MikeB said: robjoh said: leo-j said: Wii wont sell out it cant!! |
Well I usually ignore you, but isn't Wii sold out now? So why can't it sell out next year? |
The Wii isn't sold out here in the Netherlands. IMO there is little reason for the Wii to sell out currently, it's not a technically difficult product for Nintendo to mass produce and Nintendo has more than enough resources nowadays. I think it's partially artificial. |
Truly your understanding of manufacturing capacity and business is as dizzying as your understanding of the PS3's computer engineering.
I think Sony will see a big upswing this year -- about as big as you can hope to see for a $400 console. I'm hoping they'll sell about 10 million world wide in 2008. I may be a little optimistic about this, but it's not outside of the realm of possibility.
MO the Wii is currently doing business in the lower end of the market. IMO it's premature to claim a cheaper slimline PS3 in the future couldn't do very well for this market segment in the future as well and significantly outsell the Wii.
You don't understand the market. The PS3 could do much better at a significantly lower price point, of course. However far off that may be. But the PS3 cannot cannibalize all of the Wii's sales at any price point. There are a lot of people interested in what the Wii has to offer regardless of whether they're at all interested in gaming outside of the Wii. There is another group of people that will buy the Wii because it has so many good games from Nintendo themselves, and Nintendo is definitely living up to their name this generation.
Don't misunderstand the average consumer. Not only is the average consumer unable to see the difference between high def discs and standard discs, they're unable to recognize when their aspect ratio is wrong, when their TV is completely uncalibrated, that their surround sound is set to pro-logic 2 and they've got an unencoded stereo source, etc. The average consumer would connect their PS3 via composite and be done with it. These people see PS3 games and Wii games as video games, regardless of resolution or graphics, and they're interested in the Wii because they can more readily understand it.
You can convince yourself that the PS3 will do better because it is more powerful in the following X ways, or because it has the following X games coming out in 2008. You may so thoroughly convince yourself so that you *know* this will happen.
Sales trends for this type of product rarely make huge swings or truly surprise people who watch them closely. In order for Sony to really make a change to their sales trends, they'd need a new price point in every territory. Without it, they'd be lucky to sell 10 million next year -- and God knows I'm pulling for Sony to do at least that.