Even a month ago this seemed unlikely, but if you look a the current state of wii software sales you find:

1		Wii Sports		Nintendo	22,890	8.05	15.14m
2		Wii Play		Nintendo	11,670	6.88	7.57m
3		The Legend of Zelda: Twilight Princess		Nintendo	14,257	8.61	4.14m
4		Mario Party 8		Nintendo	15,684	7.57	3.46m
5		Super Mario Galaxy		Nintendo	44,754	8.75	3.01m
6		Wario Ware: Smooth Moves		Nintendo	3,311	7.55	2.02m
7		Super Paper Mario		Nintendo	8,691	8.18	1.83m
8		Mario & Sonic at the Olympic Games		Sega	9,995	7.75	1.42m
9		Big Brain Academy: Wii Degree		Nintendo	4,323	7.28	1.41m
10		Resident Evil 4: Wii Edition		Capcom	32,084	8.31	1.18m
11		Rayman Raving Rabbids		Ubisoft	3,944	7.66	1.17m
12		Mario Strikers Charged		Nintendo	10,355	8.16	1.04m
13		Red Steel		Ubisoft	3,125	6.84	1.03m
14		Guitar Hero III: Legends of Rock		RedOctane	4,532	8.04	0.99m
15		Metroid Prime 3: Corruption		Nintendo	31,777	8.29	0.94m

15 titles currently over 1 million (Or very close at least) and 5 third party titles also!

Now, considering these titles to be guaranteed million sellers:

22

Wii Fit

Nintendo

5,139

7.84

0.52m

25

Link's Crossbow Training

Nintendo

1,746

7.86

0.49m

We are already at 17.

Now, there are a about six or seven games that have the potential to sell through, and could creep to a million  LTD (I am not claiming these titles have any chance this year, but looking at the bigger picture, it would be great if 21 games released in the Wii's first year reached that magical million barrier).

16		Sonic and the Secret Rings		Sega	4,474	7.75	0.79m
17		Pokemon Battle Revolution		Nintendo	4,016	7.61	0.77m

20		Cooking Mama: Cook Off		Taito	1,559	6.50	0.55m
21		MySims		EA	2,345	7.56	0.55m

24

Resident Evil: Umbrella Chronicles

Capcom

10,494

8.12

0.50m

29		Rayman Raving Rabbids 2		Ubisoft	2,276	8.04	0.38m
30		High School Musical: Sing It!		Disney	429	7.50	0.36m

38

Carnival Games

Global Star Software

2,148

7.19

0.32m

I realize there are 25 games there, but I do not expect all of these to reach the million mark (just trying to get include some other options to spur discussion).

First off, Sonic and the Secret rings.  Can it sell an additional 200k lifetime? I think so, given the popularity of Sonic in Europe, and the possible sales it may pick up as a result of Mario and Sonic and the eventual pricecut.  Look for more sales from this one in Europe, and it is currently tracking above the sonic GC games and rush (both  million plus) http://www.vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=All&game1=Sonic+and+the+Secret+Rings+-+Wii&reg2=All&game2=Sonic+Rush+-+DS&reg3=All&game3=Sonic+Adventure+2+Battle+-+GC&weeks=100

 Others from this list I think wil make it will be Resident Evil, UC (as it is currently tracking above RE4 Wii and RedSteel, and will probably get a boost from those million plus zappers)

Carnival Games I believe will be a slow burner to a million, as it is already at 500k shipped and has shown no signs of slowing down in either the US or europe.  it will be a VERY slow crawl but I think it will get there (provided Take2 doesn't release a sequel to cannibalize sales).

Out of the rest of the list the only one I see making the million sold will be Rayman Raving Rabbids 2, as it is tracking currently above Red Steel and the original Rabbids, and will replace the Rabbids 1 sales that have continued along at a good clip for the last year.

I would argue that cooking mama may make it, but the release of the sequel will cannibalize sales.  

Almost forgot:

4

Lego Star Wars: The Complete Saga

LucasArts

1,232

8.00

0.23m

Tracking around the same numbers as the first two, which were million sellers (or very close) on the cube.  Also I believe the game may be slightly undertracked, as it sold 180k in November NPD alone.

http://www.vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=All&game1=Lego+Star+Wars+-+GC&reg2=All&game2=Lego+Star+Wars%3A+The+Complete+Saga+-+Wii&reg3=All&game3=Lego+Star+Wars+II%3A+The+Original+Trilogy+-+GC&weeks=100

So, that would make 22 Wii million sellers, with 9 third party games hiting the mark!  Impressive, but can it actually happen? 

Any thoughts, Ideas?  (Sorry 360 and PS3 owners, I don't have either console) 

Yes most likely we'll see 21 or more games that debuted this year hit over a million in sales. The more important number is 15, as it is actually a very good number for a system in it's first year.

Doubt Cooking Mama or Carnival Games can make 1m (I sure hope Carnival games doesn't) but I think My Sims will, and will be EA's first 1m seller on Wii.

Lego for sure, RE:UC, RRR2, S&SR should all hit 1m as well. Who says 3rd party titles can't sell on Wii?? Only those in denial.

Cooking Mama offically sold over 1 million a few weeks ago.

Wow so many bad games selling so well. Kinda reminds me of the days in the early 80's before the bubble burst with the industry and the Atari 2600 when the most of the software became so bad.

@ maybe you would like to explain all this "bad games" business? What you actually find bad in that list?

@thread: quite possibly

Well how many of those games have 80% or better reviews on GameRankings.Com?

 That included the DS version.

how many of those games have i played and enjoyed?  10

how many are on my list of games i want to play? an additional 4