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Forums - Sales Discussion - Xbox 360 Vs. Playstation 3 2012 - *February* Update

Seece said:
I'll update this fortnightly just in case anyone is interested in the OP :-p

meh i think they are more for arguing for and against your points but i'll keep an eye on it myself, but not to gloat but to watch. hey you get the popcorn and i''l get the beers! hey wht kind do you drink?

and remeber no twinkies lol!



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Dodece said:
I find it worrisome how so many fall back into old habits. The era of price cuts tipping the balance is largely behind us as far as this generation is concerned. Lower price points have already been exploited to maximum effect. That is why the PS3 price cut wasn't dramatically effective, and that is why Microsoft isn't likely to bother following suit. It really isn't worth the lost profits for the miniscule bump.

We are in a new era, and it isn't so much about the price or the games for that matter. What is really going to matter in the run towards the finish is features and marketing. What is going to determine whether Microsoft can win is how well the new dashboard is received. You have to understand that streaming entertainment is exploding right now, and frankly it is the wave of the future. Before the end of the year in North America you might see as many as one hundred million streaming their entertainment during prime time.

The moral of the story is this. If Microsoft runs a massive campaign championing their dashboard with a dozen or so streaming providers. Plus being Kinect enabled which makes mortals feel like gods. You better believe the 360 will explode in sales. Microsoft insinuating itself as a premier streamer through their live service is like riding a very big wave. Really it is a question of grace if they pull it off flawlessly. Many of you could end this year scratching your heads trying to figure out just how Microsoft pulled two million units ahead of the PS3.

I would like to make a conservative prediction in saying that Microsoft will be finishing this year at least a million units ahead of Sony. Yes I said what you think I just said, and I am so terribly confident in my prediction. I am more then willing to entertain bets up to and including account deletion.

I agree with you about price having a small affect this late into the generation (but MS does need to do something to counter).

Free TV on XBL may also be huge. I don't think it will be as big as you make it, but it can be epic.

In the end, I disagree with you about MS winning 2011, but I like you logic. More poeple like you are needed on VGC.



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Seece said:
I'll update this fortnightly just in case anyone is interested in the OP :-p

I'm interested. Still going to keep up your Yearly Sales Tracker thread too, or no?



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MARCUSDJACKSON said:
Michael-5 said:

Okay I know a lot of PSV and PS3 games will be cross platform, but this does not mean that you will be able to pick up the PS3 version and play it on PSV (or does it?). This could help PS3 sales, but if the games are available on PSV, I doubt we will see any massive JRPG sales on the PS3 like a typicall Tales of or FF exclusive brings. We might see a few 100k+ debutes in Japan for PS3. but I don't think were going to see another 500k+ debut in Japan after FFXIII-2. yes and no. they are going to make games that you can play on both consoles on 2 different media devices at retail for one price so your getting to games for one. its gaming on the go at its best. your at home and need to go somewhere and you want to continue to play your game. you can do so becuase of cross platform play and save. you can save the same content across both platforms. 

the thing is though. well you should know me well enough to know that the sells in this area deal way to far into speculation for me to touch but sells wise its a great argument. 

WW I think PS3 has strength until 2013, same with 360. Just Japan, I think it might die earlier then the rest of the world. thats sound. can't argue that. lets say sells around 8m for the yr 2014 PS3? 0m for 360 because MS will want to focus souly on XB550 and will fill a need to discontinue the 360? you know it sounds like we've had this conversation before?

Long rant on XBL, but I agree with you. With TV coming in, it's only a matter of time before they start offering you Skype. Not sure if XBL price will go up to $100 anytime soon, but it will. PSN will also become more game focused, I agree 100% except on the Next-Box names. you should be use to them by now or did you not notice them in our lst conversation lol?

For Nintendo, I don't think they will make that many new IP's, but I feel the level of quality of their games will jump. Super Mario platformers are already excellent, but I expect a more traditional Zelda (like OoT), a more photo realistic Pikmin, and well a great game from every one of their IP's (Metroid, Smash Bros, Donkey Kong, Mario Kart, heck maybe even a proper Mario Kart). agreed on all points but they will need to make amny first party IP that do more then wht they have to really push the hardware, but i think they go second party to push there console to get those experiances.

I love Virtual Console. I have most of my old games, but now finally I have a legit version of Chrono Trigger. Been meaning to own a copy of this game for ages, but I'm not willing to spend $100+ for a SNES cartridge. lol i'm with you there budy. i also have a friend that hacked his Wii and got alot of classic games for free but they weren't from the virtual console, and piracy isn't my thing.

We basically agree for most of my speculation. However I think as a multi-media device, the PS4 will only do the basics. We won't see TV, or ESPN, or Facebook on PS4, but you will have a browser, Blu-Ray-DVD-CD player, and well everything a normal person would use. No gimics, no extra fancy stuff. well Sony is already siad to be working on the TV thing, but E3 2012 will be the place to find out more. yea no gimics i hope.

For MS games, I kind of disagree. MS will produce some great games, just I don't see them making too many games that appeal outside of Americas. MS will produce great shooters (Halo), racing games (Forza), Casual Games (Kinect Dance Games), and maybe some WRPG's. They will be the best, or among the best in these categories. However I don't see a good 1st party JRPG coming to the 360, nor a good platformer or Action Adventure game. Maybe a good fighting game with Killer Instinct, but I don't think that game will be any special. you know i'm with you 100% on that. MS will try the 3rd party dev. again next gen and they'll fail to get much support and that will force them to focus interenaly, and build/buy teams versus the lader.

Overall for games I think Sony and Nintendo will appeal to the broadest audience with good games for all genres. However Ninty will appeal more to the casual and nostalgic audience while MS will appeal the most to Americans. yea i guess? if Sony has great marketing and the games to back it up then MS will have a 3 way run for there money in the Americas and likely be a close third place. i think all 3 will appeal to the Americas but Sony and Nintendo will have the rest of the world at there ness. also Sony and Nintendo will have a war in Japan and that will breed more JRPG's from Sony giving them more market everywhere becuase they won't be region locked.

360 will fall in AMEAA as fast as PS3 falls in Americas. I'm just saying Japan is the difference between PS3/360 sales, and like the Wii, DS, and soon PSP, I think PS3 sales will start to crash real soon, before the PS4 comes out.  agreed. i didn't answer this one from the last post so there ya go. i think Japan will still show love to PS3 giving Sony the win as everything else will play out the same over the next few yrs, unless MS gets a crazy boost out of no where in Americas and PS3 does the same in EMEAA's and if Sony can crack into China by the end of next yr then its over for 360's second place lead, but thta has yet to happen for Sony so its one of those in doubt things. MS tried first and didn't like the deal that china gave them.

there still is the matter of the slim2 and continued price drops from the larger harddrives of PS360, so we still have much more room for sells boost and more arguements for the war.

hey i almost forgot that PSV can be used as a PS3 controler wirelessly, so it is Wiiu before its time.

So PSV/PS3 cross platform. Do I have to own a PSV and a PS3 retail version of the game, or can I just buy one version, install the game on my PSV/PS3, and transfer the file to the other console to play it?

I don't think the 360 will sell 0 million units in 2014. that's not how systems work. Sony still sells PS2's because there is demand. MS will still sell 360's as long as there is demand. You and I agreed before, there may no longer be first party exclusives to support the 360 after the next-box, but they will continue to sell it.

After the PS4 and Next-Box release, 360 could fall faster. I'd rather not get into this debate because I know you have a solid opinion that PS3 will take longer to be discontinued, but I'm not sure. The only thing I can be sure of is PS3 will sell in rural areas for a long while because the PS4 won't be introduced into some areas 3-4 years after launch. However these sales will be minimal.

For Nintendo, they need to do a lot of things. NOA needs to localize more games, this has been an issue since the days of the NES (Final Fantasy III, V, and many other SNES exclusives, Fire Emblem Gameboy Wars, Earthbound, and now Last Story/XenoBlade).

As for quality of games, this is where my fanboyism kicks in. I always think Nintendo will deliver a good game in their franchise next gen. Sometimes they do, Mario Kart, Galaxy, Smash Bros, Donkey Kong, and Metroid Prime have all been great on the Wii. However sometimes they don't. When Gamecube first released, Nintendo released a short high resolution clip of a realistic Link fighting Gannon. The following Zelda became Cell Shaded. Also the quality of Mario Party has crashed since the N64. So seeing fake Pikmin 3 screens, and the beautiful Zelda Wii U trailer, and Ninja Gaiden 3 on the Wii U, has me a bit excited.

