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Forums - Nintendo - Analysis: "Nintendo 3DS" Announcement

The current market leader announced yesterday on its Japanese investor relations page that it is ready to start the 8th generation.  The tentatively named, "Nintendo 3DS" will be the next handheld succeeding the current Nintendo DS line (DS, DS Lite, DSi, DSi XL).  The system will release before the end of fiscal year 2011 and will be first shown off at E3 2010.  The only thing we definitely know about it is that it will incorporate some function of 3D without the use of glasses and backwards compatible with all DS and DSi games. 

Obviously, the industry always gets hyped up when the next generation starts getting discussed.  One of the funniest things about this industry, is while we enjoy what we have, the most exciting part is the future.  It is to no surprise that as soon as 3DS was announced speculation and rumors started happening not just about the 3DS but the future of the next generation of gaming consoles in general. 

However, with this I don't seek to focus on what the 3DS will be, but the importantce of the announcement itself.  I think one thing people find the most surprising is, well, the timing.  For me I saw it a 2 in the morning when it just came out when I was just checking VGC for some good threads to post in.  Definitely found a good one.  So why the timing?  Well I think a few of reasons.  First, just for the sake of surprise.  Having things leaked and discussed before you actually state it, saturates the announcement.  People are prepared and "shock value" of the announcement is lessened.  But, if you beat them to the punch, then they have no idea what hit them.  A random day as March 23 definitely made that effect.  Timing might have also had something to do with business transactions to whoever is helping to make the system might eventually have to state something.  Second reason, is probably just for the sake of using it for their upcoming end of the fiscal year 2010 report with fiscal year 2011 predictions.  That always looks good. 

It is obvious that Nintendo has succeeded on the surprise factor.  Everyone is talking about it, everyone is discussing it, and everyone has an opinion on it.  There is no such thing as bad hype.  But it is those opinions I'd like to discuss now.  Nintendo gave very little details on features of the system or how the 3D will work.  This has people making opinions on it based on that.  And I think that is a good thing and probably something Nintendo wanted to do.  Part of giving no details about it is to get the hype rolling.  And in that case, disappointment but still curious is a good thing.  Once you are ready to show it off, if it is good, it is that more effective. 

What I'm trying to show here, is that Nintendo has this down to a science and it is something they've been doing well for awhile.  Did it last year at E3 with New Super Mario Bros Wii and especially Metroid: Other M.  They are able to continuously keep people on their toes even when they don't know they should be on them.  The "3DS" is no different in that matter. 

So the final question is "Why?".  Why is Nintendo doing all of this?  Nintendo has a dominant lead in the handheld market with the DS.  By the end of this year it will be the most successful gaming console in the history of the industry.  Even more so they have a DSi XL releasing in a few days.  Part of the old plan was to disrupt the market and take over the apocalypse and turn it into paradise.  They did that already.  So why do it all again?  Well I think this answer is fairly simple and I think a lot of media has already hit this on the button.  Nintendo last year saw some of their sales go down due to a less aggressive attack on the market.  Many say it started at E3 2008 where they had a less than stellar showing.  Nintendo got a lot of flak from this, and some of it was probably deserved.  Their entrance with DS and then Wii were aggressive moves with aggressive software.  By 2008, that aggression wasn't as prevalent. 

Later we saw this change in 2009 with a very aggressive E3, especially on the Wii side.  Then early 2010 we saw aggressive manuevers with third parties.  Finally we saw aggressive maneuvers with their release structure by putting Galaxy 2 and Metroid: Other M as first half release.  Nintendo is not sitting back.  They are saying, we have the market share and we are going to keep it.  This "3DS" announcement is a direct message to the competition that they are not going to simply create a DS2 in the traditional sense.  They are telling the competition that we are going to take the risks continuously to maintain and grow market share.  Sure some may be skeptical about 3D on handhelds or 3D gaming in general, but Nintendo has everyone talking about it.  And that's what they want.  Focus on them, where any response from competition won't matter as they have them hooked. 

This aggression Nintendo is showing can either be looked upon as silly or dangerous, depending on who you are (the latter if you are the competition).  When the market leader comes out and says they have the next big thing and we'll show you in 3 months, the competition has to be slightly nervous.  Will this translate over to sales?  Who knows, but if Nintendo can pull off a successful E3 showing, it really could be dangerous for the competition. 

The last thing this announcement really indicates, is how Nintendo is going to approach the entirety of E3.  I wouldn't expect Nintendo to slow down with their  aggressive maneuvers.  And I also wouldn't expect them to slow down with their aggressive maneuvers with the Wii system and the future of their consoles or N6.  Although we won't hear about that at E3 2010, expect similar aggression for the future console. 

Whether or not you like the idea or hate it, you are intrigued by it.  Whether or not the competition thinks its silly or dangerous, they are paying attention (or more than likely trying to catch up).  Nintendo just opened the flood gates to the 8th generation and everyone will be paying attention to this year's E3 2010 for them to show the way.  Nintendo has obviously built up a lot and will definitely have to deliver, but we must also take notice that Ninty has done this before.  I will personally stay neutral on the matter because I don't have enough info to have an opinion, but after seeing this new aggressive Nintendo when it comes to marketing and PR, I wouldn't doubt they are able to pull a rabbit out of their hat.  I also await for the competition to start pulling rabbits out of their hat, as Nintendo is trying to show the only gimmick in this industry is standing still.  E3 just got more exciting and I can't wait to see what Nintendo and the competition have to show off. 



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Great read Zucas, I agree.

