Not true, they do have a small first party, but usually its within the same year that they announce exclusives.

The shipment number have gone from almost 9 million difference to under 3 million in a little over a year after the Slim was released.  There will be some stuff next year that will draw out the PS3 taking 2nd place.  I think that MS will have a price cut in spring, followed by Sony in the fall (probably both will be a modest $50 cut).  But, I think we will see Sony pull ahead in shipment numbers sometime next year.

I'm all for MS getting third place now with their current 1st party (lack thereof) strategy.  I really do hope they change their first party strategy so that I may want to buy one again.  They were doing much better at the beginning of this generation, IMO.

As many say, it won't matter at this point in terms of gaming.  Both consoles will end in a virtual tie.  I do think they will both close the gap with the Wii from 30m to 15m or even smaller because Nintendo will probably get their next console out earlier and the sales rate is declining so fast.  All in all, I think the 3 consoles will be a lot closer than people think at the end of the generation.

And yet they haven't really turned any significant profit inspite the fact that their market share and market penetration increased significantly. Beyond this having a high market share in a previous generation isn't so helpful once the next generation of consoles are released as proved by this one. Oh and Phill Harrison a former Sony SCE executive was the one I was basing the comments of a more expensive to develop next generation console, yours is just speculation unfortunately as you never see the entire picture from outside.

I'd like to know what those are, since you say "usually" you mean more than half. Off the top of my head Halo 3, Wars, ODST, Reach, Fable 2, Fable 3, Gears of War 3, Crackdown 2, Kingdoms, Forza Kinect certainly weren't.

This is my dillema, i dont think sony and microsoft will release a new console when nintendo does, in 2012, or 2013. why?? because if nintendo releases a console more powerful than PS3 or 360, with blu ray, HD, online multiplayer. they will have to compete on the same price scale. i expect that it would be more expensive than the PS3 and 360, and nintendo dont sell HW at a loss. therefore i think the Wii 2  will follow the same trend and will be less powerful than both consoles.

thus i dont see microsoft and sony uping the threshold with new consoles, when cleary they've both lost this console war because the mass consumer dosent want to pay more money for consoles. the power theshold of the current consoles are more than enough for at least a few years. not to mention that neither have sold 50 mil units, and in light of previous consoles 50 mil units isnt quite the break through success either companies want imo.

and sony havent made much profit, but i dont think microsoft have made much profit either, thats why i think the price of kinect is so high, and why they're increasing the price of Live. not to mention the 360 has had some price cuts recently and i dont think its been cheap for microsoft either tbh. so imo these companies will be slugging it out for a while yet!!

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In 2011, for the 3 consoles I can't see any killer game to move millions of consoles, like NSMB Wii did last year, so the gap will increase or decrease based mainly on price drops.

Makes sense compared after looking at the market share update.

They haven't made significant profit because the PS3 has only recently become profitable by itself.  That, and Sony has quite a few other things on its plate besides consoles, most of which took a hit when the recession hit.  But what I'm saying is that next year, with little doubt, that the PS3 will remain profitable with a $50 cut.  Plus, I highly doubt that Sony is going to let the PS3 go over 2 years with no price cut.  Sony will cut next year, you can qoute me on that.

And Phil Harrison left Sony in Feb of '08, just 1 1/2 after the PS3 launched.  In other words, he probably knows little, if anything, of Sony's plans for the PS4.  So in the end, he's speculating just like I am.  And nice way to conclude I have my blinders on just because I see things a little different.  I'm just using common sense about what Sony can do to learn from its mistakes and have a good launch next gen.  Because if someone believes they haven't learned from the mistakes of the PS3, than they are being quite foolish.

Not saying that the future looks bright for non Kinect Xbox 360 exclusives. Gears 2 was announced like 6 months before release, so they probably have at least 1 ace up there sleave for 2011, plus that Crytek game most likely comes in 2011. That said, Sony will most likely announce UC3, which imo weighs higher than any unnanouced 360 exclusive, except for a new Halo.