One thing I know is when a new gen comes out, Nintendo always makes a good lineup at first, but most of those games either get delayed (3DS games for example) or turn out to be meh (Wind Waker compared to N64 Zelda's).

Piracy isn't my thing either, but if NOA doesn't localize The Last Story and XenoBlade, I am importing and either moding my Wii, or buying a second Wii modded to play PAL games. I give them until The Last Story releases in EMEAA.

For Americas, Playstation isn't huge. Most casual gamers I know don't play playstation, only the hardcore do. Nintendo is well known, and MS is American. Just for being domestic it has a chance it could win Americas by a large margin, heck 360 looks like it could top Wii in Americas and has an outside chance of toping PS2!

In the end, we can conclude that the PS360 war lives on. Just seeing the way MS carry themselves, I think if they wanted to, they could easily hold second place. However MS probably cares more about profit then 2nd place in sales.



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Michael-5 said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
Michael-5 said:
 

Okay I know a lot of PSV and PS3 games will be cross platform, but this does not mean that you will be able to pick up the PS3 version and play it on PSV (or does it?). This could help PS3 sales, but if the games are available on PSV, I doubt we will see any massive JRPG sales on the PS3 like a typicall Tales of or FF exclusive brings. We might see a few 100k+ debutes in Japan for PS3. but I don't think were going to see another 500k+ debut in Japan after FFXIII-2. yes and no. they are going to make games that you can play on both consoles on 2 different media devices at retail for one price so your getting to games for one. its gaming on the go at its best. your at home and need to go somewhere and you want to continue to play your game. you can do so becuase of cross platform play and save. you can save the same content across both platforms. 

the thing is though. well you should know me well enough to know that the sells in this area deal way to far into speculation for me to touch but sells wise its a great argument. 

WW I think PS3 has strength until 2013, same with 360. Just Japan, I think it might die earlier then the rest of the world. thats sound. can't argue that. lets say sells around 8m for the yr 2014 PS3? 0m for 360 because MS will want to focus souly on XB550 and will fill a need to discontinue the 360? you know it sounds like we've had this conversation before?

Long rant on XBL, but I agree with you. With TV coming in, it's only a matter of time before they start offering you Skype. Not sure if XBL price will go up to $100 anytime soon, but it will. PSN will also become more game focused, I agree 100% except on the Next-Box names. you should be use to them by now or did you not notice them in our lst conversation lol?

For Nintendo, I don't think they will make that many new IP's, but I feel the level of quality of their games will jump. Super Mario platformers are already excellent, but I expect a more traditional Zelda (like OoT), a more photo realistic Pikmin, and well a great game from every one of their IP's (Metroid, Smash Bros, Donkey Kong, Mario Kart, heck maybe even a proper Mario Kart). agreed on all points but they will need to make amny first party IP that do more then wht they have to really push the hardware, but i think they go second party to push there console to get those experiances.

I love Virtual Console. I have most of my old games, but now finally I have a legit version of Chrono Trigger. Been meaning to own a copy of this game for ages, but I'm not willing to spend $100+ for a SNES cartridge. lol i'm with you there budy. i also have a friend that hacked his Wii and got alot of classic games for free but they weren't from the virtual console, and piracy isn't my thing.

We basically agree for most of my speculation. However I think as a multi-media device, the PS4 will only do the basics. We won't see TV, or ESPN, or Facebook on PS4, but you will have a browser, Blu-Ray-DVD-CD player, and well everything a normal person would use. No gimics, no extra fancy stuff. well Sony is already siad to be working on the TV thing, but E3 2012 will be the place to find out more. yea no gimics i hope.

For MS games, I kind of disagree. MS will produce some great games, just I don't see them making too many games that appeal outside of Americas. MS will produce great shooters (Halo), racing games (Forza), Casual Games (Kinect Dance Games), and maybe some WRPG's. They will be the best, or among the best in these categories. However I don't see a good 1st party JRPG coming to the 360, nor a good platformer or Action Adventure game. Maybe a good fighting game with Killer Instinct, but I don't think that game will be any special. you know i'm with you 100% on that. MS will try the 3rd party dev. again next gen and they'll fail to get much support and that will force them to focus interenaly, and build/buy teams versus the lader.

