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non-gravity said:

If PS3 can do 30 million in the next 2 years it can then slowly creap upto the 100 million sold. Though wordwide markets could already be more saturated then we think.

At 199 or even 149 the PS3 could replace quite a few PS2's in the more developing countries.

i think it can but it won't be easy? maybe 25-28m

i think you have the right idea here.