Tokilamockingbrd:
Actually, John Lucas claims to reason out his predictions ("I don't just throw stuff out there!"), and then later claims he didn't (Wii passing 360 in July in US, Wii Fit first week beating Halo first week in Japan alone instead of WW--those were just off the cuff changes).
We give this guy way too much credit for seeing obvious market trends (Wii will sell well! More than 360! PS3 will lose support! OMG!), and then putting on an overblown sideshow about it.
Sean Malstrom actually explained why the market would shape up like it has. In comparison, Lucas is a poser.
My big 2008 prediction has been for several months that DS will reach 100 million shipments in the quarter ending December 2008.
"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."
Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.