Overall for games I think Sony and Nintendo will appeal to the broadest audience with good games for all genres. However Ninty will appeal more to the casual and nostalgic audience while MS will appeal the most to Americans. yea i guess? if Sony has great marketing and the games to back it up then MS will have a 3 way run for there money in the Americas and likely be a close third place. i think all 3 will appeal to the Americas but Sony and Nintendo will have the rest of the world at there ness. also Sony and Nintendo will have a war in Japan and that will breed more JRPG's from Sony giving them more market everywhere becuase they won't be region locked.

360 will fall in AMEAA as fast as PS3 falls in Americas. I'm just saying Japan is the difference between PS3/360 sales, and like the Wii, DS, and soon PSP, I think PS3 sales will start to crash real soon, before the PS4 comes out.  agreed. i didn't answer this one from the last post so there ya go. i think Japan will still show love to PS3 giving Sony the win as everything else will play out the same over the next few yrs, unless MS gets a crazy boost out of no where in Americas and PS3 does the same in EMEAA's and if Sony can crack into China by the end of next yr then its over for 360's second place lead, but thta has yet to happen for Sony so its one of those in doubt things. MS tried first and didn't like the deal that china gave them.

there still is the matter of the slim2 and continued price drops from the larger harddrives of PS360, so we still have much more room for sells boost and more arguements for the war.

hey i almost forgot that PSV can be used as a PS3 controler wirelessly, so it is Wiiu before its time.

So PSV/PS3 cross platform. Do I have to own a PSV and a PS3 retail version of the game, or can I just buy one version, install the game on my PSV/PS3, and transfer the file to the other console to play it? you'll have to own both, but its one product so its 2 games in one, and all PS3Vita games will be available like that. its not bad marketing if you ask me. also if you download it i belive its one file for to games so your still only paying one price for 2 games, and publishers seem to be ok with it. so if you download it then it will be one game and transferable across both platforms. but at retail it will be 2 games in one box for one price.

I don't think the 360 will sell 0 million units in 2014. that's not how systems work. Sony still sells PS2's because there is demand. MS will still sell 360's as long as there is demand. You and I agreed before, there may no longer be first party exclusives to support the 360 after the next-box, but they will continue to sell it. MS won't support it so they will discontinue it so they focus on next gen so there will likly not be a 360 in 2014 demand or not.

After the PS4 and Next-Box release, 360 could fall faster. I'd rather not get into this debate because I know you have a solid opinion that PS3 will take longer to be discontinued, but I'm not sure. The only thing I can be sure of is PS3 will sell in rural areas for a long while because the PS4 won't be introduced into some areas 3-4 years after launch. However these sales will be minimal. agreed. your right about my stance on PS3 being on the market past 2016, but all i have to go on is Sonys continued push into more markets and how long the PS2 has lasted. 

For Nintendo, they need to do a lot of things. NOA needs to localize more games, this has been an issue since the days of the NES (Final Fantasy III, V, and many other SNES exclusives, Fire Emblem Gameboy Wars, Earthbound, and now Last Story/XenoBlade). i'd hate to think i'd be done with the manufacture that brought me into the console space but if Wiiu is region locked and games don't get localized then i'm done with Nintendo for good. region lock alone would do it to be honest. its abandoning the plaform. there are many ways to do it and region locking is one of them and i will not own a 3ds because of it. Vita is not region locked. all games even if only released in Japan will be available via download WW.

As for quality of games, this is where my fanboyism kicks in. I always think Nintendo will deliver a good game in their franchise next gen. Sometimes they do, Mario Kart, Galaxy, Smash Bros, Donkey Kong, and Metroid Prime have all been great on the Wii. However sometimes they don't. When Gamecube first released, Nintendo released a short high resolution clip of a realistic Link fighting Gannon. The following Zelda became Cell Shaded. Also the quality of Mario Party has crashed since the N64. So seeing fake Pikmin 3 screens, and the beautiful Zelda Wii U trailer, and Ninja Gaiden 3 on the Wii U, has me a bit excited. yea i'm there but i'll wit to find out if Wiiu is region locked first.

One thing I know is when a new gen comes out, Nintendo always makes a good lineup at first, but most of those games either get delayed (3DS games for example) or turn out to be meh (Wind Waker compared to N64 Zelda's). agreed

Piracy isn't my thing either, but if NOA doesn't localize The Last Story and XenoBlade, I am importing and either moding my Wii, or buying a second Wii modded to play PAL games. I give them until The Last Story releases in EMEAA. sounds fare to me.

