All you need to do is look at 2009 to see how the rest of year will play out.

$50 Pricecut, Just Dance, NSMBWii, America sales madness?

While it may not hit 12.5, it will be far above 2007's 9m.

I'd expect about 11-12m for rest of year.

Wii is having a typical sales curve and is slowly trailing off now that it has peaked.

360s curve is the same and it too has been slowly trailing off each year and this year won't be any exception as it will sell about the same as last year if not a little less.

PS3 is the only one who has a good chance of having one last year of YOY increases and this is due to its higher starting point in prices which took longer for it to take off.

Really nothing surprising and not threads like this are trying to insinuate.

Really this topic has been up to debate. We'll have to wait and see how the holiday lineup affects the Wii. It's not looking good though up to now

It won't be the worst year, after all, there will be no shortages this Christmas (much like last year), which will have hindered things in 2007 when those shortages were still widely felt... It will be down on last year though.

2009, the year that saw a pricecut of 20-25% along with the Wii's biggest game launch ever (NSMBWii).

This year the Wii wont have a pricecut, they have said before it's bad for the consumer. And I don't think any console so far has had pricecuts year after year. Nevermind the market leader.

This year the Wii wont have it's biggest launch of a game ever.

This year the Wii isn't the only console on the market with a motion controller option... And a lot of hype behind it.

This year the Wii isn't the console dominating leading UP to the holiday push. Infact, it's struggling to keep a grasp on 2nd place weekly.

You don't have anything to back up your prediction other than past trends. This year is different though.

360 and PS3 pose more of a threat this year than last, your line about 360 selling less. Incorrect. So far this year it's had it's highest sales ever, it's going to be it's peak year selling more than 11 million.

Spot on, the interesting thing is, wii was in a similer position ISH this time last year. But like you said it doesn't have a price cut or NSMB.

But most importantly, it's no longer got any hype behind it. People are more excited for PS3/Move and 360/Kinect.

Brett has already said he estimates Kinect to be big.

Also, the X360 has now outsold the Wii EIGHT weeks in a row. And it aint gonna stop anytime soon.

And the price-cut did have relatively little impact, compared to normal sales growth over the period after it came out, as i recall.

Nintendo's got a lot stacked up (and is getting a bit of help from other sources). No one game will top NSMBWii (except possibly Wii Vitality. I have a very good feeling about that one), but effects will stack together. Donkey Kong, Mickey, NBA Jam, and Wii Party this year will run together with Vitality Sensor and Zelda next year to make sure that Wii's last year (as i've called a holiday 2011 successor to arrive right on schedule, right around the same time Xbox 3 lands), into a strong one.

11-12 m for rest of the year? hell no. It's even selling worse than last year in the americas, and if recent numbers are anything to go by, Wii sales are even trailing to last year's. Unless Wii has a pricecut and/or surprise holidays game, it will be down by alot