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Forums - Sales - What are your 'John Lucas' predictions for the new year?

I don't do very many predictions, but the one thing I've been pushing on TheSource for the past couple months is that the Wii will outsell (not necessarily outship) the 360 in the US/NA LTD by the end of June 2008.

Awhile back JL predicted Wii would outsell the 360 in NA by July 2007. I think he just misread the year in his scrying pool. ;)

I was also projecting back in the summer that Wii would outsell GC LTD by end of March 2008, but that wasn't really much of a prediction.



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Wii has the potential to sell 100M by the end of this year. I stand by that claim.

 

Meaning selling 80M consoles in 2008. 



"Like you know"

Rick Flair will be triumphant again ...



madskillz said:
Rick Flair will be triumphant again ...

Nature Boy: WOOOOOOOOH!!!!! - John Lucas



Munkeh111 said:
Also, can nintendo produce 40m Wii?

 If Wii fit blows up as expected and sells like wildfire I expect they'll do everything to meet demand that they can



 

Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!!  Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)

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madskillz said:
madskillz said:
Rick Flair will be triumphant again ...

Nature Boy: WOOOOOOOOH!!!!! - John Lucas


Hahahaha! Classic, madskillz.

Boy Flair has aged so quickly. Is he still the toughest piece of work...in wrestling today?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_1LcJ6N9vwo

John Lucas



Words from the Official VGChartz Idiot

WE ARE THE NATION...OF DOMINATION!

 



- Devil May Cry 4 (PS3) will outsell Devil May Cry 4 (x360) worldwide
- Microsoft will FINALLY get their shit together and start putting out x360s without inherent hardware issues.
- You will see x360 games that REQUIRE a hard drive. A price drop for the 20gb hard drive is very likely.
- After Smash Bros & Mario Kart, 3rd parties will try to fill the software void. A Wii Sports clone with some new gimmick (balance board?) and online play will surface.
- Sony will finally connect all the dots with it's original intent to make the PSP & PS3 interconnected media powerhouses.
- Killzone 2 will be impressive but be cursed by the mediocrity of the original.
- By Holidays 2008, Blu-ray will reign supreme as the vastly dominant HD format. More people will buy a PS3 for blu-ray playback and Sony will be scrambling this year to get all the pieces in place to present the ps3 as *THE* machine for media & gaming enthusiasts for the holidays. However, BRD will still account for a small portion of movie sales.

 

this one is a long shot, but what the hell

- a backup/import solution will be released for the wii that requires no modchip and will offer direct boot of all backups/imports with some exploit using a SD card or flash cable. This will have a dramatic effect on software sales due to it's ease of use and rampantness. Think dreamcast..



Demon's Souls Official Thread  | Currently playing: Left 4 Dead 2, LittleBigPlanet 2, Magicka

My JL prediction:

Wii will hit not only 5 weeks of Million marks being exceed (19M), not only 6 weeks (20M by 1/5) but SEVEN weeks in a row (21M by 1/12). 

Fail.  *sigh*  Didn't even make 20M by 1/5.   :(   This could be a bad sign for the year.  For  not only was my prediction wrong, but so was my premise. 

Wii 12/1707  adjusted to 16,994,451.  Thus not even the 5 weeks.  :((

 

On an interesting side note, because of that adjustment, the Wii never had a week in which its LTD totals were in the 17M range.  It went for the 16.99M to 18M the next week.



Torturing the numbers.  Hear them scream.

OK my JL prediction,
Animal Crossing will be fully online and will go on to be the most successful massively multiplayer game of all time passing world of warcraft by an order of magnitude
/ducks



'You should try everything once in your life except incest, homosexuality and morris dancing' - Oscar Wylde (sort of)