For Americas, Playstation isn't huge. Most casual gamers I know don't play playstation, only the hardcore do. Nintendo is well known, and MS is American. Just for being domestic it has a chance it could win Americas by a large margin, heck 360 looks like it could top Wii in Americas and has an outside chance of toping PS2! agreed but the PS brand is still well known in the U.S., so its not like the brand is dead. its just been hit hard and won't recover this gen. that said the 8th gen will be interesting to see. Nintendo is a bad example of a N64 to Wii turn around but it happened, and then here comes the speculation i so often leave at the door.

In the end, we can conclude that the PS360 war lives on. Just seeing the way MS carry themselves, I think if they wanted to, they could easily hold second place. However MS probably cares more about profit then 2nd place in sales. agreed and thats the way Sony talks but 2012 will prove whos bluffing who.





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Dodece said:
@jay520

Not very confident in our prediction, or did you not understand what I was offering. I have a counter proposal that you cannot possibly refuse. I win and nothing happens to you, because lets be honest I will be a fucking prophet on these forums. What more could I need. You win and my account is deleted, and I will even throw in a permaban. So I am basically offering up the kingdom.

I am going to be forthright with you. I was hoping to suck someone else in with this fools bet. I am not at liberty to say certain things. Suffice it to say something is going to happen in little over a month that is going to have a massive impact on console sales. So yes this difference is going to happen. I just didn't give the complete reason.

It just wouldn't be fair, and I got to be honest about that up front.

i haven't seen the argument but this is the worse bet since i saw the one yr sig control bet. i hope you know what your doing.

also MS and Sony are making the same claims and push into parts of the EMEAA's they don't sell the best in, so basically Seeces arguement is an arguement that Sony and MS have both made. the only question that remains is that who will do it better?

on reality your risking your account for nothing more then a counter statement made by Sony and MS.



MARCUSDJACKSON said:
Michael-5 said:

So PSV/PS3 cross platform. Do I have to own a PSV and a PS3 retail version of the game, or can I just buy one version, install the game on my PSV/PS3, and transfer the file to the other console to play it? you'll have to own both, but its one product so its 2 games in one, and all PS3Vita games will be available like that. its not bad marketing if you ask me. also if you download it i belive its one file for to games so your still only paying one price for 2 games, and publishers seem to be ok with it. so if you download it then it will be one game and transferable across both platforms. but at retail it will be 2 games in one box for one price.

I don't think the 360 will sell 0 million units in 2014. that's not how systems work. Sony still sells PS2's because there is demand. MS will still sell 360's as long as there is demand. You and I agreed before, there may no longer be first party exclusives to support the 360 after the next-box, but they will continue to sell it. MS won't support it so they will discontinue it so they focus on next gen so there will likly not be a 360 in 2014 demand or not.

After the PS4 and Next-Box release, 360 could fall faster. I'd rather not get into this debate because I know you have a solid opinion that PS3 will take longer to be discontinued, but I'm not sure. The only thing I can be sure of is PS3 will sell in rural areas for a long while because the PS4 won't be introduced into some areas 3-4 years after launch. However these sales will be minimal. agreed. your right about my stance on PS3 being on the market past 2016, but all i have to go on is Sonys continued push into more markets and how long the PS2 has lasted. 

For Nintendo, they need to do a lot of things. NOA needs to localize more games, this has been an issue since the days of the NES (Final Fantasy III, V, and many other SNES exclusives, Fire Emblem Gameboy Wars, Earthbound, and now Last Story/XenoBlade). i'd hate to think i'd be done with the manufacture that brought me into the console space but if Wiiu is region locked and games don't get localized then i'm done with Nintendo for good. region lock alone would do it to be honest. its abandoning the plaform. there are many ways to do it and region locking is one of them and i will not own a 3ds because of it. Vita is not region locked. all games even if only released in Japan will be available via download WW.

