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Forums - Sales - Predict the Japanese Top 10 for this year. (12-28-09 / 12-26-10)

How do you think it will be the Japanese Top 10 for this year?

For reference:

Famitsu 2010 First-Half Top 10 (12-28-09 / 6-27-10)

1. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) - 1,401,895 / 3,887,045
2. [NDS] Dragon Quest VI: Realms of Reverie (Square Enix) - 1,293,916
3. [NDS] Dragon Quest Monsters Joker 2 (Square Enix) - 1,194,584
4. [NDS] Tomodachi Collection (Nintendo) - 1,012,437 / 3,324,385
5. [PSP] Kingdom Hearts: Birth by Sleep (Square Enix) - 728,286
6. [PSP] Metal Gear Solid Peace Walker (Capcom) - 727,823
7. [WII] Wii Fit Plus (Nintendo) - 695,295 / 1,993,828
8. [WII] Super Mario Galaxy 2 (Nintendo) - 613,290
9. [PSP] God Eater (Bandai Namco) - 605,316
10. [PS3] Yakuza 4 (Sega) - 552,531

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In my opinion though I’m not too sure regarding the bottom of the top it will be something like this:

1. Pokémon Black / White ----- (4,000,000 – 4,500,000) 

2. Monster Hunter Portable 3rd ----- (3,000,000)

3. New Super Mario Bros Wii ----- (1,700,000 - 1,800,000)

4. Wii Party ----- (1,500,000)

5. Tomodachi Collection ----- (1,300,000 – 1,400,000)

6. Dragon Quest VI ----- (1,300,000)

 7. Dragon Quest Monsters : Joker 2 ----- (1,250,000)

8. Wii Fit Plus ----- (1,100,000)

9. Inazuma Eleven 3 ----- (950,000 – 1,000,000)

10. Super Mario Galaxy 2 ----- (900,000 – 950,000)

 

--. Gran Turismo 5 ----- (800,000 – 850,000)

--. Donkey Kong Country Returns ----- (no release date, if the game is released on late November or early December I see it a chance to sell a million copies without too many problems.)

 

There is a high chance that (only Super Mario Galaxy 2 and maybe Inazuma Eleven 3 are doubtul)  the top 10 is composed by million seller games.

 

NDS – 5

Wii – 4

PSP – 1

PS3 – 0

Xbox 360 – 0

 

It will be a complete Nintendomination XD



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Donkey Kong might surprise us the way NSMB surprised many with it's 2D revival. I'd also think Kirby has a chance to get to 1 mil, not sure in how many weeks though. Wii Fit Plus should reach 1 mil this year too with holiday numbers. 



Good prediction, but there's Ninokuni for the DS you are forgetting and Kirby Wii too. Looks like its a nintendomination without a doubt. Don't forget the 3DS games also :O



Proud poster of the 10000th reply at the Official Smash Bros Update Thread.

tag - "I wouldn't trust gamespot, even if it was a live comparison."

Bets with Conegamer:

Pandora's Tower will have an opening week of less than 37k in Japan. (Won!)
Pandora's Tower will sell less than 100k lifetime in Japan.
Stakes: 1 week of avatar control for each one.

Fullfilled Prophecies

I think Ninokuni DS will definitely make it into Top 10 and either Kirby or DKCR will sell one mil. There is really no chance for SMG2 to make it into Top 10. It is also hard to imagine Inazuma Eleven 3 doesn't make it either but right now it looks that way.



MikeB predicts that the PS3 will sell about 140 million units by the end of 2016 and triple the amount of 360s in the long run.

Would it be bad to think that Versus XIII would have a chance?

We still don't have a release date, do we? Or did i miss a 2011 Japan release confirmation? I have a feeling TGS will be the huge blowout we have been waiting for, along with a release date for this year...



                            

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DKCR and Ninokuni will surely be on there




Versus 13 will launch after March 2011. No way Square Enix can release FF 13 (in the west), FF 14 and FF Versus in the same fiscal year.



Carl2291 said:

Would it be bad to think that Versus XIII would have a chance?

We still don't have a release date, do we? Or did i miss a 2011 Japan release confirmation? I have a feeling TGS will be the huge blowout we have been waiting for, along with a release date for this year...

If Versus XIII was to release this year in Japan, then Square would've already started promoting and hyping up Versus XIII from the beginning of the year just like FF XIII in 2009.

Versus XIII will have a massive media blowout at TGS and will announce a Release Date for JP in the first half of 2011 and the rest of the world in the second half of 2011.



tonio_13 said:

Versus 13 will launch after March 2011. No way Square Enix can release FF 13 (in the west), FF 14 and FF Versus in the same fiscal year.

FFXIII was last fiscal year worldwide.  I agree though that Versus won't be this fiscal year, if it was we'd likely know about it by now.  I don't think Agito makes this year either.



jarrod said:
tonio_13 said:

Versus 13 will launch after March 2011. No way Square Enix can release FF 13 (in the west), FF 14 and FF Versus in the same fiscal year.

FFXIII was last fiscal year worldwide.  I agree though that Versus won't be this fiscal year, if it was we'd likely know about it by now.  I don't think Agito makes this year either.

True but FF 13 launched in March in the west, and we all know legs are very important in the west.