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I didnt even include what sony could do with white knight chronicles in japan assuming that game comes out before mgs 4.

Its a worldwide release correct?

So assuming that mgs 4 sells
200k in japan (conservative estimation)
450k in america (liberal estimation)
250 k in europe (no idea how software sells in eupope so i have no idea.)
So altogether i predict 1st day sales for mgs4 to around 900k