Yes, I've kicked over one strawman (the PS2) now to take the DS.......

The Wii is selling as well as the DS in its 2nd year (which is phenomenal obviously!!!) But for it to double, it would sell pretty much as fast as the DS is selling right now! Just looking at price alone do you think that's possible?!!? The DS costs like half as much!

For those reasons, its safe to assume that a 50% increase is reasonable but 100% isn't without either a price drop or new colours. Especially since the Wii has more competition than the DS.

I said it before, I said it before then, and I'll say it again.

Nintendo's mission now and for the last some-odd months has been to figure out how to increase supply without sacrificing quality (an absolute no-no in Nintendo's book) and without wasting unnecessary funds (another big Nintendo-no-no).

Demand DEMANDS that Nintendo increases supply. I don't know why people think Nintendo is stuck forever at a 1.8 million a month production tally. As demand shows itself Nintendo will attempt to meet it...and fail, of course, since this demand is unprecedented and newer games along with its building history will only increase it further.

But regardless of always falling short of crowd favor for the system, they will better reach the demand as time goes on.

DO NOT expect a fall off for Wii in 2008. Fatal mistake. Demand will GROW in 2008 making 2006 & 2007 look like utter "Bull Shannon". I put my hand on the Bible, the Koran, and the Kama Sutra I believe it so strongly.

The only setbacks are working out the kinks with parts suppliers and devising an efficient production model as the production capabilities expand. It takes time and planning so the results won't be seen right away but they WILL catch up. Only problem is as soon as they catch up demand moves to a new water level and they have to go through this all again.

No one had EVER seen a system with year-plus long launch fever. This has never happened before. And I see quite strongly that this new phenomenon will extend itself into 2008 holidays as well. Launch fever for 2 years running is what I see. And Nintendo has to capture some of this.

Nintendo is capable of producing whatever it takes to meet demand. Whether that be 1.8 million, 2.4 million, 3.6 million, 4.8 million, or 9.6 million. That last number is used for exaggerative effect but you get my point.

If demand demands it, supply will have to meet it.

Perhaps that 9.6 million exaggeration won't be so hyperbolistic after all the way things are going.

Expect 60 million in 2008's swansong when this is all said and done with.

Nintendo simply doesn't sleep on these kinds of opportunities, conservative or not. 

John Lucas 

Nintendo could do
new colours (maybe even with more flash mem)
price cut
bundle another game
add DVD playback

if they did at least two of these, I think 3,6M/month (over a whole year) would be possible. Without them, I'd say 2,5M.

 Ah, this is where your argument fails, price is not the determining aspect in sales, software is, and Wii fit will be able to propel Wii sales to new heights.

Also the PS2 is not a strawman as we've seen the Wii has surpassedthe first year equivalents of the PS2 in each region, there is no doubt that it  will be able to sell even more than the PS2 in the coming year, thanks to Wii fit, so while PS2 didn't actually double, it just added regions, Wii probably will.

Price doesn't wholly determine sales. WOOOOWWWW. We all know that. But to say that the Wii's or DS's lower price hasn't helped with SOME part of their success is just flat out ridiculous. I suppose Nintendo should jack the price, but because they're such a nice company they don't? Sheesh.

Wii Fit is an interesting variable but if you think Wii's are supply constrained.....

 I point you to Ebay where Wii's are selling for almost twice the retail price, please Nintendo could have gotten massive sales at higher price in fact look at it from a monopolistic competition point of view and you see that Wii is actually at a lower than optimal price for Nintendo, they are leaving profits on the table.

Its wrong to think price is the decider, it didn't help the GCN for example, software is the key and Wii has the software that the public wants, only supply will hinder Wii sales

 Oh yeah. The wii would seel 10 million a month with a price tag of $1000. Help me ronda!

 If it had experiences worth $1000 dollars to people it would, if playing Wii wcould heal every ailment, in your body, increase your health with minimal effort and cause you to lose all excess fat without any effort, people would pay a $1000 dollars for it without a doubt

That's it folks, I'm out of here. We officially have the messiah that is Wii being preached by the disciples. Run while you can!

 You are funier than JL. No it won't sell in this masses if it would have a price tag of $1000. Never. I wouldn't have bought mine, that would just to expensive. Plain and Simple. Some would buy it, but never these masses. Forget about it.