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Michael-5 said:

Generally console on console add ons are failures alltogether (Sega CD, 32X, Nintendo Disk Drive, etc), however the Kinect is different. It doesn't do what the 360 does, but better (like past add ons), it does something new, innovative.

Also Wii Fit sold 1.6 million units in week one, and it didn't run out of supply, and it kept selling above 250k for the 20 first weeks VGChartz has it recorded (I could look week by week, but meehhhh). Kinect isn't expensive to produce, it's made in the same chinese factory as the Iphone is (so it will be terribly unreliable). It's possible to make millions of Kinects so long as the demand is there, and I feel the demand will be there.

The Wii Balance Board sold to a casual audience on console with the largest casual audience base in video game history.  Not really a good parallel to draw upon.

New and innovative doesn't equate to automatic success either.  I can list plenty that failed.  While Eye Toy eventualy sold 10.5 million units, that's less than 8% of the install base of the console.  If Kinect gets the same success, that's just 3-4 million units lifetime.

That production facility is the same one that produces the X360, the PS3 and the Wii.  It's Foxconn's Shenzhen facility.  So reliability isn't so much a factor as the production facility but of the production design.



The rEVOLution is not being televised