Sony has been caught off guard one must presume with this announcement, and if 3D was not in their plans for the next handheld, I doubt they will be able to incorporate it quickly enough to have it ready by E3. Plus Nintendo did it first, and that's what counts. They got all the industry talking about them, if Sony manages to incorporate 3D into their next handheld by the time E3 arrives, they will not have the SW ready anyways and the industry will not care. Nintendo has already differentiated themselves from the rest with this announcement and they will be the 1st ones to launch a next gen portable. Success is imminent, and I think that we haven't been getting many 1st party announcements for the DS for a long while now because they were making the launch SW for the 3DS, which includes a new Pokemon.

My biggest worry from this matter is if Nintendo will forget about the Wii after 2010 ends and all their resources will go to the 3DS or if things will continue like they have. I think that we will see the last wave of Wii games announced at this E3. We could have a Wii successor showcased at E3 2011, so they will need time to make SW for it.



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....I fully expect nintendo to have at least one BIG secret at E3.. if you let the competition know everything you are going to show at e3 why even show it?

...bets on PSP2 having 3d now??



hello how are you.

Nice post

& this E3 Got MUCH more interesting

MUCH MUCH more interesting!!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

trestres said:
Great read Zucas, I agree.

Sony has been caught off guard one must presume with this announcement, and if 3D was not in their plans for the next handheld, I doubt they will be able to incorporate it quickly enough to have it ready by E3. Plus Nintendo did it first, and that's what counts. They got all the industry talking about them, if Sony manages to incorporate 3D into their next handheld by the time E3 arrives, they will not have the SW ready anyways and the industry will not care. Nintendo has already differentiated themselves from the rest with this announcement and they will be the 1st ones to launch a next gen portable. Success is imminent, and I think that we haven't been getting many 1st party announcements for the DS for a long while now because they were making the launch SW for the 3DS, which includes a new Pokemon.

My biggest worry from this matter is if Nintendo will forget about the Wii after 2010 ends and all their resources will go to the 3DS or if things will continue like they have. I think that we will see the last wave of Wii games announced at this E3. We could have a Wii successor showcased at E3 2011, so they will need time to make SW for it.

Thank you.  I also hope that Nintendo doesn't forget Wii after this, but I think they know how to successfully run to sides of the business.  I'm just hoping they'll make cross DS/3DS games and give both support.  They still have a very large DS base they need to support.  So not as much worried as Wii as I am with maintaining strong support for the DS too. 

I also think that success on the "3DS" won't be too hard.  Although I do give DS's features and strong lineup credit for its success, I still think the main reason is that Nintendo brand which is the strongest in the handheld market.  People don't go to buy a handheld, they go to buy a Nintendo handheld.  "3DS" will have similar appeal, as long as the new features work properly which know Nintendo should be no issue.  It's just how innovative and strong they push the "3DS" will determine if it can imitate the success of the DS.



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I suspect this is both a defensive action against the iPhone by again defining the DS as a system which has capabilities for gaming above and beyond what a phone hybrid application can do and an aggressive action to move upstream and take whatever core market they can from Sony and perhaps its an attempt to go as far as to eliminate them from the market.



Tease.

darthdevidem01 said:
Nice post

& this E3 Got MUCH more interesting

MUCH MUCH more interesting!!

Yes it has gotten more interesting.  With just the new wave of game announcement from all 3, it was already supposed to be big.  But with Ninty going strong in this handheld announcement and Sony to obviously follow up (along with Move, Natal, and Vitality sensor) this might be the strongest E3 since 2005.  Less than 3 months away.



kowenicki said:

Well we have no idea what the spec and plans for the PSP2 are...

But yes this could really have caused a "oh shit" meeting at Sony the morning it was announced. Then again they could be thinking ha... our 3d is nicer or.. ahhh but we have this. who knows? we shall see.

If this looks good at E3 they will steal a march on the PSP2 that could result in the PSP2 really struggling from the off.

Yea we know nothing about PSP2 but I think after this we at least know a PSP2 exists or more than likely has to exist.  I doubt Sony will just layback on that matter.  So yes Sony could have had an "oh shit" meeting but I think they probably were looking into similar things.  But the "oh shit" part is probably coming on timing because I wouldn't have expected this and to have a 3D capable system so soon.  But the main "oh shit" part is probably Sony not getting that advantage to be the first when it comes to the next generation as Nintendo has definitely stolen that.  That was something Sony was probably going to heavily rely on and Nintendo beat them to the punch. 

But as Squilliam stated, I do think a lot of this is more directed at the Iphone which Nintendo may consider more of a competitor.  With the adaptive abilities of the Iphone Nintendo knows they need to keep pushing the envelope and therefore we are at this.  They are still a huge market leader, but if they lay back someone will take it. 



Zucas said:
darthdevidem01 said:
Nice post

& this E3 Got MUCH more interesting

MUCH MUCH more interesting!!

Yes it has gotten more interesting.  With just the new wave of game announcement from all 3, it was already supposed to be big.  But with Ninty going strong in this handheld announcement and Sony to obviously follow up (along with Move, Natal, and Vitality sensor) this might be the strongest E3 since 2005.  Less than 3 months away.

Yup.

The funny thing is along with constant DS2 specs rumors we also got PSP 2 rumors

so I'm just wondering if SONY have a PSP2 annoucement planned for this E3.

It will be interesting to see

And for the FIRST TIME SINCE PS1 SONY will be an underdog when launching their new system.

(well some can claim PSP was an underdog considering Ninty handheld sales but most people thought like its console brothers PSP would dominate handhelds)

Now this leaves Micrososft.....we could get a xbox 360 slim announcement.

This si the most exciting E3 in years in terms of Hardware!



All hail the KING, Andrespetmonkey

I was actually expecting the psp2 to be 3d enabled, but after what Sony said today, I guess not.
Nintendo may have thought the same thing seeing as how Sony is really getting into 3d too.

The timing of the announcement could have been a punch in the face to Sony, who would be labeled as copycats AGAIN if they showed 3d psp at e3.