As for quality of games, this is where my fanboyism kicks in. I always think Nintendo will deliver a good game in their franchise next gen. Sometimes they do, Mario Kart, Galaxy, Smash Bros, Donkey Kong, and Metroid Prime have all been great on the Wii. However sometimes they don't. When Gamecube first released, Nintendo released a short high resolution clip of a realistic Link fighting Gannon. The following Zelda became Cell Shaded. Also the quality of Mario Party has crashed since the N64. So seeing fake Pikmin 3 screens, and the beautiful Zelda Wii U trailer, and Ninja Gaiden 3 on the Wii U, has me a bit excited. yea i'm there but i'll wit to find out if Wiiu is region locked first.

One thing I know is when a new gen comes out, Nintendo always makes a good lineup at first, but most of those games either get delayed (3DS games for example) or turn out to be meh (Wind Waker compared to N64 Zelda's). agreed

Piracy isn't my thing either, but if NOA doesn't localize The Last Story and XenoBlade, I am importing and either moding my Wii, or buying a second Wii modded to play PAL games. I give them until The Last Story releases in EMEAA. sounds fare to me.

For Americas, Playstation isn't huge. Most casual gamers I know don't play playstation, only the hardcore do. Nintendo is well known, and MS is American. Just for being domestic it has a chance it could win Americas by a large margin, heck 360 looks like it could top Wii in Americas and has an outside chance of toping PS2! agreed but the PS brand is still well known in the U.S., so its not like the brand is dead. its just been hit hard and won't recover this gen. that said the 8th gen will be interesting to see. Nintendo is a bad example of a N64 to Wii turn around but it happened, and then here comes the speculation i so often leave at the door.

In the end, we can conclude that the PS360 war lives on. Just seeing the way MS carry themselves, I think if they wanted to, they could easily hold second place. However MS probably cares more about profit then 2nd place in sales. agreed and thats the way Sony talks but 2012 will prove whos bluffing who.



I'll have to look into the PSV/PS3 cross platform. It seems odd that they would package a Blu-Ray PS3 disk and a PSV cartridge in one package for these cross platform games.

I don't think MS will discontinue the 360 in 2012. Especially if it's still generating 5 million or more sales annually. MS cares about profit, and 360 being a successful image not only brings them $$$, but makes the brand look better. After all MS is the only current gen console to offer full backward compatibility on all consoles, Sony killed the PS2 by removing BC in PS3, and Wii is stopping BC to save on cost for future Wii's.

For 2016 sales, PS2 is a different beast compared to PS3. I agree small developing gaming regions will still be importing PS3's, but it's only because PS4 won't be released there after some delay. and these regions are small in size.

I hate region locking too. There is no purpose for it. I mean SNES game cartidges, although different in shape, were the exact same game underneight. Remove the casing, and it's region free. With disk based gaming, there is no more need to region lock, and NOA is really bad at localizing games. I already told you, the shit Nintendo and NOA have pulled on Wii is reason enough to skip the Wii U. Pikmin 3 was 85% done, and Wii is severly lacking exclusive games, yet it's still a Wii U title. There is also no reason not to localize The Last Story and XenoBlade, I mean MS localized Lost Odyssey, is NOA worse with JRPG's then Microsoft?

Ps brand is well known in US, especially the PS2, but the PS3 isn't as big as older PS's used to be. However things can change, what image did Nintendo have last gen (for consoles)? and it shot up to first!

For future sales, it doesn't really matter. Just like for cars, every year, every manufacturer see's improvement, and there is always something to look forward to.



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Michael-5 said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
Michael-5 said:
 

So PSV/PS3 cross platform. Do I have to own a PSV and a PS3 retail version of the game, or can I just buy one version, install the game on my PSV/PS3, and transfer the file to the other console to play it? you'll have to own both, but its one product so its 2 games in one, and all PS3Vita games will be available like that. its not bad marketing if you ask me. also if you download it i belive its one file for to games so your still only paying one price for 2 games, and publishers seem to be ok with it. so if you download it then it will be one game and transferable across both platforms. but at retail it will be 2 games in one box for one price.

I don't think the 360 will sell 0 million units in 2014. that's not how systems work. Sony still sells PS2's because there is demand. MS will still sell 360's as long as there is demand. You and I agreed before, there may no longer be first party exclusives to support the 360 after the next-box, but they will continue to sell it. MS won't support it so they will discontinue it so they focus on next gen so there will likly not be a 360 in 2014 demand or not.

