scottie said:
90 million 360s is optimistic
95 million PS3's is VERY optimistic
120 million Wiis is probably a bit pessimistic
Kinect and move predictions probably aren't too bad.
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You think 34 million more Wii's is being pessimistic, but 37 million more 360s is being optimistic? Looking at the current sales, both the ps3 and 360 are selling more than the wii is, and will probably outsell it for the years to come. Except if Nintendo gives the Wii a pricecut ans Sony and Microsoft don't, but even then, it won't last very long.
I think it's a bigger chance for the ps3 and 360 to sell 37-40 million than the Wii selling 34, Their difference in sales will easily make up for those 3 million consoles in the next few years. Though I wonder If any of them will have the strong legs the ps2 had. All 3 might be a bit optimistic if they don't, it really all depends on how people will react to the new consoles.
Personally i see the Wii declining a bit more in sales, with a small bump after a price cut. The ps3 leading the sale charts until the next price cut, except if the ps3 is the first, then it will increase the gap a bit. The 360 following the ps3 and slowly losing the 3 million difference, but they'll probably end around the same number. The Wii will lag behind, but it won't matter, it already won this gen anyway, in console sales and probably profit as well.
If you put in move and kinect, I think the Wii will win by a small margin, or it will be a nice tie between the 3.