Not sure what I think GTA IV will do, it depends on how much they improved the game play, and expanded the city size.

I know after GTA III, Vice City, and San Andreas the game play got a bit bland, but if they can make a really organic environment that grows and changes according to your actions, then the game could really be a hit.

Only thing is I don't see it pushing too many console sales as it will be out for the PS3, 360, and inevitably PC

It looks like Nintendo actually managed to increase its market share during the holiday season, which is clearly the best time for Sony and MS to keep their combined market share up.  Based on Nintendo's previous supply, I didn't believe they would sell 16 million by the end of 2007, and it looks like they'll be around 19 million.  That's a huge surprise (and pleasant) to me.  Let's see what they have in store for 2008.

The Wii is currently 5.58 million units from a 50% market share according to VGC's numbers as of December 22nd / 23rd. This kind of ground is something they may be able to cover in 2008. If it can cover it in 2008, they'll most likely do so by October.

Huh?!?

You seem ignorant of the fact that the 360 launched in november '05 and had therefore a bit over two years to sell these 15.5-16 millions which means an average of about 7.5 millions a year... just like the PS3 (8.5-9 millions is for 14 months) for a total of 15 millions a year, with a big chunk of these sales stacked in the last two months.

 So even if the Wii does not increase production they still would have enough (21.6) to get to 50% marketshare (15 millions + 5.6 millions difference = 20.6).

Now there are more factors like the 360/PS3 selling more this year with GTA4/MGS4 or the Wii possibly selling less (an opinion widely held by PS3 fans for more than a year now) but calling it virtually impossible is laughable at best.

Of course you made a mistake in your yearly sales numbers but now that you have been corrected maybe you might want to reconsider your statement*.

* assuming you see this post as your post is dated from 2 weeks ago. :) 

Somebody get the card, we may have a bingo.

yes. it will.

ya proballly but it could use with a better lineup but more games will probally be announced later.

Thank you. Pure, simple math tells the story.

Sure, we could quibble over the specific stats, but it's fair to say those 2008 estimates are at least in the ballpark. Unless the 360 or PS3 collapse and sell 5 million less than expected, or Nintendo finds a way to ramp production from 1.8m per month to 2.5, without losing demand, it's almost impossible for Nintendo to pull off this year.

 In 2009? Maybe,but the 360 and PS3 should then be well in the "mass market" price range, which means Nintendo will have to increase their numbers that much more. 

if nintendo increases production even more then i say its a clear yes otherwise i say maybe