1 reason, it's going to be bundled with the PS3, not all PS3's, but a PS3 none the less...

As long as it has a good price point for the bundle, this could really take off, quite fast.

Possibly, but it also needs good advertising behind it.

It's not going to be bundled for cheap though, which means the bundle won't be that big.

The basic PS3 is already $299 and the Move starter bundle is going to be about $100, we already know people like the cheaper deals and that isn't too much of a deal.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying the Move won't sell, I'm just saying it won't sell because of bundles like that.  It needs games besides awesome looking downloadable games and Wii knockoffs to do that.

Anyway, ill buy it. But im totally agree with your points. Specially with the first one.

It will be a success because of Japan. Even if it does bad everywhere else, the Japanese will buy it.

Well Sony already said they are going to advertise the hell out of it...

Oh my... I can't wait to see the Kevin Butler commercial for Move :D haha

I think it would be more successful if it's so compelling that people are willing to pay a premium for it. For example, Wii Fit or Motion+. Nintendo could have bundled Wii Fit or WM+ with the Wii, but they sold it separate at a price they could profit.

Bundles that include the move and eye with a game ( I think the game will likely be a set of games like Wii Sports) for $100 is cheap enough to make it a modest success. Especially if they advertise it heavily.

The adoption rate will depend on the games that are released for it. So far LBP, Socom 4 and Resident Evil 5 will be able to use it. There's a small chance it could make playing FPS on consoles as fun as on PCs.

For a casual market they need games like Just Dance though.

yeah i think that the ps3 core system will eventually get a price drop and the ps3 bundled with the Move will be introduced for a price point of about $350

Im my personal retail experience many are willing to pay a bit more to get the bundle with more.  In many cases they are just dumb enough to think if it costs more has a few more things it must be better.