Hurricane Earl (135 MPH sustained winds) is going to brush and smack various areas of the East Coast / Canada with hurricane and tropical storm force winds. Are you ready?

Where I live we have a 20% chance of tropical storm force winds, with the coast up to 45% at the moment - but any movement to the west / east would dramatically increase or lessen those chances.

Here in the North East we're way overdue for a major hurricane - nothing really since the 1930s, although Gloria, Bob and Floyd brought borderline hurricane force winds to my area. Allison and Isabel were fairly amazing in their own rights as well in 2001 and 2003.

Even if we don't get the big winds and big rains, once Earl passes the East Coast heat wave will break as the anti-cyclonic nature of the storm will pull in refreshing air for the weekend....looking forward to it.

I am in NC and we will not get much if anything.  The coast "might" see upwards of a 2 foot tidal surge, but the storm will not make landfall here.

The coast is currently under tropical storm warnings and some parts are already being evacuated (forced).  The silly governor has called a state of emergency.

its going to be a category 5..

the pressure is dropping like a rock, and the eye is becoming clearer, also the eye wall is becoming more intense with -70c cloud tops wrapping around it..

and... there's a lot more to watch than just earl.. you stole my idea btw, I was going to post about it, but I'm sure I'd get laughed at if I said there was a chance that a major hurricane would impact the north eastern U.S potentially directly

I live on Long Island and we are overdue for a big hurricane. I wonder if this will be it.

there is a HURRICANE WARNING for cape hataraus NC

oh and by the way... A CAT 4 hurricane can generate 50' waves over the atlantic, it's likley you wont get 50' waves at the coast, but you are getting MONSTER SIZE WAVES.. so a 2' tidal surge is really a laughable statement with a CAT 4 less than 50 miles off shore.. if it does not hit..

It could become a cat-5, its going through an eye-wall replacement cycle and the wind-sheer is dying down. Ocean temps are near record levels too. The millibar pressure it has now usually corresponds to a borderline cat-5 storm.

Based on ship logs, the entire north east is way overdue - there were major hurricanes up here in twice in the 1600s, twice in the 1700s, 1863, 1938...and none since.

Seems to happen every thirty to eighty years on average. That said, a landfall anywhere besides Mass, Canada and North Carolina is still unlikely.

Also, because the storm is real big it has an enormous IKE value (isolated kinetic energy) because the winds are moving the waves hard over an enormous area. Even once Earl weakens, the IKE value will remain enormous relative to the wind speed and air pressure. Storm surge is going to be nasty in New England and NC if this thing veers a bit more to the west.

the pressure dropped dramatically in a couple of hours..

also, I wouldn't say it's unlikely that it makes a landfall in the U.S since earl's speed is the main reason the track has shifted west in the first place.. If it crosses the 75W longitude line.. the chances of it hitting land go up dramamtically, that's what everyone has to watch.. if this does reach CAT 5 intensity.. a hit anywhere would be very sad..

no one is really evacuating, and aren't really taking it seriously.. they don't realize this is a borderline CAT 5 (the advisory had it at 135, the hunters found some 145-150mph winds a couple of mins ago, which is why I emphasis cat 5) , and if it decides to move west.. even 10 or 20 miles... it could be life threathening..

It's very stupid, that's why people died in KATRINA, that's why people may die here, they keep thinking "it's not ganna happen to us". At least prepare.. but idk how you can prepare , when evacuations are issued, take them seriously.. a CAT 4 is not to be taken lightly ever

btw a bouy about 90-100miles north east of the center, reported 63 mph gusts..

strong tropical storm force winds extend very far out from the center, so even if it's not a direct hit, strong winds are likely.. in fact it's estimated 39 plus mph winds extend 200 miles from the center.. trust me I've been in hurricanes, even TS winds can be damaging, especially for areas not used to strong prolonged winds!

NC gets hit by hurricanes like twice a year.  Most buildings are built with them in mind.  NC is not the place to worry about unless it randomly decides to shift inward 50 miles.