After the PS4 and Next-Box release, 360 could fall faster. I'd rather not get into this debate because I know you have a solid opinion that PS3 will take longer to be discontinued, but I'm not sure. The only thing I can be sure of is PS3 will sell in rural areas for a long while because the PS4 won't be introduced into some areas 3-4 years after launch. However these sales will be minimal. agreed. your right about my stance on PS3 being on the market past 2016, but all i have to go on is Sonys continued push into more markets and how long the PS2 has lasted. 

For Nintendo, they need to do a lot of things. NOA needs to localize more games, this has been an issue since the days of the NES (Final Fantasy III, V, and many other SNES exclusives, Fire Emblem Gameboy Wars, Earthbound, and now Last Story/XenoBlade). i'd hate to think i'd be done with the manufacture that brought me into the console space but if Wiiu is region locked and games don't get localized then i'm done with Nintendo for good. region lock alone would do it to be honest. its abandoning the plaform. there are many ways to do it and region locking is one of them and i will not own a 3ds because of it. Vita is not region locked. all games even if only released in Japan will be available via download WW.

As for quality of games, this is where my fanboyism kicks in. I always think Nintendo will deliver a good game in their franchise next gen. Sometimes they do, Mario Kart, Galaxy, Smash Bros, Donkey Kong, and Metroid Prime have all been great on the Wii. However sometimes they don't. When Gamecube first released, Nintendo released a short high resolution clip of a realistic Link fighting Gannon. The following Zelda became Cell Shaded. Also the quality of Mario Party has crashed since the N64. So seeing fake Pikmin 3 screens, and the beautiful Zelda Wii U trailer, and Ninja Gaiden 3 on the Wii U, has me a bit excited. yea i'm there but i'll wit to find out if Wiiu is region locked first.

One thing I know is when a new gen comes out, Nintendo always makes a good lineup at first, but most of those games either get delayed (3DS games for example) or turn out to be meh (Wind Waker compared to N64 Zelda's). agreed

Piracy isn't my thing either, but if NOA doesn't localize The Last Story and XenoBlade, I am importing and either moding my Wii, or buying a second Wii modded to play PAL games. I give them until The Last Story releases in EMEAA. sounds fare to me.

For Americas, Playstation isn't huge. Most casual gamers I know don't play playstation, only the hardcore do. Nintendo is well known, and MS is American. Just for being domestic it has a chance it could win Americas by a large margin, heck 360 looks like it could top Wii in Americas and has an outside chance of toping PS2! agreed but the PS brand is still well known in the U.S., so its not like the brand is dead. its just been hit hard and won't recover this gen. that said the 8th gen will be interesting to see. Nintendo is a bad example of a N64 to Wii turn around but it happened, and then here comes the speculation i so often leave at the door.

In the end, we can conclude that the PS360 war lives on. Just seeing the way MS carry themselves, I think if they wanted to, they could easily hold second place. However MS probably cares more about profit then 2nd place in sales. agreed and thats the way Sony talks but 2012 will prove whos bluffing who.



I'll have to look into the PSV/PS3 cross platform. It seems odd that they would package a Blu-Ray PS3 disk and a PSV cartridge in one package for these cross platform games. well check with MUGEN for more info and be sure to hit up the vita thread aswell.

I don't think MS will discontinue the 360 in 2012. Especially if it's still generating 5 million or more sales annually. MS cares about profit, and 360 being a successful image not only brings them $$$, but makes the brand look better. After all MS is the only current gen console to offer full backward compatibility on all consoles, Sony killed the PS2 by removing BC in PS3, and Wii is stopping BC to save on cost for future Wii's.

2012! who said anything about 2012? i thought we were talking about 2014. so your saying the furture Wiis or wiiu for example is going to do wht Sony did to PS3 which is cut backwards compatablilty to save cost? i'm going to have to over look that one cause it looks almost like an over looked contradiction.

For 2016 sales, PS2 is a different beast compared to PS3. I agree small developing gaming regions will still be importing PS3's, but it's only because PS4 won't be released there after some delay. and these regions are small in size. the major reason has nothing to do with a delay but price and i know you know that. yea they are different beast but Sony looks at them the same so its the only thing to look forward to when you look at it.

