Thats a good point, economy. First time I heard that one. It makes sence too, but I think your predction is still too low. 5 million is how well Prologue did, I think GT5 can get 2-4 million more then Prologue. Remember Forza Motorsport 2 sold 4 million, GT5 should be able to get 8 million. After all this is "THE" PS3 exclusive, much like Halo is to Ms and Mario/Wii branded games are to Nintendo.

However this economy point is a good one, GT3 was the only unusually well selling GT game, all other GT's sold in the 10m range on more popular consoles. I think best case, GT5 can get 10 million, Sony may just bundle a bunch of copies to do so.

Also GT3 came out early into the consoles life. VGChartz recently made an article talking about how future console sales will be down during the next 2 years, and we should expect a Wii successor either fall 2011, or fall 2012. How much longer after that until a PS4 and a 360 successor? GT5 is being released after the peak of a console (like GT4 and GT2), and it's being sold on the weakest console of the bunch. I think 8.5m lifetime is reasonable, 10m is possible, but depends on bundles and marketing, and anything above that is just wishful thinking.

If DMC4 had been Exclusive I would have expected to see about 2-2.2 Million.

FFXIII would have sold around 5 Milion if it had been Exclusive IMO to.  

I would predict that GT5 will have the same impacted as GT3 A-Spec had on PS2. Meany pepol have been holding off on PS3 waiting for this Game and there GT5 sould move a lot of units.

The same was the case in Japan with Final Fantasy XIII were the PS3 user base went up about 1 Million units.   

The difference between GT5 and FFXIII is that we already know that FFXIII disappointed a lot of FF fans and they gave it very bad word of mouth, while we already know that people liked Prologue and developers are doing their best to make GT5 a lot bigger and better than it, so legs should be up to GT series expectations and only the launch, that Sony is doing its best to cripple, is still the big question mark left. But crippling and delaying the launch too much could also make GT5 miss its 1st and biggest Xmas, so if Sony keeps on being so clumsy and masochist, GT5 really risks ending 5th, beating only GT5 Prologue and the other minor releases. I can't believe they delayed it for such a stupid reason as they stated, I hope for them, but a lot more for racing genre sake, that they actually devised they could position its launch better, but still before next Xmas.

FFXIII did disappoint a lot of FF fans, but FFXII also disapointed many fans, and FFXIII has not chance of beating the last proper FF game, FFX. GT5 also has a lot of hype, and expectations to meet. People expect this ame to be better then GT3 and GT4, it's been in development for a lot longer, and has been rebuilt from scratch. However, if it doesn't blow our minds away, it really won't surpass expectations by much, and thus won't sell that strongly.

It has a chance, I'll give it that, but 8.5 million is the most reasonable assumption I can make since the best selling PS3 exclusives only get 5 million sales, and just.

FFXIII did disappoint a lot of FF fans, but FFXII also disapointed many fans, and FFXIII has not chance of beating the last proper FF game, FFX. GT5 also has a lot of hype, and expectations to meet. People expect this ame to be better then GT3 and GT4, it's been in development for a lot longer, and has been rebuilt from scratch. However, if it doesn't blow our minds away, it really won't surpass expectations by much, and thus won't sell that strongly.

It has a chance, I'll give it that, but 8.5 million is the most reasonable assumption I can make since the best selling PS3 exclusives only get 5 million sales, and just.

@Michael-5 Why do you refuse to believe that ANY PS3 game will cross 10 million? You said the same thing about MW2, even with it looking like almost a mathematical certainty that it will. GT5 is getting an initial shipment bigger than any other PS3 exclusives lifetime sales to date.

I`m going for second place, first place is a bit high right now ;) Me and most of my friends are getting it, more so than with any other game. Even though racing is by far our favorite genre, we all just want one good racing game this gen. So yeah, gt5 here we come.

wow, alot of posts now.

It will Definitively flop.

To be honest, we all know the game won't flop. But it won't sell as much as the previous titles like some Sony fans want us to believe. 6-7-8 million is a good prediction though and I would be very surprised to see better sales unless of course the game is heavily bundled.