See sig.
My JL prediction: The DS will sell its' current lifetime sales next year. Wii will sell 21 million, due to doubled production after March and introduction to China. PS3 will likely get to 18 million. 360 will get to 27 thanks toa price drop that puts the Core at near Wii-like prices.
My John Lucas Prediction:
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Sony will drop the price of the PS3 to $.99
Halo 3 will become an PS3 exclusive and be totally controlled by the PS Eye
Teh Pow3r of teh C3Ll will take over the world, forcing us all to become Sony Fanboys, and burining every Nintendo product/fanboy in sight.
John Lucas will be right on all of his predictions
John Lucas
The Wii will sell 100 HUNDRED....BILLION CONSOLES!!!!
by 3 seconds from....NOW.....****!
>_<
I failed. :-/
1 thing you guys are missing... he actually reasons why his outlandish predictions may become true.... you guys are just saying random crazy stuff.
psn- tokila
add me, the more the merrier.
Tokilamockingbrd:
Actually, John Lucas claims to reason out his predictions ("I don't just throw stuff out there!"), and then later claims he didn't (Wii passing 360 in July in US, Wii Fit first week beating Halo first week in Japan alone instead of WW--those were just off the cuff changes).
We give this guy way too much credit for seeing obvious market trends (Wii will sell well! More than 360! PS3 will lose support! OMG!), and then putting on an overblown sideshow about it.
Sean Malstrom actually explained why the market would shape up like it has. In comparison, Lucas is a poser.
My big 2008 prediction has been for several months that DS will reach 100 million shipments in the quarter ending December 2008.
"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."
Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.
| Erik Aston said: Tokilamockingbrd: Actually, John Lucas claims to reason out his predictions ("I don't just throw stuff out there!"), and then later claims he didn't (Wii passing 360 in July in US, Wii Fit first week beating Halo first week in Japan alone instead of WW--those were just off the cuff changes). We give this guy way too much credit for seeing obvious market trends (Wii will sell well! More than 360! PS3 will lose support! OMG!), and then putting on an overblown sideshow about it. Sean Malstrom actually explained why the market would shape up like it has. In comparison, Lucas is a poser. My big 2008 prediction has been for several months that DS will reach 100 million shipments in the quarter ending December 2008. |
It seems like John Lucas is wrong more often than right, am I missing something here? Or is this just blind worship?
As in go buy us some coffee.
http://speedhunters.com
| tokilamockingbrd said: 1 thing you guys are missing... he actually reasons why his outlandish predictions may become true.... you guys are just saying random crazy stuff. |
I've actually explained each of my predictions in other threads
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
I am not worshiping him, I am just saying instead of saying The Wii will sell 60mil!!! Baby. Actually tries to explain a scenario that it could happen. Sometimes it is an impossible prediction like WiiFit sales, because Nintendo NEVER goes for blockbuster releases. They like to go by word of mouth. If you do a Big mega release some people buy it just for the hype don't like, and now you have negative Word of Mouth.... rabbit trail...
neways I was just pointing out for it to be a JL you at least need to think of some crazy way that it could come true(like I did with my Wii Passing 360 in NA by 4/1/07)
psn- tokila
add me, the more the merrier.