For HD systems I mean. Cod boost will fall and kinect boost will lesson. I really hope ps3 and 360 continue to grow but i think they will both go down a little...what do you think?
For HD systems I mean. Cod boost will fall and kinect boost will lesson. I really hope ps3 and 360 continue to grow but i think they will both go down a little...what do you think?
Reasons for potential decreases.
Wii: Decrease of red Wii bump in Americas and Japan
PS3: Decrease of of Black Ops effect in EMEAA and America
360: Decrease of Black Ops effect in America and EMEAA and Kinect effect in EMEAA
Reasons for possible increases other than regular seasonality.
Wii: Nothing really
PS3: Possible GT5 anticipation and early leaks in France and Italy. Black Ops and new Torne bundle in Japan.
360: Kinect and arguably Black Ops in Japan.
I don't think PS3 got much of a bump from BO in Americas so I don't think sales will decrease there. Seasonal lifts should begin to kick in in Japan so between that and BO I think PS3 should be up depending on if we track the GT5 leaks in EMEAA. I think seasonality should cover decreases in Americas and EMEAA for 360, and personally I think Japan could be around 15k-20k so I think 360 will be up too. Wii will likely see at least a moderate drop in Japan but I think the west will cover for it. So I think everything will be up at least slightly.
Both HD consoles will have a weekly increase. The same with the Wii, DS, and PSP.
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| postofficebuddy said:
Reasons for potential decreases. Wii: Decrease of red Wii bump in Americas and Japan PS3: Decrease of of Black Ops effect in EMEAA and America 360: Decrease of Black Ops effect in America and EMEAA and Kinect effect in EMEAA Reasons for possible increases other than regular seasonality. Wii: Nothing really PS3: Possible GT5 anticipation and early leaks in France and Italy. Black Ops and new Torne bundle in Japan. 360: Kinect and arguably Black Ops in Japan.
I don't think PS3 got much of a bump from BO in Americas so I don't think sales will decrease there. Seasonal lifts should begin to kick in in Japan so between that and BO I think PS3 should be up depending on if we track the GT5 leaks in EMEAA. I think seasonality should cover decreases in Americas and EMEAA for 360, and personally I think Japan could be around 15k-20k so I think 360 will be up too. Wii will likely see at least a moderate drop in Japan but I think the west will cover for it. So I think everything will be up at least slightly.
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Black Ops won't do much if anything for 360 in Japan though Kinect may do something small and GT5 anticipation? That doesn't even count for anything Lol and if you do then Donkey Kong anticipation will cause an increase too. Wii also has Sonic Colors which may push some though not much at all and Udraw has a good chance at pushing some Wii's in America though it might not this week but I believe Udraw will push a good amount in the long run for sure.
Anyway all consoles should be up next week because we are getting deeper into the Holiday's if they have anything big or not for the week.
Its not impossible but this time of year, all consoles generally experience growth every week until they reach their peak in mid-to late December. So, no, I don't think think hardware will drop. I do think it will have very slight growth though, perhaps in the vicinity of 30-50k worldwide total (per console, mind you).
Last year PS3 and 360 slowed the week after COD:MW2. This year I believe that drop will be smaller since more of the COD:BO purchasers were existing owners. I also believe more of the boost for 360 is related to Kinect. Kinect should have been easier to get this week with post launch shipments and not having to support 2 big launches over the last couple of weeks. 360 also has smallers launchs of Kinect in Australia and Japan (although just a couple of days) this week that could bump sales 10-20K.
Its libraries that sell systems not a single game.
Looking at last year the 360 was down ~18% this week and PS3 ~3% down from the previous week. I would guess similar results for this year. The 360 had Left 4 Dead 2 launch this week last year, and it does not have a big exclusive like that launching this year, but Kinnect should be able to offset that I think which is why it should be similar to last year. Last year for Wii it increased 36% from the previous week, but NSMB Wii launched then, so I would think this week it only increases by ~10% from last week.
I think it's more likely that the Wii and Xbox 360 will be about on par next week (Red wii effect will decrease but usually Wii increases more during the holiday season and there are so many bundles around the world!). PS3 may be third again, until GT5.
But I don't think there'll be a decrease in sales, it's almost impossible for PS3, unlikely for the Wii and just possible for Xbox 360. I still believe that, except the 360, all the consoles will have an increase of over 10% WoW.