I hate region locking too. There is no purpose for it. I mean SNES game cartidges, although different in shape, were the exact same game underneight. Remove the casing, and it's region free. With disk based gaming, there is no more need to region lock, and NOA is really bad at localizing games. I already told you, the shit Nintendo and NOA have pulled on Wii is reason enough to skip the Wii U. Pikmin 3 was 85% done, and Wii is severly lacking exclusive games, yet it's still a Wii U title. There is also no reason not to localize The Last Story and XenoBlade, I mean MS localized Lost Odyssey, is NOA worse with JRPG's then Microsoft? it would seam MS is better at nowing there market then the ones that have been in the market 4 gens longer.

Ps brand is well known in US, especially the PS2, but the PS3 isn't as big as older PS's used to be. However things can change, what image did Nintendo have last gen (for consoles)? and it shot up to first! NES and SNES leaders. N64 and gamecube. well there were more consoles out but these were the last place consoles that mattered. 

Nintendo was looked at as a kids console, the irony is it paidoff bigtime this gen.

For future sales, it doesn't really matter. Just like for cars, every year, every manufacturer see's improvement, and there is always something to look forward to. i'll tell you a breaf story. there i'm done! 

now what part of that story mattered? o wait so your telling me there was no story? well let me put more words into it! did that help?

you see wht i did there? if i'm going to tell you something you'd expect me to say something right? well consoles are not cars so you can't compare them.

the improvements are seen in the form of new cars not consoles. for consoles thats a developers standpoint. its also an argument for future consoles not current ones.

future sells for cars only matter every yr when its  a newone. PS3 being push'd into more teritories selling and making profit in the future is very important. if it sells takes no loss and makes money then its important cuase if tey didn't expect to make a profit then not one compny in this world would release a product in a contry they couldn't make a profit in.





Remember that ff13-2 comes out in japan b4 the end of the year and that will def increase sales of the ps3 in japan.



Jay520 said:
Dodece said:
@jay520

Not very confident in our prediction, or did you not understand what I was offering. I have a counter proposal that you cannot possibly refuse. I win and nothing happens to you, because lets be honest I will be a fucking prophet on these forums. What more could I need. You win and my account is deleted, and I will even throw in a permaban. So I am basically offering up the kingdom.

I am going to be forthright with you. I was hoping to suck someone else in with this fools bet. I am not at liberty to say certain things. Suffice it to say something is going to happen in little over a month that is going to have a massive impact on console sales. So yes this difference is going to happen. I just didn't give the complete reason.

It just wouldn't be fair, and I got to be honest about that up front.


I understood what you were offering, I just thought you were giving me full control when you asked for the terms. Uh, I accept your new proposal, I guess. Although, I don't see any incentive for you, but sure, I accept the bet.

You must know a very important secret, or you place little significance on your profile. Either way, this should be quite interesting.

It is dishonourable to make a bet with someone when you have exclusive knowledge about something that will have a major impact  in your favour on the outcome of the bet (talking to Dodece here). I see that you've recognised the dishonourability of such a situation by offering for Jay520 to not suffer any consequence for losing. You say that winning the bet will give you bragging rights, and that's enough. But what bragging rights does one earn if the only reason you seem to have such awesome predictive powers if you have knowledge of something that if everyone else had that knowledge they would come to the same conclusion as you, or very similar? That really earns no kudos at all. What earns people major bragging rights is when they make a prediciton in great opposition to the majority opinion based on exactly the same set of facts and assumptions as everyone else, and you are proven right. Case in Point: BHR-3's predicition regarding Uncharted 2 sales from launch to the end of 2009. The people who called him an idiot looked, well idiotic come 1 January 2010. The people who were somewhat more measured in their responses, but still thought he was wide of the mark gave him his due and happily ate the crow he fed us.

So the honourable thing to do here is reveal what you know, so that we can take account of that knowledge and come to our own conclusions about how that will influence 360 / PS3 sales. If people still say that 360 will struggle to overhaul PS3's current lead and you remain adament that 360 will end up 1 million ahead for the year then you will have earnt major bragging rights.

If you are legally prohibited from revealing your knowledge then hold this bet in abeyance until the event or events about which you have knowledge have come to pass and then come back and re-open negotiations. Who knows, if what you know is as earth shattering as you suggest Jay520 might  be in complete agreement with you, thus nullifying the bet. Indeed some people may think you really are being conservative with your mere 1 million difference.



“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell

"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."

Jimi Hendrix