1 million?, i dont really see that happening.. if a million is even remotely possible it would be like  halo reach in preorders by now lol.. i say about 300k max

all of those are from bundles, i bet they didnt even reach 500k retail sales.

No, not in Americas Pre-Orders alone. In Worldwide pre-orders I think it will because Kinect will probably see at least 30% of its sales in EMEAA and Japan, maybe even 40% of its sales.

I beleive this because games like Black Ops, Halo Reach, and Modern Warfare 2 has Pre-orders of 500k with 10 weeks left and increased 70k per week. Okay those games are getting much closer to 2 million Pre-orders, but still.

I see Kinect selling very well, over a million consoles in each Americas and EMEAA region on week 1 alone. However I don't think it will pick up pre-orders. This is a game primarily for casual gamers, just like how Wii Party will sell over 10 million, but at best get 100k pre-orders. I think the same for Kinect, high sales, but low pre-orders. Not that a total of 1 million worldwide pre-orders isn't much.

Sonic Superstars tennis was bundled? I missed that one... However there are a lot of million selling casual games on 360 like Guitar Hero, Rock Band, Need for Speed, Dead Rising, Lego Star Wars, Viva Pinata, Midnight Club, PRG, The Simspons game, etc.

It also depends on what you define as casual, as I bet many CoD, Halo, and assassin's Creed sales are to casual gamers (I mean look at the huge sales jump Modern Warfare did to the franchise, and Call of Duty 2 was a better game then World at War.

I'm not even sure if it happened for any console or console addons. Usually the supply for launch is limited. Even if there is crazy demand for Kinect, it's unlikely to happen.

Well MS is planning to sell 5 mill by jan, so....

it doesn't mean it won't have supply issue for launch. 5 mil by Jan doesn't mean it has to have a 2mil week 1. December is always the best selling month of the year for video game industry.

Generally console on console add ons are failures alltogether (Sega CD, 32X, Nintendo Disk Drive, etc), however the Kinect is different. It doesn't do what the 360 does, but better (like past add ons), it does something new, innovative.

Also Wii Fit sold 1.6 million units in week one, and it didn't run out of supply, and it kept selling above 250k for the 20 first weeks VGChartz has it recorded (I could look week by week, but meehhhh). Kinect isn't expensive to produce, it's made in the same chinese factory as the Iphone is (so it will be terribly unreliable). It's possible to make millions of Kinects so long as the demand is there, and I feel the demand will be there.

The Wii Balance Board sold to a casual audience on console with the largest casual audience base in video game history.  Not really a good parallel to draw upon.

New and innovative doesn't equate to automatic success either.  I can list plenty that failed.  While Eye Toy eventualy sold 10.5 million units, that's less than 8% of the install base of the console.  If Kinect gets the same success, that's just 3-4 million units lifetime.

That production facility is the same one that produces the X360, the PS3 and the Wii.  It's Foxconn's Shenzhen facility.  So reliability isn't so much a factor as the production facility but of the production design.

Hell no lol