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Forums - Sales - GT5 SALES Prediction DISCUSSION Thread - Discuss Sales Predictions & Sales!

CGI-Quality said:
Immortal said:

Fair enough. I haven't actually posted on here, but I've been lurking and I do agree that the general consensus was 2m or so. I do wonder why you were randomly clarifying that the 1.8m figure was for two days if you didn't think I was mistaken, though that's besides the point.

Anyway, can you answer this time why you attacked the post that claimed that crow should be served to the majority of predictions in the thread? It had nothing to do with what people generally thought, just the most of the predictions in this thread.

I mentioned 1.8 mill because the initial post I quoted said a full week, and that 46/69 people predicted higher than 1.8mill (even though again, we don't even have the whole week). He never gave a number, but I did (which you now agree with).


Well, it said that 46/69 people predicted over 2.4m, which is true.

EDIT: I'm not agreing with him though. I'm just saying that what he stated was true, not that GT5 is underpeforming.



 

“These are my principles; if you don’t like them, I have others.” – Groucho Marx

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Immortal said:
Boutros said:
Immortal said:
CGI-Quality said:
heruamon said:
johnglen said:
Fufinu said:

Some people here will be eating crow.


Agreed. The vast majority of people (46/69) predicted higher first week sales.


LOL...

What's really funny about this it isn't true. We've got just two days of sales, two. Most thought it would do 2 mill or so first week. It nearly cleared that in just two days, and will easily clear it for the week.

So no matter how he chooses to downsize what GT5 has done here, or spin the bottom line, it's in line with/will smash most predictions.

Seriously? Did you even bother checking for yourself rather than going with "most thought it would do 2 mill"? You have the numbers on the front page. It did 2.4m (VGC estimate of course, it may have done more or less, you can't say anything about that just yet, and it's best to follow the only lead we have) even though 46/69 people thought it would do more than that. Sure, the game is selling well. No doubt. It is most definitely not in line with or smashing most predictions.

EDIT - Boutros, were you looking at the same list as me? I counted out 47 actually. I even wrote down the names to double check.

There's a 10% margin of error that you have to take into consideration.

So since ioi predicted a max of 2.5 million FW, it means that everybody who has a prediction of 2.75 million or lower are okay.

Eh, isn't that stretching it a little bit? Taking the higher point and using the 10% margin of error to make it even higher? It could also be 2.16m in that regard. Something like 2.45m would probably be better then. This would still probably give us more people overpredicting than underpredicting.

Yes everybody who predicted between 2.16 million and 2.75 million are on line with ioi's prediction.

People over 2.75 million overpredicted and people under 2.16 million underpredicted.

ioi is constantly reminding us of the 10% margin of error so I think it's important to consider.

But yeah maybe we should wait for the numbers to be posted because otherwise it's just speculations.



Yeah, I guess it'd better just to wait for the numbers then before making any analysis.



 

“These are my principles; if you don’t like them, I have others.” – Groucho Marx

i am gonna be disappointed if gran turismo 5 doesn't sell at least 2.5 mil....

i want to have the closest prediction!!!!



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EU sales data coming in suggests a massive opening week there

And SONY expects 275K to be sold in spain alone...if we extrapolate that we could see GT5 do around 2.5 Million in EU alone by the end of the year



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

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So how did you all do?

Japan Sales are for GT5 are 430K....in week 1

I got 490K so I'm pretty pleased

The people who were closest were.... VetteDude, Lord_yggdrasil & invapgc

Congrats to those 3!

Of course we'll wait for VGc numbers before giving awards out "officially"



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

darthdevidem01 said:

So how did you all do?

Japan Sales are for GT5 are 430K....in week 1

I got 490K so I'm pretty pleased

The people who were closest were.... VetteDude, Lord_yggdrasil & invapgc

Congrats to those 3!

Of course we'll wait for VGc numbers before giving awards out "officially"

I .... Fail , terribly :D



I over predicted



 

Seece said:

I over predicted

Just say you copied Millenium's prediction who's above you on the table!

So its Millenium's fault!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

VXIII said:
darthdevidem01 said:

So how did you all do?

Japan Sales are for GT5 are 430K....in week 1

I got 490K so I'm pretty pleased

The people who were closest were.... VetteDude, Lord_yggdrasil & invapgc

Congrats to those 3!

Of course we'll wait for VGc numbers before giving awards out "officially"

I .... Fail , terribly :D

....

......

........

If its any consolation GT3 debuted 40K higher than GT5 but ended up at 1.4 Million in Japan

so don't lose hope for you LTD GT5 Japan Sales figure!

and

LOLOLOLOL @ the guy who thinks it'll do 4 million in Japan



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey