Wouldn't it make more sense to have all the games released in 2010 not just those released after october?

Because if you use Halo 3 as the example it sold 930k in the 3 weeks prior to xmas 2007 so obviously Reach will do roughly the same.

If it was all titles i would have 360 as

1.Black Ops    2.  Fable 3.   3. Reach.  4. Fifa 11   5. Kinect Adventures

If just from October then

360

1. Black Ops   2. Fable 3      3. Fifa 11      4. Kinect Adventures   5. New Vegas

PS3

1. Black Ops   2. Gran Turismo 5    3. Fifa 11   4. New vegas    5. Assassins Creed Brotherhood

Wii  i can't be bothered but it will probably sell more software then the other 2.

For some reason, it doesn't seem right to not include Halo.  It almost seems like a bias to push Wii's numbers to first place.  Just because it was released in September doesn't mean it shouldn't count.  We can't just ignore the big freakin' elephant in the room.

But what ev's.

1. Black Ops, 2. Fable 3, 3. New Vegas, 4.Assasins Creed, 5. Medal of Honor</p> <p>

Total: 17mil

PS3: 1. Black Ops, 2. GT5, 3.Assasins Creed, 4. Medal of Honor, 5. Fifa 11

Total: 15mil

Wii: 1. Wii Party, 2. Just Dance 2, 3. Donkey Kong Returns, 4. Epic Mickey, 5.Kirby

Total: 14mil

I think its fine that halo reach doesn't count. This is suppose to be interesting predictions not have everyone pick 360 in first place because it has a huge game release september that has 4 months of sales count towards holiday sales talley. It makes it more interesting because you really don't know who will win, because they will likely all be so close.

I was glad to see the number of responses when I checked this thread right now, starting to get a decent number of predictions.

I probably should have put a disclaimer up, as there were a number of people in last year's thread that did not like the deadlines or rules that I placed on this "contest". I'm not suggesting that the top 5 holiday sellers have any sort of importance to the console manufacturers or game developers. I just make these threads because I think it is a fun sales trend to look at, and just another thing to follow for us sales enthusiasts during the most interesting period of the year. So if the rules or restrictions placed here upset you, I'm sorry but I don't plan on changing the rules. If it really bothers you it might just be best not to keep up with this thread, although you are of course welcome to make your own thread using you desired restrictions (This is not aimed at any individual just in general and as preemptive against getting some comments like I did last year).

@Michael -5,  Really what this thread is, is the sales of Q4 games in Q4. There has to be an arbitrary deadline somewhere and I just choose the start of October because it is the start of Q4. Also, yes the the last week of data will be for the one ending the first weekend in Jan.

@OkeyDokey, yep you figured it out. The 360 was still in the lead when I stopped updating the thread, but Wii was gaining by a million plus every week so it was going to be in a dominant lead at the end.

@Hyruken, if I extend it to games released before the holidays but then only count holiday sales, updating the data becomes very time consuming. For example, if I were to make it any game released during the year, I would then have to keep up with the sales of the game during Q4 and then subtract that from its total. With games released just during Q4 all I have to do is look at its total sales and enter it. Also if doing sales of all games released during the year, you have to pay attention to a lot more games, as there are a lot more options for games to get into the 4th or 5th spots. Updating all the information for this thread will be relatively time consuming, but extending the deadline to all year would probably at least double the amount of work for me and I'm just not willing to invest that much. If I'm missing some way to look at the sales of a game for only a certain period, please let me know.

It's interesting to see that everyone is mentioning Kinect Adventures but seem to forget about Motionsports wich is probably going to sell alot aswell. Really cool thread btw.

Thanks Anthony. I agree motionsports is going to sell a lot as well, but it would probably have to have around a 75% attach rate with Kinnect during the holiday to crack the top 5. I think it will probably be close but not quite make it.

cool thread

I choose 360>PS3>WII because of Black Ops which should sell like 6.5 million on 360 and 4.5 on PS3. Plus Fable 3 will probably outsell Fallout and Brotherhood on 360 giving it another bump over the competition.

Wii > 360 > PS3

Xbox 360

• Call of Duty: Black Ops
• Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood
• Fallout: New Vegas
• Halo: Reach
• Fable III
  
  (Does Kinect Adventures count as it's bundled)

Playstation 3

• Call of Duty: Black Ops
• Gran Turismo 5
• Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood
• Mdeal oh Honour
• Fallout: New Vegas

Wii

• Wii Party
• Donkey Kong Country Returns
• Just Dance 2
• Kirby's Epic Yarn
• Call of Duty: Black Ops (It's getting it right?)
  
  I know Reach doesn't count, I don't care I'm putting it in, seems stupid. Feel free not to count my votes ..

Kinect Adventures counts if Wii Sports counts.  And last time I checked Wii Sports counts.  I don't really see CoD : BO selling well on the Wii though.