MGS4 Must Sell More Than One Million on the First Day

[Peter Potamus]

mrstickball said:
Wow. If Konami really does need 1m in sales first day (from consumers), prepare to be vastly disapointed.

Don't get me wrong, I think MGS will turn them a profit, but if they're banking on it being a Killer App to move PS3s, I very much so doubt that it'll happen.

This is based on a few reasons:

#1. The PS3 is still real expensive. At $400, that's still alot of cash to buy 1 moderately high-end exclusive. MGS isn't Halo or FFXIII.
#2. The series has been declining. Each MGS has had worse sales. MGS3 was ported to the Xbox for extra cash. Why should we expect a MGS on 1 very week system to out-sell other MGS titles on much higher-selling systems?
#3. No PS3 track record of ultra-high first day sellers. The PS3 has had some great sellers, that's no doubt. However, selling 1m units in 1 day, or 1 week is a huge feat. You have to have a good track record of near-like sales. The PS3 doesn't have that.

MGS4 could sell 500-750k first week "if" it's global. Retailer preorders could get close to 1m. However, sales for MGS are going to come by addopting PS3 owners picking the game up, not MGS-heads that will pick up a PS3 exclusively for MGS.

Your wrong, MGS3 has never hit the XBOX. MGS2 substance was on the XBOX, and without it MGS2 sold 5 million on the PS2. MGS3 sales struggled because it was never a sequel, but a prequel.