The PS3 has sold 49,519,608 since its launch in November 2006.

Since the PS2 was launched on the 27/02/2000 week (that's 02/27/2000 for you Americans) until the week ending 31/07/2004, that is in the same amount of weeks, the PS2 sold 69,924,823.

Meaning the PS3 has sold 70.82% what the PS2 sold in the same time frame.

I will give you some more data. During the next year PS2 sold about 18m more. It seems that the PS3 will sell at least 15m for the next year if it gets a pricecut, meaning the percentage may increase to 74% or more during the next year. This is speculation though.

Let's assume the PS2 sales stop at 160m. 70.82% of that would be 113m consoles. Can PS3 achieve that? That would put it above the PSX.

Edit: In 5 years and 4 months after launch, PSX had shipped 54.4m units (http://www.playstationmuseum.com/Features/History/History1999.htm), so that would put it at around 54-55m sold in the same time frame. That means PS3 has sold about 91% that of PSX so far. Meaning PSX sales fell quicker than those of PS2. PS3 could follow a similar trend and achieving 91% of the total sales of PSX would put it at 92m. Thanks Carl2291 for this link.

My personal opinion: I was surprised to see the PS3 is doing this well compared to the PS2. I thought  the PS2 was more frontloaded than it actually was, but now I see it sold almost half of its lifetime sales after the current generation started. I don't see the PS3 pulling that off, even if the PS4 and X720 come in 2014. For the next couple of years, PS3 may reach 75% of PS2 sales, but after that it should fall much quicker. For that reason I think that PS3 will stop selling at about 90 million.

I'm impressed at the concluding paragraph, that's exactly what I'm thinking about how it won't hold on to its sales as well as the PS2, though I haven't thought it out enough to figure out the number I think it'll get to.

interesting thread regardless, thanks for the effort.

Thanks

i'd have to say im impressed to, but looking at my previous projections Sonys on track to sale 60m by the end of 2011?

yet still 2012 puzzles me to no end? 2012 seem to look like a very eventful yr but much is still un-none.

interresting no doubt!

 i'd love to say 120m-110m but its hard now adays.

If PS3 can do 30 million in the next 2 years it can then slowly creap upto the 100 million sold. Though wordwide markets could already be more saturated then we think.

At 199 or even 149 the PS3 could replace quite a few PS2's in the more developing countries.

The PS2 dropped to 200$ 2 years after it's release. The PS3 is still 300$ 4.5 years since it's release. Comparing both can't be very conclusive considering that.

That's better than I expected, though I still don't expect it to crawl past 90m. Just because it's crushing Wii and 360 certainly doesn't mean it's doing well at the moment. Even with a $50 price cut, I don't see it being up YoY. It's really gonna fall behind PS2 from here on out, in my opinion.

PS2 dropped to $199 "mass market" and im tired of the source and people saying that mass market is being overrated, last gen nintendo was touting the mass market price point with the gamecube, and so was sony, and MICROSOFT said most of a console's sales come after they reach the $199 price point, therefore the ps2 dropped to $199 and began to see it's highest sales, and peak sales years, the ps3 has a huge amount of growth oppurtunity, but must drop price before nintendo starts to promote it's next console, or the price cut wont have as big as an affect as it could at the moment

i think it can but it won't be easy? maybe 25-28m

i think you have the right idea here.

Yeah 110-120 million confirmed.

The best selling home console in the seventh generation after all.