Thanx kowen! So, when do you think 360 will have positive YoY figures?
@kowenicki
how quickly will ps3 go down to 0% up YOY after the slim launch ina comparable timeframe? (say PS3 does 15% above 2008 numbers for this holiday)
All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey
kowenicki said:
perhaps August/September ? |
This could well end up the best year for 360 so far. If natal works fine.
Ps3 is kicking it rather nicely
In-Kat-We-Trust Brigade!
"This world is Merciless, and it's also very beautiful"
For All News/Info related to the PlayStation Vita, Come and join us in the Official PSV Thread!
kowenicki said:
then around 50k to 60k per week I reckon for around 7 or 8 weeks... but then you are into pre holiday numbers.... anything could happen. so they will lose between 1 and 1.3m of whatever improvement they have garnered by then. |
wow thanks for doing the calculations
right so they COULD still end up YOY. Thats good to hear. Of course GT5 spike will help PS3 a lot....but last decembers FF13 spike of like 150K - 200K consoles will make it lose a lot again
lets see it'll be very interesting!
@CGI
lol if that happens.......15 Million confirmed for the year!!
All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey
djs said:
This could well end up the best year for 360 so far. If natal works fine. |
a big 'if'. I think xbox's success this year rest mainly on Halo Reach.
Soriku (Feb 10/08): In 5 years the PS3/360 will be dead.
KH3 bet: "If KH3 comes to Wii exclusive, I will take a 1 month of sig/avatar by otheres open a thread apologize and praise you guys' brilliance." http://vgchartz.com/forum/thread.php?start=50&id=18379
Original cast: Badonkadonkhr, sc94597 allaboutthegames885, kingofwale, Soriku, ctk495, skeezer, RDBRaptor, Mirson,
kingofwale said:
a big 'if'. I think xbox's success this year rest mainly on Halo Reach. |
Is that so when Halo Reach comes out and it does absoloutely nothing for hardware (and it won't) you can say ooh xbox is failing.
Ridiculous to think Reach will have more impact than Natal this holiday ...
kowenicki said:
then around 50k to 60k per week I reckon for around 7 or 8 weeks... but then you are into pre holiday numbers.... anything could happen. so they will lose between 1 and 1.3m of whatever improvement they have garnered by then. |
Depends on the influence of Move. If it works, it could soften the drop by the slim introduction quite a bit..(and Sony seems to think so, given they manufacture 2mio units more this fj).
kowenicki said:
Move wont do anything remotely like that... nowhere near. |
That is not relevant in the long term (and nobody at Sony thinks that Move will level out the slim launch). Of course the gap will be big in the first two weeks, when everybody "had" to get the slim last year. However, if move pushes up demand by say, 10%, over all weeks into fj 2011, then we look at somethng like:
up to September +2mio
slim influence the first weeks +move influence -1.5mio
move influence after that + 1mio
These are my rudimentary estimates, which would give a +1.5mio units sale increase (again, Sony thinks more optimistic with +2mio units manufactured).