Easly!

I reckon it'll launch to ~800k first week and ~1.3mil first month.

That means it would have to sell ~40k weekly for the rest of 2010. Although it won't make 40k weekly in Q2 and Q3, I think it should see enough of a holiday season bump to hit 3mil by the end of 2010.

I'm with you, BHR.

this puts an impression on many minds that the franchise will continue the sales decline thru GOW sequel as depicted. The LTD sales are very much likely to exceed way more than what the original did on PS2.

It seems your reputation for uncanny predictions precedes you. Hardly anyone willing to contradict your predicition, and I'm not about to start.

There's plenty of pre-order marketing displays in every gaming shop here. Any gamer who has been to a gaming store in the last few weeks knows GoW III is imminent, so I don't think marketing will be a problem. I would like to know how the Ultimate Trilogy edition is going pre-order wise in the PAL regions.

I do think it was a mistake not to release the GoW collection in PAL markets ahead of GoW III. Being able to buy the first 2 games separately and before GoW III might have brought some new gamers who didin't play the games on PS2 to the franchise. I'm hoping they release GoW collection as a separate product after GoW III release because I don't feel like paying $299 for the games and some memorabillia. Otherwise I'll have to pick up the GoW collection used somewhere.

Well where's the fun if everybody agrees?!

Stop it people!

@OP are you nuts? if GOW3 doesn't sell 3 million in its first 3 months I'll call it a flop!

BHR is typically right, I'm wrong almost all the time (just ask the wifey), so I'l going to say yes it is possible.

It is possible for sure.

I would be very surprised if it sold 1m first week. The first two combined have not reached anywhere near that number in its 1st week.

I think a huge problem if you will is the franchise is not liked in Japan. The last one selling just 40k there in its lifetime. 17k in first week there. Even if it increases those numbers by 400% it still wont be 100k in the first week.

The majority of its sales will obviously come from US so it is a question on how much people there want it. The second sold 500k in its 1st week there. But total sales for the second one were down a lot over the first one.

I think GOW really is a franchise some people think is bigger then it actually is. The last one did not even make it to 3m with well over 120m consoles to sell to. It does not have the worldwide interest that you claim, really only appealing to US and slightly in some places in europe. The last one sold 1.9m in US but only 600k in europe.

The GOW collection might drum up some interest but as others have mentioned elsewhere in other threads the franchise is not huge, far from it.

I think first week it will sell 60k in Japan. 550k in US and 250k in europe bringing 1st week to around 860k. Roughly the same as Uncharted 2.

Then following week will drop 50% such is the way it normally is making 2nd week total 430k, and total sales 1.29m. And then about another 400k over the next month bringing sales to around 1.69m in 6 weeks. Then it will go into the dead zone for awhile, and get new price deals and what not adding another 500k over the next 3 months. Making a new total of 2.29m. So then it has about 4 months or so until the holidays.

So i think it should make 3m by the end of the year but it really depends on its opening week i think and then what happens after that. Everyone thought the same with Killzone 2 and it still nearly a million away from 3m.

The question is, has GOW3 become another game that Vgchartz community has hyped up but in reality does not reflect the true level of interest for it beyond these boards?

Easily, it should be able to do have half that first week.

ha ha im just getin warmed up i got some threads that should ruffle some feathers coming up

yeah that sux i wonder if i should just tell others to make the threads maybe it'll get more people to post that they disagree

idk i thought it was pretty bold look at KZ2 it launched around this time last year and its not at 3m yet also thought the lifetime of gow 1 and 2 would get more to disagree

ive seen many posts on here saying that they expect gow3 to do 3m just life time not in 9 months also there was a news article talking bout gow3 wouldnt really sell much due to it's past sales

bet if i said 4m id get more that disagreed but dont think it will do that 2.8-3.5 is where i see it ending up no more than 3.5

no i dont see it doing 1.5m 1st week i c 1.1-1.2 maybe 1.3m it will be front loaded due to its anticipation and gaming drought we are experiencing now