You do understand that the Wii is going to be doing its final big push this Holiday right? I am not saying it will be as big as in the past but sales won't go down as much as your predicting.

Wii Slim is 30% smaller and will come with both Wii Sports and Wii Party for only about $100.(In the UK) If this bundle is released in all of Europe and America(Which it probably will be) you can expect bigger sales then what you think.

Also, Wii will be releasing some big games this Holiday for the 1st time in 2011...I am thinking a big part of Wii sales being lower than expected even after the Price Cut has to do with lack of games. Wii will be at its lowest price ever during a Holiday season...and before you say that the Wii has been $150 and below before due to deals...this time it will be $150 without the deals. Include expected deals and Wii could be sold for below $100 this Holiday.

I personally think that you will be wrong like when you said Wii would drop below 100K weekly on an average basis even with the Price Cut!

Whilst it's not out of the realm of possibility, I think being down Sep - Jan 3 mill is unlikely, despite the same drop from 2010 to 2009.

Come September Wii will be around 6 mill YTD, so you're saying around 6 mill for Sep 1st - Dec 31st



September can likely lose 100k yoy for the Wii, but if you look at Oct, 2010 lost a lot weeekly YoY, like 200k weekly for the month (1 mill overall), that's actually impossible for the Wii to be down that much YoY for October, it'll be down, again, 150k MAX.

For Nov and Dec last years PS3 sales are a good guide, it's not going to go much lower than that if it doesn't achieve those levels, which is 3.7M

Being down 3 mill over the holiday period isn't going to happen, you pretty much know this though and you're just being pessimistic as usual.

Great thread! And it looks clean!

Tagged!

I guess 2009 and 2010 are the most important years. 2009 being the PS3 peak, 2010 being 360, but 2008 was Wii's peak.

Still, I can't wait to start seeing updates. I expect PS3 to start well.

What I'm really waiting for is comparing the boost 360 gets from Gears 3 with Halo Reach, Kinect year 2, CoD launch week comparision, Black Friday, and million seller weeks.

First week up!

I see wii doing 6M by years end.

We've already gone over this, if you're gonna post that each week I'm gonna have you told to stay out of the thread.

So it may do about 6.5-7M then

I'm tagging this because I'd like to understand it better. Good job seece!

I meant 6M in the next 4 months not the whole year.