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Forums - Sony - Could GT5 flop? (as in do disappointing sales)

10 mil minimum



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Hephaestos said:

little note, on GT4:

_ It released in 2005 when PS2 was at 82Milions

so now you left GT3 out and jst focusing on GT4

and even these number are lower than the 140m

  _after 20 weeks the game was at 5.7M, selling 32K (decreasing steadily)... so if it maintained that rythm to sell it's full numbers, it had to keep selling for over 2 years...

not really POLYPHONY has already  put out there numbers shiped in well before and VGC still isn't on the same point

_well into the PS3's lifespan... Dec 2008 it sold 30K per week, Dec 2009 6K a week.

That's VGC numbers

sure but the shipment had already taken place

there were some problem in GT4 numbers on VGC if you have been on the site long enough and noted.

for some time GT4 was stuck at 9.5m at VGC and then suddenly bumped to 10.4m.

so Polyshony's shiped number which stated 10.5m way before is the more reliable





tuscaniman said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
tuscaniman said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:
themanwithnoname said:
MARCUSDJACKSON said:

i'm not sure! if so where did 15m people go? did they just drop of the face of the earth.

i think GT5P 3m is a good mark to judge GT5 by! if you think about it tradition demos don't sell 3m units so just multiply it by 2 and 6m is what most likely the sells will be by the end of the yr 10m by summer of next yr and 15m by the end of holiday season 2011 or more. 

i need to know more about how GT sells so i can do a more accurate depiction of possible sells, but anything can happen so.


15 million at the end of next year? Is that really your prediction?

well how long do you think it will take thats if you think it will reach 15m.

i no longer make predictions. it's an estimated guise based on previous sells.

read my last sentence in my previous post, but i am dieing to know what you think.

15 million people did not fall off the face of the earth but I'd make a bet at least half of them moved to the 360. You'd have to be crazy if you think GT5 is going to be the best selling in the series when the PS3 has sold 1/4 of what the PS2 sold. The attach ratio would have to be ridiculous for this to happen.

 

alot of gamers wait for that one big game to get there console of chocie. i still don't see your statement "I'd make a bet at least half of them moved to  the 360" as a reason for GT5 not selling 14 or 15m units.

nothings stopping that half your referring to from getting PS3's for GT5. you may say theres no logic behind it, but other then the fact that Bungie isn't developing the Halo after reach that wouldn't stop it from sell 12m unit unless they really screw it up. 


So you think GT5 will push 7 million PS3s? Wake up from your alternate reality. If GT5 pushes 500,000 PS3s I'll be surprised. GT5 won't push half the consoles Halo 3 pushed and I'm sure it was less than a million.

i don't think he meant that.you are again and again trying to make him seem bad

he more like tried to say that GT5 will surely move many consoles

 

and ur prediction will be way wrong.GT5 will easily move 500K console and easily more than HALO 3



Could it flop?  Statistically, sure.  Will it?  Seems very unlikely.



Try to be reasonable... its easier than you think...

Its possible,  but I would bet on it



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I bet not...it will give PS3 the biggest first week sales of an exclusive along with tremendous hardware boost...life time sales of 6mn -7mn guaranteed..and for the huge no of fans globally waiting so hard for their hands on....



Solid_Snake4RD said:
Hephaestos said:

little note, on GT4:

_ It released in 2005 when PS2 was at 82Milions

so now you left GT3 out and jst focusing on GT4

and even these number are lower than the 140m

  _after 20 weeks the game was at 5.7M, selling 32K (decreasing steadily)... so if it maintained that rythm to sell it's full numbers, it had to keep selling for over 2 years...

not really POLYPHONY has already  put out there numbers shiped in well before and VGC still isn't on the same point

_well into the PS3's lifespan... Dec 2008 it sold 30K per week, Dec 2009 6K a week.

That's VGC numbers

sure but the shipment had already taken place

there were some problem in GT4 numbers on VGC if you have been on the site long enough and noted.

for some time GT4 was stuck at 9.5m at VGC and then suddenly bumped to 10.4m.

so Polyshony's shiped number which stated 10.5m way before is the more reliable




I left out GT3 cause the numbers here are vastly incomplete and it didn't serve the argument, GT3 sold when the PS2 was between 20M and 82M.... which is still significant.

On the rest, I stand corrected, I was unaware of the VGC numbers problems... though you say shipped and not sold :p

in any case, GT4 sold much less, especially if you compare it to the install base, was it the promise of GT5 that reduced the sales?

The only reason I brought the numbers up was because it serves my argument of competition being a reason to expect lower sales... but then again, most of the direct competition (exact same game type) is on 360 and not PS3



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Hephaestos said:


I left out GT3 cause the numbers here are vastly incomplete and it didn't serve the argument, GT3 sold when the PS2 was between 20M and 82M.... which is still significant.

but still you claimed previous GT games had 100 or what 130-140m userbase

On the rest, I stand corrected, I was unaware of the VGC numbers problems... though you say shipped and not sold :p

no problem

in any case, GT4 sold much less, especially if you compare it to the install base, was it the promise of GT5 that reduced the sales?

it was a second one in the series and and close to GT3 in quality and also that times racers  had competition from the nFS underground  success





Mad55 said:

i dont think itll hit 10 million but flopping (lol) is not gonna be a issue. Though a nice slice of its fan bas has been taken by forza and such so it probably wont sell like the others.

This could go both ways. Some who played Forza 3 may  decided to get GT5.



Gran Turismo 10,850
Gran Turismo 2 9,370
Gran Turismo 3 A-spec 14,890
Gran Turismo Concept Series 1,560
Gran Turismo 4 “Prologue” 1,400
Gran Turismo 4 11,060
Gran Turismo 5 “Prologue” 4,950
Gran Turismo PSP 1,960

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