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Forums - Sony - MGS4 Must Sell More Than One Million on the First Day

dabaus513 on 29 November 2007

I think that it could sell 1 million units under these conditions. Assuming that gt5 launches before mgs4...

-50 dollar pricedrop world wide for all skus and bundle gt5 with some ps3s. The 50 dollars is not alot but it would bring some media attention to the console near the release of a high profile game.

-Advertise the hell out of mgs4 to the point that every person in america knows this damn game is coming exclusively to the ps3.

-When the game finally launches bundle it with a limited amount of ps3's and if they really wanted to put the nail in the coffin do another 50 dolaar price drop around the time mgs 4 launches.

Assuming that all of that happens, which it wont, but if it did i think it could possibly reach 1 million in the 1st week, 1st day? hell no.



 

 

 

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FishyJoe on 29 November 2007

There is no way in hell GT5 is going to launch before MGS4, unless MGS4 is delayed massively again.



darthdevidem on 29 November 2007

@dabaus

Gt 5 coming out before MGS 4 is IMPOSSIBLE



Supporter of

 SONY & Nintendo

 Consoles owned - SNES, N64, PS, GC, PS2, PSP, PS3

 I DO NOT support Xbox

My prediction for YEARS END:

WII - 18.3 Million

Xbox 360 - 15 Million

Playstation 3 - 8.5 Million

PS-She on 29 November 2007
FishyJoe said:

Sony has compensated by ramping up its own game production and has 15 internal studios working on PlayStation titles, more than Microsoft and Nintendo combined, Dille said.

Great news!



dabaus513 on 29 November 2007

I didnt even include what sony could do with white knight chronicles in japan assuming that game comes out before mgs 4.

Its a worldwide release correct?

So assuming that mgs 4 sells
200k in japan (conservative estimation)
450k in america (liberal estimation)
250 k in europe (no idea how software sells in eupope so i have no idea.)
So altogether i predict 1st day sales for mgs4 to around 900k




 

 

 

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Peter Potamus on 29 November 2007
mrstickball said:
Wow. If Konami really does need 1m in sales first day (from consumers), prepare to be vastly disapointed.

Don't get me wrong, I think MGS will turn them a profit, but if they're banking on it being a Killer App to move PS3s, I very much so doubt that it'll happen.

This is based on a few reasons:

#1. The PS3 is still real expensive. At $400, that's still alot of cash to buy 1 moderately high-end exclusive. MGS isn't Halo or FFXIII.
#2. The series has been declining. Each MGS has had worse sales. MGS3 was ported to the Xbox for extra cash. Why should we expect a MGS on 1 very week system to out-sell other MGS titles on much higher-selling systems?
#3. No PS3 track record of ultra-high first day sellers. The PS3 has had some great sellers, that's no doubt. However, selling 1m units in 1 day, or 1 week is a huge feat. You have to have a good track record of near-like sales. The PS3 doesn't have that.

MGS4 could sell 500-750k first week "if" it's global. Retailer preorders could get close to 1m. However, sales for MGS are going to come by addopting PS3 owners picking the game up, not MGS-heads that will pick up a PS3 exclusively for MGS.

Your wrong, MGS3 has never hit the XBOX. MGS2 substance was on the XBOX, and without it MGS2 sold 5 million on the PS2. MGS3 sales struggled because it was never a sequel, but a prequel.

 



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kirby007 on 29 November 2007
PS-She said:
FishyJoe said:

Sony has compensated by ramping up its own game production and has 15 internal studios working on PlayStation titles, more than Microsoft and Nintendo combined, Dille said.

Great news!

where did he say that?



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IllegalPaladin on 29 November 2007
Peter Potamus said:
mrstickball said:
Wow. If Konami really does need 1m in sales first day (from consumers), prepare to be vastly disapointed.

Don't get me wrong, I think MGS will turn them a profit, but if they're banking on it being a Killer App to move PS3s, I very much so doubt that it'll happen.

This is based on a few reasons:

#1. The PS3 is still real expensive. At $400, that's still alot of cash to buy 1 moderately high-end exclusive. MGS isn't Halo or FFXIII.
#2. The series has been declining. Each MGS has had worse sales. MGS3 was ported to the Xbox for extra cash. Why should we expect a MGS on 1 very week system to out-sell other MGS titles on much higher-selling systems?
#3. No PS3 track record of ultra-high first day sellers. The PS3 has had some great sellers, that's no doubt. However, selling 1m units in 1 day, or 1 week is a huge feat. You have to have a good track record of near-like sales. The PS3 doesn't have that.

MGS4 could sell 500-750k first week "if" it's global. Retailer preorders could get close to 1m. However, sales for MGS are going to come by addopting PS3 owners picking the game up, not MGS-heads that will pick up a PS3 exclusively for MGS.

Your wrong, MGS3 has never hit the XBOX. MGS2 substance was on the XBOX, and without it MGS2 sold 5 million on the PS2. MGS3 sales struggled because it was never a sequel, but a prequel.

 

But it was still the best (appart from the classic original MGS though).

 



dabaus513 on 29 November 2007

Mgs 3 struggled because it was a prequel set in the past and had fierce competition thanks to halo 2, metriod prime 2, other high profile games. Im sure theres more, hell it could be folks just gave up on the series after 2's confusing story. Next year tho mgs 4 launches with no real competition, unless gta4 and gt5 launch around it, which would only bode well for ps3 sales, maybe not so much for mgs 4 sales due to fact people would be spending their money else where on the two said games.



 

 

 

Smashchu on 29 November 2007

Gotta love Sessler. He said exactly what I said a long while back. I can see 1million in it's life time, but not on day one. If by some leap of faith the PS3 has 10million units sold (which seems doubtful) it would have to have a 10% install base on day one.