like, "You wanna trade cards?" Damn right, I wanna trade cards. I'll trade this, but not my charizard.

I will be shocked if PS3 manages to sell 9.5 million+ by the end of this year, unless the price drops, then it probably could.

If PS3 doesn't get any big guns this year, I predict about 7.5 million in sales by the end of the year, and that's counting Christmas rush. But I think it will get some big guns, so I'm thinking the sales will be more like 8.5-9 million by the end of the year (by VGChartz's tracking).

NPD PS3 numbers will drop below 100,000 at least once this year. I'll eat crow if it doesn't. It'll come close, surely :P 



I think it will look like this:

Wii:  16.8 Mill.   (14-18 Mill)

Xbox 360: 16.3 Mill (15-17 Mill)

PS3: 9.2 Mill (7.5-11 Mill)

And that is also my estimate in game 16:

http://www.vgchartz.com/predictions/results.php?game=16

To bad someone destroied the average, by writing some stupid numbers... Only PS3 numbers seems about right.



End of 2007:

Wii - 16m

360 - 15m

PS3 - 10m 



Prediction (June 12th 2017)

Permanent pricedrop for both PS4 Slim and PS4 Pro in October.

PS4 Slim $249 (October 2017)

PS4 Pro $349 (October 2017)